Accounting of Grassland Ecosystem Assets and Assessment of Sustainable Development Potential in the Bosten Lake Basin DOI Open Access
Zhichao Zhang,

Zhoukang Li,

Zhen Zhu

et al.

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(8), P. 3460 - 3460

Published: April 13, 2025

Assessing the ecosystem service value (ESV) of grasslands is crucial for sustainable resource management and environmental conservation. This study evaluates spatiotemporal changes in grassland services Bosten Lake Basin using long-term land use data (2000–2022). Employing Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model, we develop three future scenarios—natural development, ecological protection, economic priority—to predict utilization trends. The findings reveal a continuous decline area values, driven by climate change human activities. Compared with 2022, all scenarios indicate further degradation, but protection measures significantly mitigate ESV loss. provides scientific insights policy-making, contributing to restoration strategies under impacts. following: (1) Over 22-year period, has experienced an overall decline. Notably, plain desert steppe expanded from 626,179.41 ha 1,223,506.62 ha, whereas meadow reduced 556,784.64 118,948.23 ha. (2) total basin exhibited marginally insignificant decrease, amounting reduction 5.73422 billion CNY. values mountain desert, steppe, typical were relatively low showed minimal change. (3) In comparison projected areas 2000 show substantial reduction, particularly hilly grasslands. across are expected tandem varying degrees degradation. research underscores impact global warming activities on shrinking diminishing Basin. current state resources threat, highlighting urgent need strategic planning conservation efforts ensure development integrity.

Language: Английский

Accounting of Grassland Ecosystem Assets and Assessment of Sustainable Development Potential in the Bosten Lake Basin DOI Open Access
Zhichao Zhang,

Zhoukang Li,

Zhen Zhu

et al.

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(8), P. 3460 - 3460

Published: April 13, 2025

Assessing the ecosystem service value (ESV) of grasslands is crucial for sustainable resource management and environmental conservation. This study evaluates spatiotemporal changes in grassland services Bosten Lake Basin using long-term land use data (2000–2022). Employing Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model, we develop three future scenarios—natural development, ecological protection, economic priority—to predict utilization trends. The findings reveal a continuous decline area values, driven by climate change human activities. Compared with 2022, all scenarios indicate further degradation, but protection measures significantly mitigate ESV loss. provides scientific insights policy-making, contributing to restoration strategies under impacts. following: (1) Over 22-year period, has experienced an overall decline. Notably, plain desert steppe expanded from 626,179.41 ha 1,223,506.62 ha, whereas meadow reduced 556,784.64 118,948.23 ha. (2) total basin exhibited marginally insignificant decrease, amounting reduction 5.73422 billion CNY. values mountain desert, steppe, typical were relatively low showed minimal change. (3) In comparison projected areas 2000 show substantial reduction, particularly hilly grasslands. across are expected tandem varying degrees degradation. research underscores impact global warming activities on shrinking diminishing Basin. current state resources threat, highlighting urgent need strategic planning conservation efforts ensure development integrity.

Language: Английский

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