Abstract.
Despite
high
potential
benefits,
the
development
of
seasonal
forecasting
tools
in
water
sector
has
been
slower
than
other
sectors.
Here
we
assess
skill
for
lakes
and
reservoirs
set
up
at
four
sites
Australia
Europe.
These
consist
coupled
hydrological
catchment
lake
models
forced
with
meteorological
forecast
ensembles
to
provide
probabilistic
predictions
anomalies
discharge,
temperature
ice-off.
Successful
implementation
requires
a
rigorous
assessment
tools'
predictive
an
apportionment
predictability
between
legacy
effects
input
forcing
data.
To
this
end,
were
two
datasets
from
European
Centre
Medium-Range
Weather
Forecasts
(ECMWF),
system,
SEAS5,
3-month
lead
times
ERA5
reanalysis.
Historical
was
assessed
by
comparing
both
model
outputs,
i.e.
hindcasts
(forced
SEAS5),
pseudo-observations
ERA5).
The
generally
low
although
higher
reference
hindcasts,
pseudo-observations,
some
certain
combinations
season
variable.
SEAS5
showed
less
hindcasts.
In
fact,
skilful
identified
selected
seasons
variables
not
always
synchronous
raising
questions
on
source
predictability.
A
sensitivity
analyses
that
most
originates
effects,
during
winter
spring
Norway
coming
over
target
season.
When
skilful,
additional
interaction
skill.
We
conclude
forecasts
ensemble
boundary
conditions
resampled
historical
meteorology
are
currently
likely
yield
higher-quality
cases.
Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
12(1)
Published: May 12, 2022
Abstract
Ciliates
are
unicellular
heterotrophic
organisms
that
play
a
key
role
in
aquatic
planktonic
and
benthic
food
webs.
Advances
sedimentary
DNA
(sed-DNA)
analysis
offer
the
possibility
to
integrate
these
bioindicators
paleoenvironmental
reconstructions.
In
this
study,
we
used
top–bottom
paleolimnological
approach
metabarcoding
techniques
applied
sed-DNA
compare
recent
past
(i.e.
prior
major
anthropogenic
impacts)
ciliate
communities
of
48
lakes
located
along
an
elevation
gradient.
Our
results
show
overall
decline
β-diversity
time,
especially
lowland
lakes,
which
more
strongly
exposed
local
human
pressures.
Analyses
functional
groups
indicate
important
restructuration
web,
including
increase
mixotrophs.
Moreover,
changes
ciliates
were
consistent
with
widespread
deep
water
anoxia.
provided
evidence
can
uncover
information
about
on
wide
variety
lakes.
Overall,
our
study
demonstrates
potential
using
as
new
paleoindicators,
integrating
from
pelagic
zones,
providing
valuable
insights
into
ecosystem
functioning
through
trait-based
community
approach.
As
paleoindicator,
they
thus
holistic
view
long-term
ecosystems.
Hydrology and earth system sciences,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
27(6), P. 1361 - 1381
Published: March 29, 2023
Abstract.
Despite
high
potential
benefits,
the
development
of
seasonal
forecasting
tools
in
water
sector
has
been
slower
than
other
sectors.
Here
we
assess
skill
for
lakes
and
reservoirs
set
up
at
four
sites
Australia
Europe.
These
consist
coupled
hydrological
catchment
lake
models
forced
with
meteorological
forecast
ensembles
to
provide
probabilistic
predictions
anomalies
discharge,
temperature
ice-off.
Successful
implementation
requires
a
rigorous
assessment
tools'
predictive
an
apportionment
predictability
between
legacy
effects
input
forcing
data.
To
this
end,
were
two
datasets
from
European
Centre
Medium-Range
Weather
Forecasts
(ECMWF),
system,
SEAS5,
3-month
lead
times
ERA5
reanalysis.
Historical
was
assessed
by
comparing
both
model
outputs,
i.e.
hindcasts
(forced
SEAS5),
pseudo-observations
ERA5).
The
generally
low
although
higher
reference
hindcasts,
pseudo-observations,
some
certain
combinations
season
variable.
SEAS5
showed
less
hindcasts.
In
fact,
skilful
identified
selected
seasons
variables
not
always
synchronous
raising
questions
on
source
predictability.
A
sensitivity
analyses
that
most
originates
effects,
during
winter
spring
Norway
coming
over
target
season.
When
skilful,
additional
interaction
skill.
We
conclude
forecasts
ensemble
boundary
conditions
resampled
historical
meteorology
are
currently
likely
yield
higher-quality
cases.
The Science of The Total Environment,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
864, P. 160978 - 160978
Published: Dec. 20, 2022
Water
quality
related
to
non-point
source
pollution
continues
pose
challenges
in
agricultural
landscapes,
despite
two
completed
cycles
of
Framework
Directive
actions
by
farmers
and
landowners.
Future
climate
projections
will
cause
new
landscape
hydrology
subsequently,
the
potential
responses
water
quality.
Investigating
nutrient
trends
surface
waters
studying
efficiency
mitigation
measures
revealed
that
loads
are
highly
variable
both
spatially
temporally
catchments
with
different
agro-climatic
environmental
conditions.
In
Sweden,
nitrogen
phosphorus
eight
(470-3300
ha)
have
been
intensively
monitored
for
>20
years.
This
study
investigated
relationship
between
precipitation,
air
temperature,
discharge
patterns
relation
(N)
(P)
at
catchment
outlets.
The
time
series
data
analysis
was
carried
out
integrating
Mann-Kendall
test,
Pettitt
break-points,
Generalized
Additive
Model.
results
showed
depend
on
discharge,
which
had
large
variation
annual
average
(158-441
mm
yr-1).
were
also
considerably
among
total
N
(TN)
ranging
from
6.76
35.73
kg
ha-1,
P
(TP)
0.11
1.04
ha-1.
climatic
drivers
significant
indicators
but
varying
degree
significance.
Precipitation
(28-962
yr-1)
a
indicator
TN
five
(loamy
sand/sandy
loam)
while
temperature
(6.5-8.7
°C
driver
six
catchments.
TP
associated
precipitation
significantly
correlated
Considering
more
frequent
occurrence
extreme
weather
events,
it
is
necessary
tailor
future
climate-change
features
discharge.
Ecological Indicators,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
142, P. 109217 - 109217
Published: July 30, 2022
Compounded
weather
events
such
as
sequential
heatwaves
are
likely
to
increasingly
impact
freshwater
ecosystems
in
the
future.
Satellite-derived
chlorophyll-a
concentration
estimates
for
36
European
lakes
during
a
widespread
double
heatwave
event
summer
of
2019
show
that
deep
and
medium
depth
at
higher
latitudes
displayed
synchronous
increase
with
temperature,
possibly
result
an
improved
light
climate
resulting
from
increased
stratification.
Many
or
northern
had
notable
response
heatwaves.
Warmer,
southern
shallow
most
asynchronous
response,
tending
greater
subsequent
low
pressure
storm
than
itself.
Chlorophyll-a
peaks
typically
occurred
five
days
after
peak
lakes.
For
some
lakes,
cycle
several
was
found
punctuate
seasonal
pattern
chlorophyll-a.
Notably,
these
nutrient-rich
dwarfed
by
large
algal
blooms
occurring
later
typical
cyanobacterial
bloom
period
early
autumn,
underlining
importance
timing
phenology
addition
depth,
latitude
trophic
state.