The future of sustainability in the context of COVID-19 DOI Creative Commons
Donna‐Mareè Cawthorn,

Alexandra Kennaugh,

Sam M. Ferreira

et al.

AMBIO, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 50(4), P. 812 - 821

Published: Dec. 7, 2020

Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic is a global crisis emanating both from virus (SARS-CoV-2) and the drastic actions to contain it. Here, we reflect on immediate responses of most world powers amid chaos: totalitarian surveillance nationalist isolation. Drawing published literature, consider measures such as wildlife-use bans, lockdowns travel restrictions, along with their reverberations for people, economies planet. Our synthesis highlights significant shortfalls applying command-and-control tactics in emergencies. For one, heavy-handed bans risk enormous unintended consequences tend fail if they lack legitimacy or clash people’s values. Furthermore, reactive myopic strategies typically view stand-alone crisis, rather than unravelling complex interplay nature-society interactions through which zoonotic diseases originate. A return adaptive management approaches that recognise root causes foster socio-ecological resilience will be essential improve human planetary health mitigate future pandemics.

Language: Английский

Machine learning and algorithmic fairness in public and population health DOI Open Access
Vishwali Mhasawade, Yuan Zhao, Rumi Chunara

et al.

Nature Machine Intelligence, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 3(8), P. 659 - 666

Published: July 29, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

143
Role of meteorological factors in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States DOI Creative Commons
Yiqun Ma, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman

et al.

Nature Communications, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 12(1)

Published: June 14, 2021

Abstract Improved understanding of the effects meteorological conditions on transmission SARS-CoV-2, causative agent for COVID-19 disease, is needed. Here, we estimate relationship between air temperature, specific humidity, and ultraviolet radiation SARS-CoV-2 in 2669 U.S. counties with abundant reported cases from March 15 to December 31, 2020. Specifically, quantify associations daily mean estimates reproduction number ( R t ) calculate fraction attributable these conditions. Lower temperature (within 20–40 °C range), lower were significantly associated increased . The 3.73% (95% empirical confidence interval [eCI]: 3.66–3.76%), 9.35% eCI: 9.27–9.39%), 4.44% 4.38–4.47%), respectively. In total, 17.5% was factors. fractions factors generally higher northern than southern counties. Our findings indicate that cold dry weather low levels are moderately transmissibility, humidity playing largest role.

Language: Английский

Citations

132
COVID-19 pandemic over 2020 (with lockdowns) and 2021 (with vaccinations): similar effects for seasonality and environmental factors DOI
Mario Coccia

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 208, P. 112711 - 112711

Published: Jan. 13, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

129
Temperature and population density influence SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the absence of nonpharmaceutical interventions DOI Creative Commons
Tom Smith, Seth Flaxman, Amanda S. Gallinat

et al.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 118(25)

Published: June 8, 2021

As COVID-19 continues to spread across the world, it is increasingly important understand factors that influence its transmission. Seasonal variation driven by responses changing environment has been shown affect transmission intensity of several coronaviruses. However, impact on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) remains largely unknown, and thus seasonal a source uncertainty in forecasts SARS-CoV-2 Here we address this issue assessing association temperature, humidity, ultraviolet radiation, population density with estimates rate (R). Using data from United States, explore correlates US states using comparative regression integrative epidemiological modeling. We find policy intervention ("lockdown") reductions individuals' mobility are major predictors rates, but, their absence, lower temperatures higher densities correlated increased Our results show summer weather cannot be considered substitute for mitigation policies, but autumn winter may lead an increase absence interventions or behavioral changes. outline how information improve forecasting COVID-19, reveal future dynamics, inform policies.

Language: Английский

Citations

126
COVID-19 and the clinical course of rheumatic manifestations DOI Creative Commons
Sakir Ahmed, Olena Zimba, Armen Yuri Gasparyan

et al.

Clinical Rheumatology, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 40(7), P. 2611 - 2619

Published: March 17, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

119
Weather Variability and COVID-19 Transmission: A Review of Recent Research DOI Open Access
Hannah McClymont, Wenbiao Hu

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 18(2), P. 396 - 396

Published: Jan. 6, 2021

Weather and climate play a significant role in infectious disease transmission, through changes to transmission dynamics, host susceptibility virus survival the environment. Exploring association of weather variables COVID-19 is vital understanding potential for seasonality future outbreaks developing early warning systems. Previous research examined effects on COVID-19, but findings appeared inconsistent. This review aims summarize currently available literature between incidence provide possible suggestions weather-based system transmission. Studies eligible inclusion used ecological methods evaluate associations (i.e., temperature, humidity, wind speed rainfall) The showed that temperature was reported as greatest number studies, with increasing decreased highest range 0–17 °C. Humidity also significantly associated incidence, though results were mixed, studies reporting positive negative correlation. A interaction humidity reported. Wind rainfall not consistent across studies. including can contribute increased particularly winter conditions viability virus. While there less indication an rainfall, these may behavioral decrease exposure risk infection. Understanding implications seasonal variations monitoring control essential

Language: Английский

Citations

109
Non-linear correlation between daily new cases of COVID-19 and meteorological factors in 127 countries DOI Open Access
Jie Yuan,

Yu Wu,

Wenzhan Jing

et al.

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 193, P. 110521 - 110521

Published: Dec. 3, 2020

Language: Английский

Citations

81
A cross-sectional analysis of meteorological factors and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in 409 cities across 26 countries DOI Creative Commons
Francesco Sera, Ben Armstrong, Sam Abbott

et al.

Nature Communications, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 12(1)

Published: Oct. 13, 2021

Abstract There is conflicting evidence on the influence of weather COVID-19 transmission. Our aim to estimate weather-dependent signatures in early phase pandemic, while controlling for socio-economic factors and non-pharmaceutical interventions. We identify a modest non-linear association between mean temperature effective reproduction number (R e ) 409 cities 26 countries, with decrease 0.087 (95% CI: 0.025; 0.148) 10 °C increase. Early interventions have greater effect R 0.285 CI 0.223; 0.347) 5th - 95th percentile increase government response index. The variation explained by 6 times than temperature. find little meteorological conditions having influenced stages local epidemics conclude that population behaviour are more important drivers

Language: Английский

Citations

75
Targeting Host Defense System and Rescuing Compromised Mitochondria to Increase Tolerance against Pathogens by Melatonin May Impact Outcome of Deadly Virus Infection Pertinent to COVID-19 DOI Creative Commons
Dun‐Xian Tan, Rüdiger Hardeland

Molecules, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 25(19), P. 4410 - 4410

Published: Sept. 25, 2020

Fighting infectious diseases, particularly viral infections, is a demanding task for human health. Targeting the pathogens or targeting host are different strategies, but with an identical purpose, i.e., to curb pathogen’s spreading and cure illness. It appears that increase tolerance against can be of substantial advantage strategy used in evolution. Practically, it has broader protective spectrum than only specific pathogens, which differ terms susceptibility. Methods applied one pandemic even effective upcoming pandemics pathogens. This more urgent if we consider possible concomitance two respiratory diseases potential multi-organ afflictions such as Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) seasonal flu. Melatonin molecule enhance host’s pathogen invasions. Due its antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, immunoregulatory activities, melatonin capacity reduce severity mortality deadly virus infections including COVID-19. synthesized functions mitochondria, play critical role infections. Not surprisingly, synthesis become target strategies manipulate mitochondrial status. For example, infection switch energy metabolism from respiration widely anaerobic glycolysis plenty oxygen available (the Warburg effect) when cell cannot generate acetyl-coenzyme A, metabolite required biosynthesis. Under some conditions, aging, gender, predisposed health already compromised exposed further challenges, lose their producing sufficient amounts melatonin. leads reduced support makes these individuals vulnerable diseases. Thus, maintenance function by supplementation expected beneficial effects on outcome

Language: Английский

Citations

56
Assessing the influence of climate on wintertime SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks DOI Creative Commons
Rachel E. Baker, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi

et al.

Nature Communications, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 12(1)

Published: Feb. 8, 2021

High susceptibility has limited the role of climate in SARS-CoV-2 pandemic to date. However, understanding a possible future effect climate, as declines and northern-hemisphere winter approaches, is an important open question. Here we use epidemiological model, constrained by observations, assess sensitivity disease trajectories local conditions. We find this depends on both population efficacy non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) reducing transmission. Assuming high susceptibility, more stringent NPIs may be required minimize outbreak risk months. Our results suggest that strength remain greatest determinant pre-vaccination size. While small for meteorological forecasts projecting severity, uncertainty parameters will likely have substantial impact generating accurate predictions.

Language: Английский

Citations

53