Analysing Fire Propagation Models: A Case Study on FARSITE for Prolonged Wildfires DOI Creative Commons
Leonardo Martins, Rui Valente de Almeida,

António Maia

et al.

Fire, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(5), P. 166 - 166

Published: April 23, 2025

With increasing wildfire severity and duration driven by climate change, accurately predicting fire behavior over extended time frames is critical for effective management mitigation of such wildfires. Fire propagation models play a pivotal role in these efforts, providing simulations that can be used to strategize respond active fires. This study examines the area simulator (FARSITE) model’s performance simulating recent events persisted 24 h with limited firefighting intervention mostly remote access areas across diverse ecosystems. Our findings reveal key insights into prolonged scenarios potentially informing improvements operational long-term predictive accuracy, as comparisons indexes showed reasonable results between detected fires from information resource systems (FIRMSs) first following days. A case Madeira Island highlights integration real-time weather predictions post-event data analysis. analysis underscores potential combining accurate forecasts retrospective validation improve capabilities dynamic environments, which guided development software platform designed analyse ongoing real-time, leveraging image satellite predictions.

Language: Английский

Analysing Fire Propagation Models: A Case Study on FARSITE for Prolonged Wildfires DOI Creative Commons
Leonardo Martins, Rui Valente de Almeida,

António Maia

et al.

Fire, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(5), P. 166 - 166

Published: April 23, 2025

With increasing wildfire severity and duration driven by climate change, accurately predicting fire behavior over extended time frames is critical for effective management mitigation of such wildfires. Fire propagation models play a pivotal role in these efforts, providing simulations that can be used to strategize respond active fires. This study examines the area simulator (FARSITE) model’s performance simulating recent events persisted 24 h with limited firefighting intervention mostly remote access areas across diverse ecosystems. Our findings reveal key insights into prolonged scenarios potentially informing improvements operational long-term predictive accuracy, as comparisons indexes showed reasonable results between detected fires from information resource systems (FIRMSs) first following days. A case Madeira Island highlights integration real-time weather predictions post-event data analysis. analysis underscores potential combining accurate forecasts retrospective validation improve capabilities dynamic environments, which guided development software platform designed analyse ongoing real-time, leveraging image satellite predictions.

Language: Английский

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