Subseasonal Prediction of Heat‐Related Mortality in Switzerland DOI Creative Commons
Maria Pyrina, Ana M. Vicedo–Cabrera, Dominik Büeler

et al.

GeoHealth, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 9(1)

Published: Dec. 25, 2024

Heatwaves pose a range of severe impacts on human health, including an increase in premature mortality. The summers 2018 and 2022 are two examples with record-breaking temperatures leading to thousands heat-related excess deaths Europe. Some the extreme experienced during these were predictable several weeks advance by subseasonal forecasts. Subseasonal forecasts provide weather predictions from 2 months ahead, offering planning capabilities. Nevertheless, there is only limited assessment potential for heat-health warning systems at regional level timescales. Here we combine methods climate epidemiology retrospectively predict mortality cantons Zurich Geneva Switzerland. temperature-mortality association estimated using observed daily temperature between 1990 2017. subsequently combined bias-corrected spatial resolution 2-km counts 2022. compared against based summers. Heat-related peaks occurring few days can be accurately predicted up while longer periods lasting anticipated 3 even 4 ahead. Our findings demonstrate that valuable-but yet untapped-tool potentially issuing warnings health burden central European

Language: Английский

A digital heat early warning system for older adults DOI Creative Commons
M.M. Oberai, Zhiwei Xu, Aaron J. E. Bach

et al.

npj Digital Medicine, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(1)

Published: Feb. 20, 2025

Abstract Extreme heat events lead to considerable health burden and are becoming more severe frequent, calling for the development of effective population-based individualised early warning systems. We developed an system tested it in 78 older adults’ ( ≥ 65 years) homes Southeast Queensland, Australia. Quantitative qualitative data from this proof-of-concept testing study showed that Ethos performed well on a standard usability scale (mean score System Usability Scale). Following summer-time use system, there were increases preparedness P < 0.001, marginal homogeneity tests) but no significant risk perception or uptake low-cost cooling measures (e.g., hand/forearm bath, fans). This research demonstrated tailored, actionable, real-time digital although effectiveness remains be evaluated robust trial design.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Comparing Integrated Heat Stress Indicators With Raw Meteorological Variables in Predicting Heat Stroke‐Related Ambulance Transportations in Japan DOI Creative Commons
Qiang Guo, Vera Ling Hui Phung, Chris Fook Sheng Ng

et al.

GeoHealth, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 9(4)

Published: April 1, 2025

Abstract The increasing threat of heat stress poses significant risks to human health globally. To quantify exposure more effectively, integrated indicators (HSIs) have been developed simplify the classification severity and assist in public warnings. However, their ability accurately predict daily stroke cases has not fully assessed. In this study, we evaluated performance multiple HSIs forecasting number stroke‐related emergency ambulance dispatches (HT‐EADs) across 47 prefectures Japan compared accuracy models using raw meteorological variables. Our results indicate that, while process assessing stress, they generally show lower performances than based on data. Among eight tested, Wet Bulb Globe Temperature ( T WBG ) showed strongest predictive power, with median R 2 values 0.77 0.70 for calibration validation periods, respectively. incorporating air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, solar radiation outperformed , achieving 0.85 0.74. We also observed spatial variability HSI performance, particularly cooler regions like Hokkaido, where provided no improvement over temperature alone. Given these findings, recommend that be rigorously local data before being used warning systems specific locations. For predictions requiring high accuracy, variables could prioritized ensure greater precision.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Methane Hotspots in Landfills: A Systematic Review on Transboundary Dispersion and Impacts on Heatwaves in South Asia DOI Creative Commons

Mohammad Toha,

Tasrif Nur Ariyan,

Mahbub Alam

et al.

Cleaner Waste Systems, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 100235 - 100235

Published: Feb. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
気候変動・気象因子と疾患の疫学 DOI Open Access

真 須﨑

Nihon Ika Daigaku Igakkai Zasshi, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 21(1), P. 19 - 24

Published: Feb. 20, 2025

Citations

0
Climate Change Impacts and Sustainability Integration among Breast International Group Members DOI Open Access
Seamus O’Reilly, Jessica Griffiths, Lisa Fox

et al.

The Breast, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 104469 - 104469

Published: April 1, 2025

Integration of sustainability measures into clinical research would translate less healthcare related climate impacts. We assessed change impacts, existing engagement, and challenges facilitators to mitigation strategies among Breast International Group (BIG) members. A 30 item web based survey assessing integration in funding applications was developed, circulated electronically between November 2023 March 2024. Thirty four members (research groups data centres) participating sites across 5 continents, BIG headquarters responded. Twenty six responses were received from 21 organisations, 20 17 sites. No obtained 28 groups. Trial conduct at a third member had been impacted by impacts such as destroyed infrastructure. 78 % agreed that should feature future applications. Most respondents engaged initiatives host institute organisational level. However, 39 coordinating centres 65 representative none within trials conducted their organisation. The majority foresaw engagement including competing time pressure, staff attitudes resource constraints. Of nine potential funding, an evidence base for sustainable practice training the leading themes. In first global its kind, reported trial conduct. absent significant minority. Funding dedicated resourcing facilitate increased cancer trials.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Wet‐Bulb Temperature Extremes Locally Amplified by Wet Soils DOI Creative Commons

Guillaume Chagnaud,

Christopher M. Taylor, Lawrence Jackson

et al.

Geophysical Research Letters, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 52(8)

Published: April 25, 2025

Abstract Wet‐bulb temperature extremes (WTEs) occur due to a combination of high humidity and temperature, are hazardous human health. Alongside favourable large‐scale conditions, surface fluxes play an important role in WTEs; yet, little is known about how land heterogeneity influences them. Using 10‐year, pan‐African convection‐permitting model simulation, we find that most WTEs have spatial extents 2,000 . They preferentially over positive soil moisture anomalies (SMA) typically following rainfall. The wet‐bulb locally amplified by 0.5–0.6C events associated with smaller‐scale SMA (50 km across) compared larger‐scale (300 across). A mesoscale cifrculation, resulting from stronger contrasts sensible heat flux, more efficiently concentrates moist, warm air shallower boundary layer. This mechanism could explain the underestimation peak Twb values coarser‐resolution products. antecedent recent rainfall may help issue localized early warnings.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Climate Therapy: Sustainability Solutions for Breast Cancer Care in the Anthropocene Era DOI Creative Commons
Séamus O’Reilly, Emer Lynch,

E. Shelley Hwang

et al.

Clinical Breast Cancer, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 25(3), P. 198 - 213

Published: Nov. 21, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Smart heat-health action plans: A programmatic, progressive and dynamic framework to address urban overheating DOI Creative Commons
Aveek Ghosh

Geographica Pannonica, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 28(3), P. 221 - 237

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Cities stand at the focal point of vulnerability to heat waves (HWs) as they threaten urban livability and sustainability. National, regional, local heat-health action plans (HHAPs) are vital for combating HWs increasingly crucial adaptation measures extreme heat. The present article highlights most recent development on working mechanism HHAPs, its contemporary challenges, barriers it a range operational management planning strategies. It introduces concept 'smartness' existing HHAPs which holds significant potential be intelligent, explicit dynamic address growing multifaceted impacts emphasizes urgent priorities including long-term planning, multisectoral heat-early warning systems, building resilience recommends application eight core elements endorsed by World Health Organization (WHO) effective implementation HHAPs. Collaboration among meteorological, epidemiological, public health, experts is essential addressing multidimensional challenges

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Subseasonal Prediction of Heat‐Related Mortality in Switzerland DOI Creative Commons
Maria Pyrina, Ana M. Vicedo–Cabrera, Dominik Büeler

et al.

GeoHealth, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 9(1)

Published: Dec. 25, 2024

Heatwaves pose a range of severe impacts on human health, including an increase in premature mortality. The summers 2018 and 2022 are two examples with record-breaking temperatures leading to thousands heat-related excess deaths Europe. Some the extreme experienced during these were predictable several weeks advance by subseasonal forecasts. Subseasonal forecasts provide weather predictions from 2 months ahead, offering planning capabilities. Nevertheless, there is only limited assessment potential for heat-health warning systems at regional level timescales. Here we combine methods climate epidemiology retrospectively predict mortality cantons Zurich Geneva Switzerland. temperature-mortality association estimated using observed daily temperature between 1990 2017. subsequently combined bias-corrected spatial resolution 2-km counts 2022. compared against based summers. Heat-related peaks occurring few days can be accurately predicted up while longer periods lasting anticipated 3 even 4 ahead. Our findings demonstrate that valuable-but yet untapped-tool potentially issuing warnings health burden central European

Language: Английский

Citations

0