Deep Learning vs. Gradient Boosting: Optimizing Transport Energy Forecasts in Thailand Through LSTM and XGBoost
Energies,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
18(7), P. 1685 - 1685
Published: March 27, 2025
Thailand’s
transport
sector
faces
critical
challenges
in
energy
management
amid
rapid
economic
growth,
with
accounting
for
approximately
30%
of
total
consumption.
This
study
addresses
research
gaps
forecasting
by
comparing
Long
Short-Term
Memory
(LSTM)
neural
networks
and
XGBoost
models
predicting
consumption
Thailand.
Utilizing
a
comprehensive
dataset
spanning
1993–2022
that
includes
vehicle
registration
data
size
category,
kilometers
traveled,
macroeconomic
indicators,
this
evaluates
both
modeling
approaches
through
multiple
performance
metrics.
The
results
demonstrate
consistently
outperforms
LSTM,
achieving
an
R-squared
value
0.9508
test
compared
to
LSTM’s
0.2005.
Feature
importance
analysis
reveals
medium
vehicles
contribute
36.6%
predictions,
followed
truck
VKT
(20.5%),
demographic
factors
combined
15.2%.
contributes
methodological
understanding
practical
application
establishing
XGBoost’s
superior
forecasting,
quantifying
the
differential
impact
various
categories
on
consumption,
demonstrating
integrating
usage
predictive
models.
findings
provide
evidence-based
guidance
prioritizing
policy
interventions
enhance
efficiency
sustainability.
Language: Английский
Simultaneous Feeder Routing and Conductor Selection in Rural Distribution Networks Using an Exact MINLP Approach
Smart Cities,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
8(2), P. 68 - 68
Published: April 15, 2025
This
article
addresses
the
optimal
network
expansion
problem
in
rural
distribution
systems
using
a
mixed-integer
nonlinear
programming
(MINLP)
model
that
simultaneously
performs
route
selection
and
conductor
sizing
radial
systems.
The
proposed
methodology
was
validated
on
9-
25-node
test
systems,
comparing
results
against
approaches
based
minimum
spanning
tree
(MST)
formulation
metaheuristic
(the
sine-cosine
tabu
search
algorithms).
MINLP
significantly
reduced
total
costs.
For
nine-node
system,
cost
decreased
from
USD
131,819.33
(MST-TSA)
to
77,129.34
(MINLP),
saving
54,689.99
(41.48%).
Similarly,
costs
of
energy
losses
dropped
111,746.73
63,764.12,
reduction
47,982.61
(42.94%).
In
fell
by
over
65%
371,516.59
128,974.72,
while
210,057.16
(61.06%).
Despite
requiring
higher
initial
investment
conductors,
led
substantial
long-term
savings
due
operating
Unlike
previous
methods
which
separate
topology
design
sizing,
our
proposal
integrates
both
aspects,
ensuring
globally
solutions.
demonstrate
its
scalability
effectiveness
for
planning
complex
power
networks.
experimental
implementation
carried
out
Julia
(v1.10.2)
JuMP
(v1.21.1)
BONMIN.
Language: Английский