Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
15(1)
Published: April 28, 2025
The
hydrological
extremes,
caused
by
increasing
regional
extreme
precipitation
and
melting
glaciers
or
snow
under
climate
change,
pose
a
major
challenge
to
reservoir
management
in
Tianshan
Mountain
Range
of
China.
Modeling
assessment
extremes
are
important
measures
ensure
the
safety
operations
water
resources.
However,
insufficient
faced
reservoirs
has
limited
development
flood
risk
early
warning
methods
for
mountain
reservoirs.
To
this
end,
based
on
VIC-CAS-R
model
that
coupled
with
glacier
snowmelt
modules,
study
analyzed
evaluated
changing
characteristics
streamflow
selected
from
1961
2014,
Standardized
Streamflow
Index
(SSI)
Mann-Kendall
test
were
used
identify
as
well
trends.
result
indicated
(1)
showed
segmented
change
trend
"increasing-decreasing-increasing";
(2)
notable
variations
temporal
spatial
distribution,
located
western
area
decrease
wet
(up
70.8%)
an
increase
dry
73.9%),
while
eastern
region
experienced
simultaneous
119.8%).
These
insights
help
deepen
comprehension
induced
reservoirs,
provide
support
predicting
other
arid
inland
regions.
