Short-Medium-Term Solar Irradiance Forecasting with a CEEMDAN-CNN-ATT-LSTM Hybrid Model Using Meteorological Data
Applied Sciences,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
15(3), P. 1275 - 1275
Published: Jan. 26, 2025
In
recent
years,
the
adverse
effects
of
climate
change
have
increased
rapidly
worldwide,
driving
countries
to
transition
clean
energy
sources
such
as
solar
and
wind.
However,
these
energies
face
challenges
cloud
cover,
precipitation,
wind
speed,
temperature,
which
introduce
variability
intermittency
in
power
generation,
making
integration
into
interconnected
grid
difficult.
To
achieve
this,
we
present
a
novel
hybrid
deep
learning
model,
CEEMDAN-CNN-ATT-LSTM,
for
short-
medium-term
irradiance
prediction.
The
model
utilizes
complete
empirical
ensemble
modal
decomposition
with
adaptive
noise
(CEEMDAN)
extract
intrinsic
seasonal
patterns
irradiance.
addition,
it
employs
encoder-decoder
framework
that
combines
convolutional
neural
networks
(CNN)
capture
spatial
relationships
between
variables,
an
attention
mechanism
(ATT)
identify
long-term
patterns,
long
short-term
memory
(LSTM)
network
dependencies
time
series
data.
This
has
been
validated
using
meteorological
data
more
than
2400
masl
region
characterized
by
complex
climatic
conditions
south
Ecuador.
It
was
able
predict
at
1,
6,
12
h
horizons,
mean
absolute
error
(MAE)
99.89
W/m2
winter
110.13
summer,
outperforming
reference
methods
this
study.
These
results
demonstrate
our
represents
progress
contributing
scientific
community
field
environments
high
its
applicability
real
scenarios.
Language: Английский
Optimizing the Architecture of a Quantum–Classical Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Forecasting Ozone Concentrations: Air Quality Management Tool for Houston, Texas
Atmosphere,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
16(3), P. 255 - 255
Published: Feb. 23, 2025
Keeping
track
of
air
quality
is
paramount
to
issue
preemptive
measures
mitigate
adversarial
effects
on
the
population.
This
study
introduces
a
new
quantum–classical
approach,
combining
graph-based
deep
learning
structure
with
quantum
neural
network
predict
ozone
concentration
up
6
h
ahead.
The
proposed
architecture
utilized
historical
data
from
Houston,
Texas,
major
urban
area
that
frequently
fails
comply
regulations.
Our
results
revealed
smoother
transition
between
classical
framework
and
its
counterpart
enhances
model’s
results.
Moreover,
we
observed
min–max
normalization
increased
ansatz
repetitions
also
improved
hybrid
performance.
was
evident
evaluating
assessment
metrics
root
mean
square
error
(RMSE),
coefficient
determination
(R2)
forecast
skill
(FS).
Values
for
R2
FS
horizons
considered
were
94.12%
31.01%
1
h,
83.94%
48.01%
3
75.62%
57.46%
forecasts.
A
comparison
existing
literature
both
QML
models
methodology
could
provide
competitive
results,
even
surpass
some
well-established
forecasting
models,
proving
be
valuable
resource
forecasting,
thus
validating
this
approach.
Language: Английский
Application of Quantum Neural Network for Solar Irradiance Forecasting: A Case Study Using the Folsom Dataset, California
Published: July 2, 2024
Quantum
machine
learning
applications
have
become
viable
with
the
recent
advancements
in
quantum
computing.
Merging
ML
power
of
computing
holds
great
potential
for
data-driven
decision-making,
as
well
development
more
powerful
models
capable
handling
complex
datasets
faster
processing
time.
This
area
offers
improving
accuracy
real-time
forecasting
renewable
energy
production.
However,
literature
on
this
topic
is
sparse.
Addressing
knowledge
gap,
study
aims
to
design,
implement,
and
evaluate
performance
a
neural
network
forecast
model
solar
irradiance
up
3-hours
ahead.
The
proposed
was
compared
Support
Vector
Regression,
Group
Method
Data
Handling,
Extreme
Gradient
Boost
classical
models.
Using
best
configuration
found,
framework
could
provide
competitive
results
when
its
competitors,
considering
intervals
5-
120-minutes
ahead,
where
it
fourth
best-performing
paradigm.
For
ahead
predictions,
QNN
able
overcome
clas-sical
counterparts,
but
XGBoost.
fact
can
be
an
indication
that
may
identify
retrieve
relevant
spatiotemporal
information
from
input
dataset
such
manner
not
attainable
by
current
approaches.
Language: Английский