
Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(4)
Published: April 1, 2025
ABSTRACT Climate change is significantly altering the distribution of large carnivores and their primary prey species, with particular emphasis on changing in high‐altitude regions. The Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau, known for its rich biodiversity, highly sensitive to climate change, affecting habitats snow leopards ( Panthera uncia ) blue sheep Pseudois nayaur ). Our study identified as through metagenomic analysis used bioclimatic data Land Use/Cover Change (LUCC) information model habitat suitability under three scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, 8.5). Projections showed that 4.5 8.5, leopard will decrease by 13.0% 23.4%, while 38.3% 49.7%, respectively. These are expected shift higher altitudes, experiencing a more significant shift. Based these findings, we recommend adjusting protected area boundaries S1 (Ideal range), establishing ecological corridors S2 (stepping stone), implementing targeted measures mitigate human‐wildlife conflicts S3 (potential conflict area). To protect international efforts reduce carbon emissions, cross‐administrative cooperation, community‐based conservation strategies essential.
Language: Английский