Authorea (Authorea),
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Nov. 22, 2023
A
key
uncertainty
in
Aerosol-cloud
interactions
is
the
cloud
liquid
water
path
(LWP)
response
to
increased
aerosols
(λ).
LWP
can
either
increase
due
precipitation
suppression
or
decrease
entrainment-drying.
Previous
research
suggests
that
dominates
thick
clouds,
while
entrainment-drying
prevails
thin
clouds.
The
time
scales
of
two
competing
effects
are
vastly
different,
requiring
temporally
resolved
observations.
We
analyze
3-day
Lagrangian
trajectories
stratocumulus
clouds
over
southeast
Pacific
using
geostationary
data.
find
with
a
exceeding
200
g
m-2
exhibit
positive
response,
lower
show
negative
response.
observe
significant
diurnal
cycle
λ,
indicating
more
strongly
daytime
adjustment
driven
by
In
contrast,
at
night,
occasionally
fully
counteract
mechanism.
time-integrated
appears
weaker
than
previously
suggested
studies
do
not
account
for
cycle.
Atmospheric chemistry and physics,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
24(12), P. 7331 - 7345
Published: June 27, 2024
Abstract.
General
circulation
models'
(GCMs)
estimates
of
the
liquid
water
path
adjustment
to
anthropogenic
aerosol
emissions
differ
in
sign
from
other
lines
evidence.
This
reduces
confidence
effective
radiative
forcing
climate
by
aerosol–cloud
interactions
(ERFaci).
The
discrepancy
is
thought
stem
part
GCMs'
inability
represent
turbulence–microphysics
cloud-top
entrainment,
a
mechanism
that
leads
reduction
response
an
increase
aerosols.
In
real
atmosphere,
enhanced
entrainment
be
dominant
for
path,
weakening
overall
ERFaci.
We
show
latest
generation
GCMs
includes
models
produce
negative
correlation
between
present-day
cloud
droplet
number
and
key
piece
observational
evidence
supporting
aerosols
one
earlier-generation
could
not
reproduce.
However,
even
with
this
correlation,
preindustrial
values
still
simulated
due
parameterized
precipitation
suppression
mechanism.
adds
correlations
are
necessarily
causal.
investigate
sources
confounding
explain
noncausal
number.
These
results
reminder
assessments
parameters
based
on
multiple
must
carefully
consider
complementary
strengths
different
when
disagree.
Geophysical Research Letters,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
51(4)
Published: Feb. 10, 2024
Abstract
A
key
uncertainty
in
Aerosol‐cloud
interactions
is
the
cloud
liquid
water
path
(LWP)
response
to
increased
aerosols
(
λ
).
LWP
can
either
increase
due
precipitation
suppression
or
decrease
entrainment‐drying.
Previous
research
suggests
that
dominates
thick
clouds,
while
entrainment‐drying
prevails
thin
clouds.
The
time
scales
of
two
competing
effects
are
vastly
different,
requiring
temporally
resolved
observations.
We
analyze
3‐day
Lagrangian
trajectories
stratocumulus
clouds
over
southeast
Pacific
using
2019–2021
geostationary
data.
find
with
a
exceeding
200
g
m
−2
exhibit
positive
response,
lower
show
negative
response.
observe
significant
diurnal
cycle
,
indicating
more
strongly
daytime
adjustment
driven
by
In
contrast,
at
night,
occasionally
fully
counteract
mechanism.
Overall,
appears
weaker
than
previously
suggested
studies
do
not
account
for
cycle.
Atmospheric chemistry and physics,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
24(18), P. 10425 - 10440
Published: Sept. 19, 2024
Abstract.
Marine
low-level
clouds
are
key
to
the
Earth's
energy
budget
due
their
expansive
coverage
over
global
oceans
and
high
reflectance
of
incoming
solar
radiation.
Their
responses
anthropogenic
aerosol
perturbations
remain
largest
source
uncertainty
in
estimating
radiative
forcing
climate.
A
major
challenge
is
quantification
cloud
water
response
perturbations.
In
particular,
presence
feedbacks
through
microphysical,
dynamical,
thermodynamical
pathways
at
various
spatial
temporal
scales
could
augment
or
weaken
response.
Central
this
problem
evolution
adjustment,
governed
by
entangled
feedback
mechanisms.
We
apply
an
innovative
conditional
Monte
Carlo
subsampling
approach
a
large
ensemble
diurnal
large-eddy
simulation
non-precipitating
marine
stratocumulus
study
role
heating
governing
relationship
between
droplet
number
water.
find
persistent
negative
trend
night,
confirming
that
microphysically
enhanced
cloud-top
entrainment.
After
sunrise,
appears
buffered
converges
∼-0.2
late
afternoon.
This
buffering
effect
attributed
strong
dependence
cloud-layer
shortwave
absorption
on
liquid
path.
These
cycle
characteristics
further
demonstrate
tight
connection
brightening
potential
which
has
implications
for
impact
timing
advertent
Atmospheric chemistry and physics,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
24(11), P. 6455 - 6476
Published: June 3, 2024
Abstract.
The
Weather
Research
Forecasting
(WRF)
version
4.3
model
is
configured
within
a
Lagrangian
framework
to
quantify
the
impact
of
aerosols
on
evolving
cloud
fields.
Kilometer-scale
simulations
utilizing
meteorological
boundary
conditions
are
based
10
case
study
days
offering
diverse
meteorology
during
Aerosol
and
Cloud
Experiments
in
Eastern
North
Atlantic
(ACE-ENA).
Measurements
from
aircraft,
ground-based
Atmosphere
Radiation
Measurement
(ARM)
site
at
Graciosa
Island
Azores,
A-Train
geostationary
satellites
utilized
for
validation,
demonstrating
good
agreement
with
WRF-simulated
aerosol
properties.
Higher
concentration
leads
suppressed
drizzle
increased
water
content
all
days.
These
changes
lead
larger
radiative
cooling
rates
top,
enhanced
vertical
velocity
variance,
horizontal
wind
speed
near
base
lower-tropospheric
inversion.
As
result,
marine
cell
area
expands,
narrowing
gap
between
shallow
clouds
increasing
optical
thickness,
liquid
content,
top-of-atmosphere
outgoing
shortwave
flux.
While
similar
effects
observed
lightly
non-raining
clouds,
they
tend
be
smaller
by
comparison.
show
relationship
expansion
adjustments
caused
path
fraction
changes.
positive
scale
as
74
%
51
%,
respectively,
relative
Twomey
effect.
higher-resolution
large-eddy
may
provide
improved
representation
cloud-top
mixing
processes,
these
results
emphasize
importance
addressing
mesoscale
cloud-state
transitions
quantification
forcing
that
cannot
attained
traditional
climate
models.
Atmospheric chemistry and physics,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
23(20), P. 13523 - 13553
Published: Oct. 27, 2023
Abstract.
The
impact
of
aerosol
number
concentration
on
cloud
albedo
is
a
persistent
source
spread
in
global
climate
predictions
due
to
multi-scale,
interactive
atmospheric
processes
that
remain
difficult
quantify.
We
use
5
years
geostationary
satellite
and
surface
retrievals
at
the
US
Department
Energy
(DOE)
Atmospheric
Radiation
Measurement
(ARM)
eastern
North
Atlantic
(ENA)
site
Azores
evaluate
representation
liquid
susceptibility
for
overcast
scenes
DOE
Exascale
Earth
System
Model
version
1
(E3SMv1)
provide
possible
reasons
model–observation
discrepancies.
overall
distribution
0.2
%
CCN
values
reasonably
simulated,
but
simulated
water
path
(LWP)
lower
than
observed
layer
mean
droplet
(Nd)
comparisons
are
highly
variable
depending
Nd
retrieval
technique.
E3SMv1's
greater
given
LWP
effective
radius
observed.
However,
response
suppressed
correlation
between
solar
zenith
angle
(SZA)
created
by
seasonal
cycle
not
Controlling
this
effect
examining
optical
depth
(COD)
shows
COD
For
surface-based
retrievals,
only
true
after
controlling
adiabaticity
because
adiabaticities
much
Assuming
constant
as
done
top-of-atmosphere
(TOA)
narrows
retrieved
ln
distribution,
which
increases
sensitivity
match
TOA
sensitivity.
caused
Twomey
TOA-retrieved
Nd,
once
differences
removed,
also
surface-retrieved
Nd.
E3SMv1
negative
Despite
reproducing
LWP–Nd
relationship,
clouds
become
more
adiabatic
increases,
while
do
not,
associated
with
heavily
precipitating
partially
completely
deeper
weaker
inversions
E3SMv1.
These
property
indicate
relationship
likely
same
mechanisms
observations.
fails
mute
excessively
strong
effect,
highlighting
potentially
important
confounding
factor
effects
render
non-causal.
scales
assumptions,
particularly
related
adiabaticity,
contribute
substantial
spreads
comparisons,
though
enough
consistency
exists
suggest
activation,
drizzle,
entrainment
critical
areas
focus
development
improving
fidelity
aerosol–cloud
interactions
E3SM.
Journal of Geophysical Research Machine Learning and Computation,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
2(1)
Published: March 1, 2025
Abstract
Marine
boundary
layer
clouds
are
crucial
in
Earth's
climate
system.
They
frequently
manifest
as
closed
or
open
cell
mesoscale
cellular
convection
(MCC).
MCC
challenging
to
represent
accurately
current
models,
highlighting
the
need
for
detailed
observational
data
sets
and
in‐depth
analyses.
This
study
utilizes
over
8
years
of
observations
from
U.S.
Department
Energy
(DOE)
Atmospheric
Radiation
Measurement
(ARM)
User
Facility
Eastern
North
Atlantic
(ENA)
site
at
Graciosa
Island,
Azores,
investigate
these
clouds.
We
first
apply
a
convolutional
neural
network
with
U‐Net
architecture
classify
cells,
marking
application
such
an
approach
automatically
detecting
patterns
ground‐based
radar
measurements.
method
addresses
some
gaps
satellite
related
low
temporal
resolution,
nighttime
challenges,
limited
vertical
structure
capture.
The
analysis
cases
shows
clear
differences
between
MCCs:
Closed
characterized
by
lower
cloud
tops
bases,
shallower
geometrical
depth,
weaker
horizontal
wind
speeds,
stronger
atmospheric
stability,
more
homogeneous
liquid
water
path
than
MCCs.
Finally,
we
demonstrate
two
potential
applications
our
radar‐based
classifications:
(a)
facilitating
investigation
aerosol‐cloud
interactions
(b)
exploring
meteorological
factors
along
MCC's
evolution
integrating
imagery
back‐trajectory
analysis.
identified
offer
valuable
resource
scientific
community
processes
further
improve
model
accuracy.
Atmospheric chemistry and physics,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
23(19), P. 12545 - 12555
Published: Oct. 9, 2023
Abstract.
Human
aerosol
emissions
change
cloud
properties
by
providing
additional
condensation
nuclei.
This
increases
droplet
numbers,
which
in
turn
affects
other
like
liquid-water
content
and
ultimately
albedo.
These
adjustments
are
poorly
constrained,
making
effects
the
most
uncertain
part
of
anthropogenic
climate
forcing.
Here
we
show
that
number
water
react
differently
to
changing
emission
amounts
shipping
exhausts.
We
use
information
about
ship
positions
modeled
together
with
reanalysis
winds
satellite
retrievals
properties.
The
analysis
reveals
numbers
respond
linearly
amount
over
a
large
range
(1–10
kg
h−1)
before
response
saturates.
Liquid
raining
clouds,
anomalies
constant
ranges
observed.
There
is
evidence
this
independence
due
compensating
under
drier
more
humid
conditions,
consistent
suppression
rain
enhanced
aerosol.
has
implications
for
our
understanding
processes
may
improve
way
clouds
represented
models,
particular
parameterizations
responses
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
128(22)
Published: Nov. 27, 2023
Abstract
Seven
years
of
data
collected
at
the
Atmospheric
Radiation
Measurement's
Eastern
North
Atlantic
(ENA)
site
are
analyzed
to
understand
controls
Cloud
Condensation
Nuclei
(CCN)
concentrations
in
region.
Day‐night
differences
aerosol
as
segregated
by
wind
direction
demonstrate
observations
be
impacted
local
emissions
when
(wdir)
is
between
90°
and
310°
(measured
clockwise
from
where
air
coming
from).
Data
during
marine
conditions
(wdir
<90°
or
wdir
>310°)
show
CCN
higher
summer
months
compared
winter
months.
budget
analysis
revealed
advection
precipitation
scavenging
being
primarily
responsible
for
modulating
on
monthly
timescales,
with
rain
rates
driving
term.
High
(greater
than
75th
percentile)
low
(lower
25th
events
were
identified
each
month
characterize
sub‐monthly
variability
concentrations.
Low
had
thicker
clouds,
stronger
rates,
lower
reanalysis
reported
free‐tropospheric
pseudo
number
concentration
ENA
high
events.
Analysis
satellite
air‐parcels
48
hr
prior
their
arrival
demonstrated
parcels
encounter
cloudiness,
cloud
top
heights
The
results
presented
herein
provide
key
constraints
model
evaluation
studies
climatological
conducted
site.
Geophysical Research Letters,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
51(15)
Published: Aug. 3, 2024
Abstract
In
this
study,
we
evaluated
the
performance
of
machine
learning
(ML)
models
(XGBoost)
in
predicting
low‐cloud
fraction
(LCF),
compared
to
two
generations
community
atmospheric
model
(CAM5
and
CAM6)
ERA5
reanalysis
data,
each
having
a
different
cloud
scheme.
ML
show
substantial
enhancement
LCF
regarding
root
mean
squared
errors
correlation
coefficients.
The
good
is
consistent
across
full
spectrums
stability
large‐scale
vertical
velocity.
Employing
an
explainable
approach,
revealed
importance
including
amount
available
moisture
for
representing
spatiotemporal
variations
midlatitudes.
Also,
demonstrated
marked
improvement
capturing
during
stratocumulus‐to‐cumulus
transition
(SCT).
This
study
suggests
models'
great
potential
address
longstanding
issues
“too
few”
low
clouds
rapid”
SCT
global
climate
models.