Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on the Distribution of North China Leopards (Panthera pardus japonensis) in Gansu Province Using MaxEnt Modeling DOI Creative Commons

Yongqiang Yang,

Wenjie Gao,

Yapeng Han

et al.

Biology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(2), P. 126 - 126

Published: Jan. 26, 2025

Climate change has a profound impact on the phenology and growth of vegetation, which in turn influences distribution behavior animal communities, including prey species. This dynamic shift significantly affects predator survival activities. study utilizes MaxEnt model to explore how climate impacts North China leopard (Panthera pardus japonensis) Ziwuling region Gansu Province, China. As an endemic subspecies apex predator, is vital for maintaining structure function local ecosystems. Unfortunately, its population faces several threats, habitat change, interspecies competition, human encroachment, all are compounded by ongoing effects change. To assess requirement quality this species, we conducted survey area from May 2020 June 2022, utilizing 240 infrared cameras, identified 46 active sites. Using model, simulated suitability future under different scenarios based nine environmental variables. Our results indicate that leopards primarily influenced mean diurnal range (Bio2), with additional sensitivity isothermal conditions (Bio3), temperature seasonality (Bio4), maximum warmest month (Bio5), annual (Bio7). We also evaluated across three socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585) time intervals: 2050s (2041–2060), 2070s (2061–2080), 2090s (2081–2100). The findings suggest significant decline high-suitability leopards, while areas medium low projected increase. Understanding these distributional changes will enhance our comprehension region’s biogeography inform conservation strategies aimed at mitigating

Language: Английский

Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on the Distribution of North China Leopards (Panthera pardus japonensis) in Gansu Province Using MaxEnt Modeling DOI Creative Commons

Yongqiang Yang,

Wenjie Gao,

Yapeng Han

et al.

Biology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(2), P. 126 - 126

Published: Jan. 26, 2025

Climate change has a profound impact on the phenology and growth of vegetation, which in turn influences distribution behavior animal communities, including prey species. This dynamic shift significantly affects predator survival activities. study utilizes MaxEnt model to explore how climate impacts North China leopard (Panthera pardus japonensis) Ziwuling region Gansu Province, China. As an endemic subspecies apex predator, is vital for maintaining structure function local ecosystems. Unfortunately, its population faces several threats, habitat change, interspecies competition, human encroachment, all are compounded by ongoing effects change. To assess requirement quality this species, we conducted survey area from May 2020 June 2022, utilizing 240 infrared cameras, identified 46 active sites. Using model, simulated suitability future under different scenarios based nine environmental variables. Our results indicate that leopards primarily influenced mean diurnal range (Bio2), with additional sensitivity isothermal conditions (Bio3), temperature seasonality (Bio4), maximum warmest month (Bio5), annual (Bio7). We also evaluated across three socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585) time intervals: 2050s (2041–2060), 2070s (2061–2080), 2090s (2081–2100). The findings suggest significant decline high-suitability leopards, while areas medium low projected increase. Understanding these distributional changes will enhance our comprehension region’s biogeography inform conservation strategies aimed at mitigating

Language: Английский

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