Why Does China Allow Freer Social Media? Protests versus Surveillance and Propaganda

The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Journal Year: 2017, Volume and Issue: 31(1), P. 117 - 140

Published: Jan. 30, 2017

In this paper, we document basic facts regarding public debates about controversial political issues on Chinese social media. Our documentation is based a dataset of 13.2 billion blog posts published Sina Weibo—the most prominent microblogging platform—during the 2009–2013 period. primary finding that shockingly large number highly sensitive topics were and circulated For instance, find millions discussing protests, these are informative in predicting occurrence specific events. We an even larger with explicit corruption allegations, predict future charges individuals. findings challenge popular view authoritarian regime would relentlessly censor or ban Instead, interaction government media seems more complex.

Language: Английский

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AI-tocracy

The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 138(3), P. 1349 - 1402

Published: March 13, 2023

Abstract Recent scholarship has suggested that artificial intelligence (AI) technology and autocratic regimes may be mutually reinforcing. We test for a reinforcing relationship in the context of facial-recognition AI China. To do so, we gather comprehensive data on firms government procurement contracts, as well social unrest across China since early 2010s. first show autocrats benefit from AI: local leads to greater new political control, increased indeed suppresses subsequent unrest. innovation benefits autocrats’ suppression unrest: contracted innovate more both commercial markets are likely export their products; noncontracted not experience detectable negative spillovers. Taken together, these results suggest possibility sustained under Chinese regime: entrenches regime, regime’s investment control stimulates further frontier innovation.

Language: Английский

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Fatalism, Beliefs, and Behaviors During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Published: May 1, 2020

Little is known about how people's beliefs concerning the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) influence their behavior.To shed light on this, we conduct an online experiment (n = 3,610) with US and UK residents.Participants are randomly allocated to a control group or one of two treatment groups.The groups shown upperor lower-bound expert estimates infectiousness virus.We present three main empirical findings.First, individuals dramatically overestimate dangerousness COVID-19 relative opinion.Second, providing people information partially corrects virus.Third, more infectious believe that is, less willing they take protective measures, finding dub "fatalism effect".We develop formal model can explain fatalism effect discuss its implications for optimal policy during pandemic.

Language: Английский

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The Effects of Social Movements: Evidence from #MeToo

SSRN Electronic Journal, Journal Year: 2019, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 1, 2019

Social movements are associated with large societal changes, but evidence of their causal effects is limited. We study the effect MeToo movement on reporting sex crimes to police. construct a new dataset reported in 31 OECD countries and employ triple-difference strategy between crime types, across countries, over time. The increased by 10%. Using rich US data, we find that contrast common criticism movement, similar socioeconomic groups, also arrests for sexual assault. reflects higher propensity report not an increase incidence. mechanism most consistent our findings victims perceive misconduct be more serious problem following movement. Our results demonstrate social can rapidly persistently affect high-stakes decisions.

Language: Английский

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Protests

Published: Aug. 1, 2023

Citizens have long taken to the streets demand change, expressing political views that may otherwise be suppressed.Protests produced change at local, national, and international scales, including spectacular moments of social transformation.We document five new empirical patterns describing 1.2 million protest events across 218 countries between 1980 2020.First, autocracies weak democracies experienced a trend break in protests during Arab Spring.Second, movements also rose importance following Spring.Third, geographically diffuse over time, spiking their peak, before falling off.Fourth, country's year-to-year economic performance is not strongly correlated with protests; individual values are predictive participation.Fifth, US, China, Russia most over-represented by share academic studies.We discuss each pattern's connections existing literature anticipate paths for future work.

Language: Английский

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Collective action in networks: Evidence from the Chilean student movement

Journal of Public Economics, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 188, P. 104220 - 104220

Published: June 12, 2020

Language: Английский

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The Long-term Effects of Inflation on Inflation Expectations

Published: Feb. 1, 2024

We study the long-term effects of inflation surges on expectations.German households living in areas with higher local during hyperinflation 1920s expect today, after partialling out determinants historical and current expectations .Our evidence points towards transmission experiences from parents to children through collective memory.Differential also modulates updating inflation, response economic policies affecting financial decisions.We obtain similar results for Polish residing formerly German areas.Overall, our findings are consistent inflationary shocks having a long-lasting impact attitudes inflation.

Language: Английский

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A call for structured ethics appendices in social science papers

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 118(29)

Published: July 12, 2021

Ethics in social science experimentation and data collection are often discussed but rarely articulated writing as part of research outputs. Although papers typically reference human subjects approvals from relevant institutional review boards, most recognize that such boards do not carry out comprehensive ethical assessments. We propose a structured ethics appendix to provide details on the following: policy equipoise, role researcher, potential harms participants nonparticipants, conflicts interest, intellectual freedom, feedback participants, foreseeable misuse results. discuss each these some norms challenging situations each. believe discussing issues explicitly appendices papers, even if briefly, will serve two purposes: more complete communication can improve discussions clarify themselves.

Language: Английский

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The Long-Term Effects of Inflation on Inflation Expectations

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

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Genç Seçmenlerin Filistin Meselesine Bakışı ve Seçmen Davranışı Üzerine Uygulamalı Bir Araştırma

Ahi Evran Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 11(Filistin Özel Sayısı), P. 437 - 456

Published: Feb. 28, 2025

Genç seçmenler siyasal katılım konusunda yaşı ileri seçmenlere nazaran isteksizlik göstermektedir. Bilhassa ‘ciddiye alınmamak’, ‘güvensizlik’ ve ‘etkisizlik’ gibi nedenlerden dolayı ilgileri düşük seyretmektedir. Fakat yaşlarının genç olması dünya görüşlerinin olgunlaşma sürecinin devam etmesi onları uzun vadede parti tabanına eklenebilecek potansiyel seçmen yapmaktadır. Bundan davranışlarının anlaşılması oldukça önemlidir. Bu bağlamda çalışma seçmenlerin Filistin Meselesine bakışını oy verme davranışlarında bu konunun etkisini ortaya koymayı amaçlamaktadır. Çalışmaya yaşları 18 ila 29 arasında değişen 587 katılımcı iştirak etmiştir. Çalışma nicel araştırma yöntemlerinden anket deseninde planlanmış uygulanmıştır. Elde edilen veriler frekans (sıklık) uyum analizine tabi tutularak bulgular elde edilmeye çalışılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonuçları; katılımcılar süreçlere yüksek oranda davranışıyla dahil olurken siyasi üyeliği tedirgin davranmaktadır. Bununla birlikte katılımcıların ideolojik tavırlarını gizlememeleri ilgi bilincinde olduklarını Katılımcılar büyük oranda, etnik veya dinsel kaygılarla değil insani bir mesele olarak bakmaktadır. nezdinde tarafından İsrail’e verilen karşılıkların haklı yerinde bulunduğu anlaşılmaktadır. Meselesinin sona ermesi çözümü için yardımların yetersiz olduğunu belirtmektedir. Ulaşılan sonuçların davranışı literatürüne politikacılara/siyasi partilere siyasa üretirken pratik katkı sağlaması beklenmektedir.

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