Probabilistic modeling of dam failure scenarios: a case study of Kanlikoy Dam in Cyprus DOI Creative Commons

A. O. Turkel,

Hasan Zaifoglu, A. Melih Yanmaz

et al.

Natural Hazards, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 120(11), P. 10087 - 10117

Published: April 17, 2024

Abstract One of the most perilous natural hazards is flooding resulting from dam failure, which can devastate downstream infrastructure and lead to significant human casualties. In recent years, frequency flash floods in northern part Nicosia, Cyprus, has increased. This area faces increased risk as it lies Kanlikoy Dam, an aging earth-fill constructed over 70 years ago. this study, we aim assess potential flood stemming three distinct failure scenarios: piping, 100-year rainfall, probable maximum precipitation (PMP). To achieve this, HEC-HMS hydrologic model findings were integrated into 2D HEC-RAS hydraulic models simulate hydrographs generate inundation hazard maps. For each scenario, Monte Carlo simulations using McBreach software produced four corresponding exceedance probabilities 90%, 50%, 10%, 1%. The results indicate that all breach scenarios pose a threat agricultural residential areas, leading destruction numerous buildings, roads, infrastructures. Particularly, Scenario 3, includes PMP, was identified destructive, prevailing levels H5 H6 inundated areas. proportion areas these high varied between 52.8% 57.4%, with number vulnerable structures increasing 248 321 for 90% 1%, respectively. Additionally, flooded buildings ranged 842 935, 26 34 km roads found be scenario. These revealed need authorities develop comprehensive evacuation plans establish efficient warning system mitigate risks associated failure.

Language: Английский

A Systematic Literature Review on Classification Machine Learning for Urban Flood Hazard Mapping DOI
Maelaynayn El Baida,

Mohamed Hosni,

Farid Boushaba

et al.

Water Resources Management, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 38(15), P. 5823 - 5864

Published: Aug. 3, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

5

Spatial risk assessment of maritime transportation in offshore waters of China using machine learning and geospatial big data DOI Open Access
Xiao Zhou

Ocean & Coastal Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 247, P. 106934 - 106934

Published: Nov. 21, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

12

Hazard Assessment and Hazard Mapping for Kuwait DOI Creative Commons
Ali Al-Hemoud,

Abdulla Al-Enezi,

Hassan Al‐Dashti

et al.

International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Feb. 9, 2023

Abstract Hazard maps are essential tools to aid decision makers in land-use planning, sustainable infrastructure development, and emergency preparedness. Despite the availability of historical data, there has been no attempt produce hazard for Kuwait. In cooperation with World Bank, this study investigated natural anthropogenic hazards that affect The objective was assess face Kuwait map most concern. depicting spatial distribution hazard-prone areas discussed article. assessment were generated using multiple datasets techniques, including meteorological satellite imagery, GIS. profiling identified a total 25 hazards, which five “priority” explored detail: (1) surface water flooding; (2) dust storms sand encroachment; (3) drought; (4) air pollution; (5) oil spills. results can targeting developed valuable response mitigation.

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Artificial Intelligence for Flood Risk Management: A Comprehensive State-of-the-Art Review and Future Directions DOI
Zhewei Liu, Natalie Coleman, Flavia Ioana Patrascu

et al.

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 117, P. 105110 - 105110

Published: Dec. 19, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

4

XFIMNet: an Explainable deep learning architecture for versatile flood inundation mapping with synthetic aperture radar and multi-spectral optical images DOI
J.E. Sanderson,

Naruephorn Tengtrairat,

Wai Lok Woo

et al.

International Journal of Remote Sensing, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 44(24), P. 7755 - 7789

Published: Dec. 17, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

10

Incorporating ecosystem services into comparative vulnerability and risk assessments in the Pearl River and Yangtze River Deltas, China DOI Creative Commons
Yuting Peng, Natalie Welden, Fabrice G. Renaud

et al.

Ocean & Coastal Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 249, P. 106980 - 106980

Published: Dec. 26, 2023

Coastal river deltas face high risks from multiple natural hazards due to the combined effects of human activities, processes, and climate change. Vulnerability risk assessments are essential for reducing managing and, in process, contribute sustainable development. Despite adopting a social-ecological multi-hazard perspective, previous failed achieve balanced consideration both social ecological sub-systems. To address this gap, we used an integrated assessment framework which incorporates role ecosystem services (ES) as core component. A modular indicator library ES indicators relevant coastal was characterize multi-risks Pearl Yangtze River deltas. Results indicate higher level Delta, with key drivers vulnerability varying scales. Visualizing hazard-prone highly vulnerable areas facilitates implementation targeted management measures policies reduce disaster hazards. Ecosystem have been identified important factors profiles, their inclusion reduction strategies ensures that can be put place allow ecosystems provide sustainably communities.

Language: Английский

Citations

10

Artificial Intelligence for Flood Risk Management: A Comprehensive State-of-the-Art Review and Future Directions DOI
Zhewei Liu, Natalie Coleman, Flavia Ioana Patrascu

et al.

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Climate hazards are escalating in frequency and severity, with flooding as a major threat. The limitations of the existing analytical necessitate computational tools for flood risk management necessitates shift towards more data-driven strategies informed by AI-driven methods. This paper explores forefront focusing on integrating artificial intelligence (AI), specifically machine learning (ML) deep (DL) technologies. By reviewing hundreds relevant studies, we present comprehensive analysis AI applications examining types, models, spatial scales, input data, practical applications, to provide holistic view current landscape future potential AI-enhanced management. We highlight extent which solutions can complement enhance reliability predictions inform mitigation response strategies. also address prevailing challenges, including data bias need explainable proposes pathways research fully harness AI's mitigating risks. underscores promising improving adaptive management, is crucial safeguarding communities infrastructures against challenges posed floods.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Flood Risk Assessment and Zoning for Niamey and Lokoja Metropolises in Niger and Nigeria DOI Creative Commons

Youssoufa Doulla Nouhou,

Martins Yusuf Otache,

Salamatou Abdourahamane Illiassou

et al.

Hydrology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 12(1), P. 17 - 17

Published: Jan. 15, 2025

With the increasing frequency of floods in recent decades, particularly West Africa, many regions have faced unusual and recurrent flooding events. Communities flood-prone areas experience heightened insecurity, loss property, and, some cases, serious injuries or fatalities. Consequently, flood risk assessment mitigation become essential. This comparative study between Niamey Lokoja employs Geographic Information Systems (GIS) Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) to delineate susceptibility, vulnerability, zones. The utilized a comprehensive range thematic layers, with weight percentages assigned each parameter as follows: 29% for elevation, 24% slope, 15% Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), 9% drainage density, distance from rivers, 4% both precipitation Normalized Difference Water (NDWI), 2% Vegetation (NDVI) soil type. To validate these weightings, consistency ratio was calculated, ensuring it remained below 10%. findings reveal that 32% area is at flooding, compared approximately Lokoja. results highlight very high potential, near Niger River, this potential decreasing elevation increases. Given current prevalence extreme weather events crucial employ effective tools mitigate their adverse impacts. research will assist decision-makers quantifying spatial vulnerability developing strategies region.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Concepts and Misconceptions in Climate Change Risk Assessment: Considerations for Sea Level Rise and Extreme Precipitation Risk DOI Open Access
Efthymia Koliokosta

Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 13(01), P. 178 - 214

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Flood Susceptibility Zonation Using Geospatial Frequency Ratio and Artificial Neural Network Techniques within Himalayan Terai Region: A Comparative Exploration DOI
Deepanjan Sen, Swarup Das, Sumon Dey

et al.

Communications in computer and information science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 136 - 148

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0