Recent climate change strongly impacted the population dynamic of a North American insect pest species DOI Creative Commons
Yan Boulanger,

Adèle Desaint,

Véronique Martel

et al.

bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Aug. 9, 2024

Abstract Climate change is redefining the dynamics of forest ecosystems globally, particularly through its impact on pest populations such as spruce budworm (SBW, Choristoneura fumiferana [Clem.]), a major defoliator in North American boreal forests. This study investigates shifts population across range response to recent climate change. We used process-based, temperature-dependent ecophysiological model combined with ERA5 reanalysis assess changes SBW phenology, reproduction rate, winter survival and growth rates from 1950 2022 America. Our findings demonstrate pronounced northward expansion suitable conditions for SBW, accompanied by earlier phenological events increased northern regions. Conversely, southern parts are experiencing mortality due warmer temperatures. highlights significant elevated temperatures, during critical developmental windows spring summer, which pivotal reproduction. Additionally, our results reveal that observed more strongly driven than landscape composition structure. estimated have shifted over 68 km average, but this shift reached 200 easternmost portions range. Climate-induced underscores need adaptive management strategies consider rapid ecological potential vulnerability climatic biotic stressors. provides vital insights can inform ensuring sustainability face ongoing

Language: Английский

Projecting bird assemblage responses to climate-driven changes in managed boreal forest landscapes of Québec DOI Creative Commons
Guillemette Labadie, Yan Boulanger, Pierre Drapeau

et al.

Biological Conservation, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 302, P. 110956 - 110956

Published: Jan. 5, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Recent climate change strongly impacted the population dynamic of a North American insect pest species DOI Creative Commons
Yan Boulanger,

Adèle Desaint,

Véronique Martel

et al.

bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Aug. 9, 2024

Abstract Climate change is redefining the dynamics of forest ecosystems globally, particularly through its impact on pest populations such as spruce budworm (SBW, Choristoneura fumiferana [Clem.]), a major defoliator in North American boreal forests. This study investigates shifts population across range response to recent climate change. We used process-based, temperature-dependent ecophysiological model combined with ERA5 reanalysis assess changes SBW phenology, reproduction rate, winter survival and growth rates from 1950 2022 America. Our findings demonstrate pronounced northward expansion suitable conditions for SBW, accompanied by earlier phenological events increased northern regions. Conversely, southern parts are experiencing mortality due warmer temperatures. highlights significant elevated temperatures, during critical developmental windows spring summer, which pivotal reproduction. Additionally, our results reveal that observed more strongly driven than landscape composition structure. estimated have shifted over 68 km average, but this shift reached 200 easternmost portions range. Climate-induced underscores need adaptive management strategies consider rapid ecological potential vulnerability climatic biotic stressors. provides vital insights can inform ensuring sustainability face ongoing

Language: Английский

Citations

0