Predicting the potential distribution of Astragali Radix in China under climate change adopting the MaxEnt model DOI Creative Commons
Zhi‐Hong Wen, Ke Yan, Man Zhang

et al.

Frontiers in Plant Science, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15

Published: Dec. 6, 2024

Astragali Radix is the dried root of Astragalus mongoliae or membranaceus, a leguminous plant. Since ancient times, has been widely used in Chinese traditional medicine. As people become more health-conscious, market demand for grows and its popularity increasing international market. an important medicinal plant, growth strongly influenced by environmental conditions. In order to meet high quality herbs, it necessary search find areas suitable Radix.

Language: Английский

Distribution Pattern of Suitable Areas and Corridor Identification of Endangered Ephedra Species in China DOI Creative Commons
Huayong Zhang, Jiangpeng Li, Hengchao Zou

et al.

Plants, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 13(6), P. 890 - 890

Published: March 20, 2024

The suitable habitat of endangered Ephedra species has been severely threatened and affected by climate change anthropogenic activities; however, their migration trends restoration strategies are still relatively understudied. In this study, we utilized the MaxEnt model to simulate habitats five in China under current future scenarios. Additionally, identified significant ecological corridors incorporating minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model. Under scenario, area equisetina Bunge, intermedia Schrenk ex Mey, sinica Stapf, monosperma Gmel Mey comprised 16% China, while rhytidosperma Pachom only 0.05%. distribution patterns these were primarily influenced altitude, salinity, temperature, precipitation. scenarios, areas E. equisetina, intermedia, projected expand, that is expected contract. Notably, will lose its future. Our showed first-level encompassed a wider geographical expanse, sinica, monosperma, exhibited shorter length covered fewer areas. Overall, our study provides novel insights into identifying priority protected protection targeting species.

Language: Английский

Citations

7
Distribution Patterns of Platycodon grandiflorus From the Last Interglacial Period to the Future by Ecological Niche Modeling DOI Creative Commons

C. Li,

Xin‐Tong Xie,

Tuo Shi

et al.

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(4)

Published: March 30, 2025

ABSTRACT Global climate change may represent a significant threat to the distribution and quality of medicinal plants, altering cultivation areas compromising medical materials. Platycodon grandiflorus , traditional Chinese herb, has millennia‐long culinary use history in East Asia. Given its escalating demand, accurately evaluating changes under different scenarios predicting potential are imperative for ensuring conservation sustainable utilization. By integrating MaxEnt with ArcGIS, this study advances previous approaches by incorporating historical, present, future data model dynamics P. across China. The results indicated: (1) species' strongly correlates environmental variables, particularly bio13, prec07, prec09, tmin07, whose cumulative value percent contribution was 78.5%; (2) centroids geographic during LIG, LGM, MH periods were situated further westward compared present distribution, substantial contraction observed highly suitable habitats throughout these historical periods; (3) Under climatic conditions, overall habitat encompasses 4,185,964 km 2 constituting one‐third expanse, predominantly concentrated central, southern, northeastern China; (4) Future predict that total will expand varying degrees (7% increase on average), albeit reductions (3% decrease average); (5) is likely move toward higher latitudes due changes. Our findings fill critical knowledge gap quantifying impact . These offer crucial insights developing effective strategies, promoting utilization, establishing standardized protocols resources.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activity on the Habitat Distribution of Metasequoia glyptostroboides DOI Creative Commons
Ming Li,

Yu Sun,

Yongsheng Yang

et al.

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(4)

Published: April 1, 2025

ABSTRACT Extensive evidence supports that global climate change influences shifts in species habitats due to alterations hydrothermal conditions; however, neglecting dispersal capacities and limits significantly heightens uncertainties regarding spatial distribution patterns among different organisms. In this study, we compared the of Metasequoia glyptostroboides Hu & W.C. Cheng ( M. ) current Anthropocene context a climate‐only context, providing new insights into effects change, potential, barriers on habitat changes for . By utilizing optimized MaxEnt MigClim models, predicted Mid‐Holocene (MH) conditions potential colonizable under three emission scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585) both medium long term. We also assessed variation differences future warm‐wet context. The results revealed (1) Precipitation driest month (BIO14), Mean diurnal range (Bio2) human footprint (HFP) are primary factors influencing expansion or contraction Human footprint, farmland, roads, construction land main contributors loss fragmentation. (2) Habitats expected experience significant future. There is recovery South China SSP126 scenario, but activities may hinder recovery. Moderate intervention necessary regions, such as Hubei, Hunan, Anhui, Sichuan basins. (3) Due influence, high‐suitability areas projected migrate northeastward. Under trend reverse migration be observed This study minimizes uncertainty predicting while theoretical support conservation

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Betula luminifera H. Winkler in China Using MaxEnt DOI Open Access

Qiong Yang,

Yangzhou Xiang,

Suhang Li

et al.

Forests, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(9), P. 1624 - 1624

Published: Sept. 14, 2024

Betula luminifera H. Winkler, a fast-growing broad-leaved tree species native to China’s subtropical regions, possesses significant ecological and economic value. The species’ adaptability ornamental characteristics make it crucial component of forest ecosystems. However, the impacts global climate change on its geographical distribution are not well understood, necessitating research predict potential shifts under future scenarios. Our aims were forecast impact suitable B. across China using MaxEnt model, which is recognized for high predictive accuracy low sample data requirement. Geographical coordinate points collected from various databases verified redundancy. Nineteen bioclimatic variables selected screened correlation avoid overfitting in model. model was optimized ENMeval package, evaluated Akaike Information Criterion Correction (delta.AICc), Training Omission Rate (OR10), Area Under Curve (AUC). predicted current scenarios based Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). demonstrated with an AUC value 0.9. dominant environmental influencing annual precipitation, minimum temperature coldest month, standard deviation seasonality. habitat area location significantly different scenarios, complex dynamics expansion contraction. centroid also migrate, indicating response changing climatic conditions. findings underscore importance optimization enhancing provide valuable insights development conservation strategies management plans address challenges posed by change.

Language: Английский

Citations

4
The influence of climate change on Primula Sect. Crystallophlomis in southwest China DOI Creative Commons
Ao Li, Hang Zhou, Xue‐Qun Luo

et al.

BMC Plant Biology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 25(1)

Published: April 5, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Forest Orchids under Future Climate Scenarios: Habitat Suitability Modelling to Inform Conservation Strategies DOI Creative Commons
Antonio Pica,

Daniele Vela,

Sara Magrini

et al.

Plants, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 13(13), P. 1810 - 1810

Published: June 30, 2024

Orchidaceae is one of the largest and most diverse families flowering plants in world but also threatened. Climate change a global driver plant distribution may be cause their disappearance some regions. Forest orchids are associated with specific biotic abiotic environmental factors, that influence local presence/absence. Changes these conditions can lead to significant differences species distribution. We studied three forest belonging different genera (Cephalanthera, Epipactis Limodorum) for potential current future protected area (PA) Northern Apennines. A Habitat Suitability Model was constructed each based on presence-only data Maximum Entropy algorithm (MaxEnt) used modelling. Climatic, edaphic, topographic, anthropogenic land cover variables were as predictors processed model. The aim identify factors areas likely contain habitats suitable providing refuge ensuring survival under scenarios. This will allow PA authorities decide whether invest more resources conserving refuges threatened species.

Language: Английский

Citations

3
Prediction of historical, current and future potential distribution of Rhus chinensis (Anacardiaceae) based on the optimized MaxEnt model in China DOI
Yujie Xu, Xu Su, Zhumei Ren

et al.

Plant Ecology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Aug. 30, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

3
The Potential Habitat Response of Cyclobalanopsis gilva to Climate Change DOI Creative Commons
Bao Liu,

Yinglin Li,

Jintao Zhao

et al.

Plants, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 13(16), P. 2336 - 2336

Published: Aug. 22, 2024

Cyclobalanopsis gilva, a valuable timber species in China, holds significant importance for understanding the constraints imposed by climate change on dynamic geographic distribution of tree species. This study utilized MaxEnt maximum entropy model to reconstruct migratory dynamics C. gilva geographical since Last Glacial Maximum. The objective was comprehend restrictive mechanisms environmental factors its potential distribution, aiming provide insights mid-to-long-term afforestation planning gilva. optimized exhibited significantly high predictive accuracy, with an average AUC value 0.949 ± 0.004 modern suitable habitat total area contemporary times 143.05 × 104 km2, highly 3.14 km2. primarily located southeastern regions while concentrated eastern Fujian and central-eastern Taiwan. Bioclimatic variables such as mean diurnal range (Bio2), min temperature coldest month (Bio6), precipitation driest quarter (Bio17), (Bio14) predominantly influenced pattern playing leading role. With global warming, there is risk fragmentation or even loss 2050 2090. Therefore, findings this can contribute initiating conservation campaign

Language: Английский

Citations

2
Predicting the potential distribution of Astragali Radix in China under climate change adopting the MaxEnt model DOI Creative Commons
Zhi‐Hong Wen, Ke Yan, Man Zhang

et al.

Frontiers in Plant Science, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15

Published: Dec. 6, 2024

Astragali Radix is the dried root of Astragalus mongoliae or membranaceus, a leguminous plant. Since ancient times, has been widely used in Chinese traditional medicine. As people become more health-conscious, market demand for grows and its popularity increasing international market. an important medicinal plant, growth strongly influenced by environmental conditions. In order to meet high quality herbs, it necessary search find areas suitable Radix.

Language: Английский

Citations

1