
Future Transportation, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 4(3), P. 1078 - 1099
Published: Sept. 20, 2024
International research attention on evacuation issues has increased significantly following the human and natural disasters at turn of century, such as 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, Cyclones Idai Kenneth, Black Saturday forest fires tsunamis in Japan. The main problem concerning when a disaster can occur involves studying risk reduction. Risk, all theoretical experimental studies, is determined by product three components: occurrence, vulnerability exposure. Vulnerability be improved over time through major infrastructure actions, but absolute security cannot achieved. When event will with certainty, only exposure remains to reduce people before effect hits them. Exposure improved, under fixed conditions occurrence vulnerability, improving evacuation. terms evacuating population from an area available transport system, which must used its fullest. So, if system well managed, improves (shorter times), meaning reduced, therefore, reduced. A key factor analysis systems emergency behavior user, study demand. This work identifies lines that are useful for demand exposure-related conditions. classification models simulate relation transportation summarized. contribution proposes model updating choice utility. emerging ICTs actualization formally introduced into models. Intelligent technologies make it possible improve user decisions, reducing therefore risk. proposed moves within two approaches literature: inter-period dynamic probability expressed discrete theory; furthermore, sequential dependent previous choices. presents example application model, developing transition matrix considering case extreme
Language: Английский