Evaluation of ecological consequences on the global distribution of Staphylococcus aureus Rosenbach 1884 due to climate change, using Maxent modeling

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(1)

Published: April 3, 2025

Abstract Staphylococcus aureus is a primary cause of many infections in humans, and its rising prevalence drug resistance are serious public health concerns. While there evidence that climate change can influence the distribution abundance microbial species, precise effects on S. not well characterized. The purpose this study to predict potential global 2050 2070 using GIS Maxent modeling. occurrence data was acquired from databases coupled with bioclimatic variables simulate current future habitat suitability under several scenarios (RCP 2.6 8.5). modeling approach used forecast geographical patterns distribution, providing insights into locations may see increased essential species as result change. study’s findings be inform measures focused surveillance activities aimed at reducing burden infection.

Language: Английский

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An examination of how climate change could affect the future spread of Fusarium spp. around the world, using correlative models to model the changes

Environmental Technology & Innovation, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 31, P. 103177 - 103177

Published: May 2, 2023

Climate change is predicted to have a significant impact on the geographic distribution of various flora, fauna, and insect species by expanding, contracting, or shifting their suitable climate environment. The plant pathogenic fungus Fusarium known for causing crop diseases like blight, root stem rots, wilts, making it most mycotoxigenic genus in weeds food across climatic zones worldwide. In this study, we hypothesize that caused spp. will increase all four corners world 2050 2070 response future conditions. A series correlative models (SDMs), including generalized linear model (GLM), maximum entropy (MaxEnt), boosting (GBM), surface range envelope, were employed project compare how niche from present time under two Change Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 8.5 4.5 (scenarios high low greenhouse gas emissions, respectively). Our approach (the ensemble predictions 4 SDMs) minimizes uncertainty (differences) projection results each one models. findings study global implications because are associated with host major continents such as Asia, Europe, Australia, North South America. information gathered could be beneficial farmers planners when creating strategies prevent proliferation well calculating expenses using pesticides minimize contamination yields.

Language: Английский

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The impact of climate change on the epidemiology of fungal infections: implications for diagnosis, treatment, and public health strategies

Therapeutic Advances in Infectious Disease, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 12

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Anthropogenic climate change, primarily driven by greenhouse gas emissions, is reshaping ecosystems and creating conditions that affect 58% of all known human infectious diseases, including fungal infections. Specifically, increasing temperatures, changing precipitation patterns, extreme weather events are influencing growth, distribution, virulence. These factors may expand the geographic range pathogenic fungi, exposing populations to novel, potentially more virulent, or drug-resistant strains. Simultaneously, such as declining immunity, aging populations, increased use immunosuppressive therapies enhancing host susceptibility. This review explores intricate relationship between change infections, highlighting pathogens demonstrate virulence antifungal resistance, along with emerging novel pathogens. The clinical implications profound, morbidity, mortality, spread infections into new regions. Immediate action required develop policies, educational initiatives, therapies, enhance early diagnostic capabilities, address healthcare disparities mitigate growing burden

Language: Английский

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Potential Distribution of Fusarium Head Blight Under Climate Change Scenarios in Iran

Journal of Phytopathology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 173(2)

Published: March 1, 2025

ABSTRACT Climate change is predicted to impact crop production and food security, with increased risks of pest infestations failures. Using proximal climate variables maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model, this research predicts the current future potential distribution Fusarium Head Blight (FHB), a significant disease affecting wheat barley. The analysis considered two Change Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) over distinct time periods across various agro‐ecological zones (AEZs) in Iran. results indicated that conditions for FHB includes temperature, precipitation minimum temperature March, contributing 47.85% ± 1.63%, 28.75% 3.20% 23.40% 1.56% its distribution, respectively. Currently, was predominantly present AEZs including North West, Caspian Coastal, Central Zagros Southern Zagros, which collectively account 49% Iran's national production. However, projections suggested shift these areas Central, Khorasan, Arid Coastal AEZs, currently contribute 36% This emphasises need effective management strategies mitigate impacts on agricultural crops Iran due shifting FHB.

Language: Английский

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Impact of climate change on the potential global prevalence of Macrophomina phaseolina (Tassi) Goid. under several climatological scenarios

Frontiers in Plant Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 16

Published: April 16, 2025

Climate change forms one of the most dangerous problems that disturb earth today. It not only devastates environment but also affects biodiversity living organisms, including fungi. Macrophomina phaseolina (Tassi) Goid. is pervasive and destructive soil-borne fungus threatens food security, so predicting its current future distribution will aid in following emergence new regions taking precautionary measures to control it. Throughout this work, there are about 324 records M. were used model global prevalence using 19 environmental covariates under several climate scenarios for analysis. Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) was predict spatial throughout world while algorithms DIVA-GIS chosen confirm predicted model. Based on Jackknife test, minimum temperature coldest month (bio_6) represented effective bioclimatological parameter with a 52.5% contribution. Two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 2.6 8.5 (GCM) code MG, forecast spreading 2050 2070. The area curve (AUC) true skill statistics (TSS) assigned evaluate resulted models values equal 0.902 ± 0.009 0.8, respectively. These indicated satisfactory significant correlation between ecology fungus. Two-dimensional niche analysis illustrated could adapt wide range temperatures (9 °C 28 °C), annual rainfall ranges from 0 mm 2000 mm. In future, Africa become low habitat suitability Europe good place distribution. MaxEnt potentially useful changing climate, results need further intensive evaluation more ecological parameters other than data.

Language: Английский

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Elevating fungal care: bridging Brazil’s healthcare practices to global standards

Microbiology Spectrum, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: March 10, 2025

ABSTRACT Brazil faces unique challenges in managing invasive fungal infections (IFIs) due to diverse ecosystems, a rural workforce, and prevalent health conditions. In Europe, IFIs are primarily associated with transplantation, intensive care, chronic diseases. Inspired by initiatives the Caribbean Latin America 2019, efforts map global diagnostic treatment resources expanded Africa, Asia/Pacific. This study conducts comparative analysis, mainly drawing data from investigate IFI epidemiology management. Data were collected through online surveys distributed Brazilian European institutions, collaborations scientific organizations. Surveys covered institutional profiles, diagnoses, accessibility techniques, antifungal drugs. A survey involving 96 388 institutions revealed variations perception practices related pathogens. Differences ranking prevalence observed, along procedures, fluorescence dye usage, culture practices, medication availability, technological approaches. Europe exhibited higher utilization rates for molecular approaches, including PCR tests, therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) was more widespread compared Brazil, indicating substantial differences understanding infections. Customized management is crucial, considering regional addressing gaps like underutilized PCR. The advocates increased international collaboration, targeted training, enhanced foster unified approach preventing, diagnosing, treating IFI. IMPORTANCE work significant as it highlights its ecosystems public landscape. By comparing Brazil’s situation Europe—where linked transplantation care—this identifies key disparities practices. findings reveal availability use of diagnostics, drugs, monitoring, demonstrating advanced mapping these variations, underscores importance tailored approaches that consider gaps. Ultimately, calls resource allocation improve outcomes globally, particularly regions limited access tools treatments.

Language: Английский

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Predicting the potential distribution of the invasive weed Mikania micrantha and its biological control agent Puccinia spegazzinii under climate change scenarios in China

Biological Control, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 105754 - 105754

Published: March 1, 2025

Language: Английский

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Using maxent modeling to analyze climate change impacts on Pseudomonas syringae van Hall, 1904 distribution on the global scale

Heliyon, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 10(24), P. e41017 - e41017

Published: Dec. 1, 2024

is a pathogenic bacterium that poses significant threat to global agriculture, necessitating deeper understanding of its ecological dynamics in the context warming. This study investigates current and projected future distribution

Language: Английский

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Global climate change‐driven impacts on the Asian distribution of Limassolla leafhoppers, with implications for biological and environmental conservation

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 14(7)

Published: July 1, 2024

Abstract Knowing the impacts of global climate change on habitat suitability distribution Limassolla leafhoppers contributes to understanding feedback organisms from a macroecological perspective, and provides important scientific basis for protecting ecological environment biodiversity. However, there is limited knowledge this aspect. Thus, our study aimed address gap by analyzing Asian centroid shifts based 19 bioclimatic variables occurrence records. Selecting five niche models with outstanding predictive performance (Maxlike, generalized linear model, additive random forest, maximum entropy) along their ensemble model 12 models, current its future under two Shared Socio‐economic Pathways (SSP1‐2.6 SSP5‐8.5) in 2050s 2090s were predicted. The results showed that prediction are generally consistent. Based 11 potential biodiversity hotspots high identified. With change, suitable range will experience both expansion contraction. In SSP5‐8.52050s, area 118.56 × 10 4 km 2 , while contraction 25.40 ; SSP1‐2.62090s, 91.71 26.54 . Furthermore, core shift toward higher latitudes northeast direction, precipitation warmest quarter was found have greatest impact Our research supported four hypotheses. Finally, suggests establishing reserves identified prevent loss, enhancing protection hotspots, pursuing sustainable development path reduced emissions.

Language: Английский

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Modeling climate-related global risk maps of rice bacterial blight caused by Xanthomonas oryzae (Ishiyama 1922) using geographical information system (GIS)

Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 196(11)

Published: Oct. 17, 2024

Language: Английский

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