Predicting climate change impact on the habitat of Ethiopia’s spot-breasted lapwing using ensemble model

Global Ecology and Conservation, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 54, P. e03139 - e03139

Published: Aug. 11, 2024

Endemic species are usually confined in a restricted geographical range with specialized ecological requirements. Majority of these species, therefore, under the risk extinction due to climate change coupled other anthropogenic pressures. The impact is increasingly recognized as severe tropical highland endemic bird by either shifting or contracting their range. In this study, we tried show on one Ethiopian spot-breasted lapwing (Vanellus melanocephalus). Although considered Least Concern, it fragmented Afro-alpine open grassland long streams seasonal pond ecosystem Ethiopia. We predicted current suitable habitat and projected its future two shared socio-economic pathways (SSP4.5 SSP8.5) year 2050 2070. used 117 georeferenced occurrence points 11 ecologically important variables develop an ensemble modeling averaging nine-species distribution algorithms threshold TSS > 0.7. result indicated 104,117.62 km² area various northwestern southeastern highlands. largest (78.02 %) outside protected areas country. Mean temperature driest quarter was leading bioclimatic variable for prediction followed iso-thermality vegetation. Habitat suitability declined mean beyond 15ºC. Under climatic scenarios, substantial loss will occur more than 50 % net size change. This be 86.60 SSP8.5 Such contractions suggest potential unless conservation action taken. presence large reveal need species-specific plan both unprotected areas. Moreover, adequate ecological, genetic studies also mandatory have full understanding regarding pressure future.

Language: Английский

Relationship between hatching success, nest location and egg traits in Kentish plovers Anarhynchus alexandrinus breeding in an oasis wetland in the Sahara Desert, Algeria

The European Zoological Journal, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 92(1), P. 420 - 433

Published: Feb. 26, 2025

Language: Английский

Anthropogenic and climate change-driven coastline dynamics will erode future nesting habitats of the kentish plover on the central adriatic coast

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 14(1)

Published: Oct. 7, 2024

Shorebirds play a crucial role in assessing the health of coastal ecosystems due to their life history, behaviour, migratory patterns, and feeding preferences. Many shorebird species are experiencing population declines worldwide, driven by habitat loss climate change. Understanding these challenges requires extensive data on distribution breeding ecology. The Kentish Plover (Anarhynchus alexandrinus) is small that constructs its nests sandy beaches. However, there scarcity regarding reproductive ecology this many areas, including Molise region Southern Italy. This study aimed at potential environmental variables derived from remote sensing model current future nesting suitability accounting for scenarios dynamics 2040. Data were collected along coast over several years used calibrate ecological niche models (ENMs) relying images. was mostly affected distance open sand, artificial surfaces, shoreline, herbaceous vegetation forested areas. predicts an average decline more than 22% suitable environments within next two decades. Results indicated our modelling approach can offer valuable insights conservation strategy region. In conclusion, we assert preserving will not only safeguard species, but also other inhabit similar environments, with providing protection landscapes associated ecosystem services.

Language: Английский