Dynamical systems-inspired machine learning methods for drought prediction DOI Creative Commons

Andrew Watford,

Chris T. Bauch, Madhur Anand

et al.

Ecological Informatics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 102889 - 102889

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Improving daily reference evapotranspiration forecasts: Designing AI-enabled recurrent neural networks based long short-term memory DOI Creative Commons
Mumtaz Ali,

Jesu Vedha Nayahi,

Erfan Abdi

et al.

Ecological Informatics, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 102995 - 102995

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

3

Investigating the Response of Vegetation to Flash Droughts by Using Cross-Spectral Analysis and an Evapotranspiration-Based Drought Index DOI Creative Commons
Peng Zhan Li, Jia Li, Jing Lu

et al.

Remote Sensing, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(9), P. 1564 - 1564

Published: April 28, 2024

Flash droughts tend to cause severe damage agriculture due their characteristics of sudden onset and rapid intensification. Early detection the response vegetation flash is utmost importance in mitigating effects droughts, as it can provide a scientific basis for establishing an early warning system. The commonly used method determining time drought, based on index or correlation between precipitation anomaly growth anomaly, leads late irreversible drought vegetation, which may not be sufficient use analyzing earning. evapotranspiration-based (ET-based) indices are effective indicator identifying monitoring drought. This study proposes novel approach that applies cross-spectral analysis ET-based index, i.e., Evaporative Stress Anomaly Index (ESAI), forcing vegetation-based Normalized Vegetation (NVAI), response, both from medium-resolution remote sensing data, estimate lag vitality status An experiment was carried out North China during March–September period 2001–2020 using products at 1 km spatial resolution. results show average water availability estimated by over 5.9 days, shorter than measured widely (26.5 days). main difference phase lies fundamental processes behind definitions two methods, subtle dynamic fluctuation signature signal (vegetation-based index) correlates with (ET-based versus impact indicated negative NDVI anomaly. varied types irrigation conditions. rainfed cropland, irrigated grassland, forest 5.4, 5.8, 6.1, 6.9 respectively. Forests have longer grasses crops deeper root systems, mitigate impacts droughts. Our method, innovative earlier impending impacts, rather waiting occur. information detected stage help decision makers developing more timely strategies ecosystems.

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Evidential uncertainty quantification with multiple deep learning architectures for spatiotemporal drought forecasting DOI
Ahlem Ferchichi, Mejda Chihaoui,

Radhia Toujani

et al.

Neural Computing and Applications, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Feb. 15, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Observational Analysis of Long-term Streamflow Response to Flash Drought in the Mississippi River Basin DOI Creative Commons
Sophia Bakar, Hyunglok Kim, Brett G. Jeffrey

et al.

Weather and Climate Extremes, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 100762 - 100762

Published: March 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Advanced Forecasting of Drought Zones in Canada Using Deep Learning and CMIP6 Projections DOI Open Access
Keyvan Soltani,

Afshin Amiri,

Isa Ebtehaj

et al.

Climate, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12(8), P. 119 - 119

Published: Aug. 10, 2024

This study addresses the critical issue of drought zoning in Canada using advanced deep learning techniques. Drought, exacerbated by climate change, significantly affects ecosystems, agriculture, and water resources. Canadian Drought Monitor (CDM) data provided government ERA5-Land daily were utilized to generate a comprehensive time series mean monthly precipitation air temperature for 199 sample locations from 1979 2023. These processed Google Earth Engine (GEE) environment used develop Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model estimate CDM values, thereby filling gaps historical data. The CanESM5 model, as assessed IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, was employed under four change scenarios predict future conditions. Our CNN forecasts values up 2100, enabling accurate zoning. results reveal significant trends changes, indicating areas most vulnerable droughts, while shows slow increasing trend. analysis indicates that extreme scenarios, certain regions may experience increase frequency severity necessitating proactive planning mitigation strategies. findings are policymakers stakeholders designing effective management adaptation programs.

Language: Английский

Citations

2

Dynamical systems-inspired machine learning methods for drought prediction DOI Creative Commons

Andrew Watford,

Chris T. Bauch, Madhur Anand

et al.

Ecological Informatics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 102889 - 102889

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0