A Multi-Step-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Approach Using One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks and Transformer
Electronics,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
13(11), P. 2007 - 2007
Published: May 21, 2024
Due
to
environmental
concerns
about
the
use
of
fossil
fuels,
renewable
energy,
especially
solar
is
increasingly
sought
after
for
its
ease
installation,
cost-effectiveness,
and
versatile
capacity.
However,
variability
in
factors
poses
a
significant
challenge
photovoltaic
(PV)
power
generation
forecasting,
which
crucial
maintaining
system
stability
economic
efficiency.
In
this
paper,
novel
muti-step-ahead
PV
forecasting
model
by
integrating
single-step
multi-step
forecasts
from
various
time
resolutions
was
developed.
One-dimensional
convolutional
neural
network
(CNN)
layers
were
used
capture
specific
temporal
patterns,
with
transformer
improving
leveraging
combined
outputs
CNN.
This
combination
can
provide
accurate
immediate
as
well
ability
identify
longer-term
trends.
Using
DKASC-ASA-1A
1B
datasets
empirical
validation,
several
preprocessing
methods
applied
series
experiments
conducted
compare
performance
other
widely
deep
learning
models.
The
framework
proved
be
capable
accurately
predicting
multi-step-ahead
at
multiple
resolutions.
Language: Английский
SolarFlux Predictor: A Novel Deep Learning Approach for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting in South Korea
Electronics,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
13(11), P. 2071 - 2071
Published: May 27, 2024
We
present
SolarFlux
Predictor,
a
novel
deep-learning
model
designed
to
revolutionize
photovoltaic
(PV)
power
forecasting
in
South
Korea.
This
uses
self-attention-based
temporal
convolutional
network
(TCN)
process
and
predict
PV
outputs
with
high
precision.
perform
meticulous
data
preprocessing
ensure
accurate
normalization
outlier
rectification,
which
are
vital
for
reliable
analysis.
The
TCN
layers
crucial
capturing
patterns
energy
data;
we
complement
them
the
teacher
forcing
technique
during
training
phase
significantly
enhance
sequence
prediction
accuracy.
By
optimizing
hyperparameters
Optuna,
further
improve
model’s
performance.
Our
incorporates
multi-head
self-attention
mechanisms
focus
on
most
impactful
features,
thereby
improving
In
validations
against
datasets
from
nine
regions
Korea,
outperformed
conventional
methods.
results
indicate
that
is
robust
tool
systems’
management
operational
efficiency
can
contribute
Korea’s
pursuit
of
sustainable
solutions.
Language: Английский
SolarNexus: A deep learning framework for adaptive photovoltaic power generation forecasting and scalable management
Applied Energy,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
391, P. 125848 - 125848
Published: April 11, 2025
Language: Английский
Advancements and Challenges in Photovoltaic Power Forecasting: A Comprehensive Review
Energies,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
18(8), P. 2108 - 2108
Published: April 19, 2025
The
fast
growth
of
photovoltaic
(PV)
power
generation
requires
dependable
forecasting
methods
to
support
efficient
integration
solar
energy
into
systems.
This
study
conducts
an
up-to-date,
systematized
analysis
different
models
and
used
for
prediction.
It
begins
with
a
new
taxonomy,
classifying
PV
according
the
time
horizon,
architecture,
selection
criteria
matched
certain
application
areas.
An
overview
most
popular
heterogeneous
techniques,
including
physical
models,
statistical
methodologies,
machine
learning
algorithms,
hybrid
approaches,
is
provided;
their
respective
advantages
disadvantages
are
put
perspective
based
on
tasks.
paper
also
explores
advanced
model
optimization
methodologies;
achieving
hyperparameter
tuning;
feature
selection,
use
evolutionary
swarm
intelligence
which
have
shown
promise
in
enhancing
accuracy
efficiency
models.
review
includes
detailed
examination
performance
metrics
frameworks,
as
well
consequences
weather
conditions
affecting
renewable
operational
economic
implications
performance.
highlights
recent
advancements
field,
deep
architectures,
incorporation
diverse
data
sources,
development
real-time
on-demand
solutions.
Finally,
this
identifies
key
challenges
future
research
directions,
emphasizing
need
improved
adaptability,
quality,
computational
large-scale
By
providing
holistic
critical
assessment
landscape,
aims
serve
valuable
resource
researchers,
practitioners,
decision
makers
working
towards
sustainable
reliable
deployment
worldwide.
Language: Английский
Predictive Modeling of Photovoltaic Energy Yield Using an ARIMA Approach
Fatima Sapundzhi,
No information about this author
Aleksandar Chikalov,
No information about this author
Slavi Georgiev
No information about this author
et al.
Applied Sciences,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
14(23), P. 11192 - 11192
Published: Nov. 30, 2024
This
paper
presents
a
method
for
predicting
the
energy
yield
of
photovoltaic
(PV)
system
based
on
ARIMA
algorithm.
We
analyze
two
key
time
series:
specific
and
total
PV
system.
Two
models
are
developed
each
one
selected
by
authors
determined
SPSS.
Model
performance
is
evaluated
through
fit
statistics,
providing
comprehensive
assessment
model
accuracy.
The
residuals’
ACF
PACF
examined
to
ensure
adequacy,
confidence
intervals
calculated
residuals
validate
models.
A
monthly
forecast
then
generated
both
series,
complete
with
intervals,
demonstrate
models’
predictive
capabilities.
results
highlight
effectiveness
in
forecasting
yields,
offering
valuable
insights
optimizing
planning.
study
contributes
field
renewable
demonstrating
applicability
systems.
Language: Английский
Adaptive sliding mode control based on maximum power point tracking for boost converter of photovoltaic system under reference voltage optimizer
Frontiers in Energy Research,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
12
Published: Oct. 17, 2024
This
article
presents
an
innovative
APISMC
method
applied
to
PVS,
integrating
the
MPPT
technique
for
a
boost
converter.
The
primary
objective
of
this
approach
is
maximize
converter’s
output
power
while
ensuring
optimal
operation
in
face
varying
environmental
conditions
such
as
solar
irradiance
and
temperature,
dynamically
adapting
variations
system
parameters,
demonstrated
by
obtained
results.
To
achieve
this,
RVO
employed
generate
reference
voltage
power.
A
PI
controller
calculates
current
based
on
control
modeling
utilizes
all
its
variables
synthesize
sliding
surface
duty
cycle
converter
control.
Simulations
conducted
demonstrate
superior
performance
terms
stability,
speed,
compared
traditional
algorithms.
main
contributions
include
improvement
robustness
against
variations,
thanks
integration
adaptive
algorithm
within
SMC.
Moreover,
proposed
theoretical
practical
framework
enables
rapid
attainment
adjusting
real-time,
optimizing
maximum
extraction
stable
regulation
even
under
non-ideal
conditions.
Language: Английский