Solar Panel Degradation Prediction using Machine Learning: A Comprehensive Approach
Abstract
Solar
photovoltaic
(PV)
systems
are
central
to
the
world's
movement
toward
renewable
power,
but
their
performance
declines
with
time
owing
a
combination
of
environmental
expo-
sure
and
usage
stress.
In
this
research,
we
suggest
hybrid
machine
learning
system
that
incorporates
multi-source
data
such
as
device
logs,
weather
history,
customer
endpoints,
network
endpoints
in
order
make
precise
predictions
about
solar
panel
degradation.
The
data,
which
was
obtained
from
London
Datastore
recorded
by
UK
Power
Networks
for
480
days,
is
processed
obtain
significant
features
capturing
electrical
well
conditions.
High-level
feature
extraction
methods
were
used
stress
measures
like
temperature
stress,
humidity
exposure,
voltage
drop
current
total
harmonic
distortion
(THD)
Fifteen
regression
models
trained
compared
based
on
mean
absolute
error
(MAE),
squared
(MSE),
root
(RMSE),
coefficient
determination
(R2)
[1,
2].
Our
top-performing
ensemble,
built
stacking
an
artificial
neural
(ANN),
XGBoost,
Random
Forest,
R2
value
above
0.96.
These
findings
highlight
effectiveness
combining
various
sources
advanced
engineering
proactive
maintenance
enhanced
operational
efficiency
PV
systems.

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown
Published: March 26, 2025
Language: Английский