
Remote Sensing, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(8), P. 1404 - 1404
Published: April 15, 2025
Agricultural drought poses a severe threat to food security in the North China Plain, necessitating accurate and timely monitoring approaches. This study presents novel assessment framework that innovatively integrates multiple remote sensing indices through an optimized random forest algorithm, achieving unprecedented accuracy regional monitoring. The introduces three key innovations: (1) systematic integration of six drought-related factors including vegetation condition index (VCI), temperature (TCI), precipitation (PCI), land cover type (LC), aspect (ASPECT), available water capacity (AWC); (2) algorithm configuration with 100 decision trees enhanced feature extraction capability; (3) robust triple-validation strategy combining standardized evapotranspiration (SPEI), comprehensive meteorological (CI), soil moisture verification. demonstrates exceptional performance R2 values consistently above 0.80 for monthly assessments, reaching 0.86 during autumn 0.73 summer seasons. Particularly, it achieves 87% mild (−1.0 < SPEI ≤ −0.5) 85% moderate (−1.5 −1.0) detection. 20-year (2000–2019) spatiotemporal analysis reveals events dominated region (23.7% total occurrences), significant intensification 2010–2012 2014–2016 periods. Summer frequency peaked at 12–15 months south-central Shandong (37°N, 117°E) eastern Henan (34°N, 114°E). framework’s high spatial resolution (1 km) validation protocol establish reliable foundation agricultural resource management, offering transferable methodology worldwide.
Language: Английский