Sustainability, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(16), P. 6903 - 6903
Published: Aug. 12, 2024
Accurate power load forecasting is critical to achieving the sustainability of energy management systems. However, conventional prediction methods suffer from low precision and stability because crude modules for predicting short-term medium-term loads. To solve such a problem, Combined Modeling Power Load-Forecasting (CMPLF) method proposed in this work. The CMPLF comprises two deal with forecasting, respectively. Each module consists four essential parts including initial decomposition denoising, nonlinear optimization, evaluation. Especially, break through bottlenecks hierarchical model we effectively fuse Nonlinear Autoregressive Exogenous Inputs (NARX) Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks into Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. experiment results based on real-world datasets Queensland China mainland show that our has significant performance superiority compared state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods. achieves goodness-of-fit value 97.174% 97.162% prediction. Our approach will be great significance promoting sustainable development smart cities.
Language: Английский