Habitat Suitability Shifts of Eucommia ulmoides in Southwest China Under Climate Change Projections DOI Creative Commons
Qi Liu, Longjiang Liu, Juan Xue

et al.

Biology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(4), P. 451 - 451

Published: April 21, 2025

As a Chinese endemic species with dual medicinal–industrial importance, Eucommia ulmoides faces habitat challenges under climate change. Using 21 bioclimatic variables and 704 occurrence records, we modeled current future (2021–2100) distributions via MaxEnt 3.4.4 ArcGIS 10.8. The results indicate the following: (1) optimal habitats cluster in mid-elevation valleys of Daba–Wuling Mountains (Guizhou–Chongqing core); (2) SSP5-8.5 projections suggest 19.2% reduction high-suitability areas by 2081–2100 versus SSP1-2.6; (3) distribution centroids migrate southward both scenarios. Our multi-temporal analysis provides actionable intelligence for ex situ conservation agroforestry planning.

Language: Английский

Habitat Suitability Shifts of Eucommia ulmoides in Southwest China Under Climate Change Projections DOI Creative Commons
Qi Liu, Longjiang Liu, Juan Xue

et al.

Biology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(4), P. 451 - 451

Published: April 21, 2025

As a Chinese endemic species with dual medicinal–industrial importance, Eucommia ulmoides faces habitat challenges under climate change. Using 21 bioclimatic variables and 704 occurrence records, we modeled current future (2021–2100) distributions via MaxEnt 3.4.4 ArcGIS 10.8. The results indicate the following: (1) optimal habitats cluster in mid-elevation valleys of Daba–Wuling Mountains (Guizhou–Chongqing core); (2) SSP5-8.5 projections suggest 19.2% reduction high-suitability areas by 2081–2100 versus SSP1-2.6; (3) distribution centroids migrate southward both scenarios. Our multi-temporal analysis provides actionable intelligence for ex situ conservation agroforestry planning.

Language: Английский

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