Bayesian p-curve mixture models as a tool to dissociate effect size and effect prevalence
Communications Psychology,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
3(1)
Published: Jan. 23, 2025
Much
research
in
the
behavioral
sciences
aims
to
characterize
"typical"
person.
A
statistically
significant
group-averaged
effect
size
is
often
interpreted
as
evidence
that
typical
person
shows
an
effect,
but
only
true
under
certain
distributional
assumptions
for
which
explicit
rarely
presented.
Mean
varies
with
both
within-participant
and
population
prevalence
(proportion
of
showing
effect).
Few
studies
consider
how
affects
mean
estimates
existing
estimators
are,
conversely,
confounded
by
uncertainty
about
size.
We
introduce
a
widely
applicable
Bayesian
method,
p-curve
mixture
model,
jointly
probabilistically
clustering
participant-level
data
based
on
their
likelihood
null
distribution.
Our
approach,
we
provide
software
tool,
outperforms
estimation
methods
when
uncertain
sensitive
differences
or
across
groups
conditions.
Statistically
group-level
effects
are
misinterpreted
imply
population.
This
Resource
provides
method
tool
infer
experimental
directly.
Language: Английский
What the Average Really Means: Dissociating Effect Size and Effect Prevalence usingp-curve Mixtures
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Aug. 1, 2024
Abstract
Much
research
in
the
behavioral
sciences
aims
to
characterize
“typical”
person.
A
statistically
significant
group-averaged
effect
size
is
often
interpreted
as
evidence
that
typical
person
shows
an
effect,
but
only
true
under
certain
distributional
assumptions
for
which
explicit
rarely
presented.
Mean
varies
with
both
within-participant
and
population
prevalence
(proportion
of
showing
effect).
Few
studies
consider
how
affects
mean
estimates
existing
estimators
are,
conversely,
confounded
by
uncertainty
about
size.
We
introduce
a
widely
applicable
Bayesian
method,
p
-curve
mixture
model,
jointly
probabilistically
clustering
participant-level
data
based
on
their
likelihood
null
distribution.
Our
approach,
we
provide
software
tool,
outperforms
estimation
methods
when
uncertain
sensitive
differences
or
across
groups
conditions.
Language: Английский
A decision-theoretic model of multistability: perceptual switches as internal actions
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Dec. 11, 2024
Abstract
Perceptual
multistability
has
been
studied
for
centuries
using
a
diverse
collection
of
approaches.
Insights
derived
from
this
phenomenon
range
core
principles
information
processing,
such
as
perceptual
inference,
to
high-level
concerns,
visual
awareness.
The
dominant
computational
explanations
are
based
on
the
Helmholtzian
view
perception
inverse
inference.
However,
these
approaches
struggle
account
crucial
role
played
by
value,
e.g.,
with
percepts
paired
reward
dominating
longer
periods
than
unpaired
ones.
In
study,
we
formulate
in
terms
dynamic,
value-based,
choice,
employing
formalism
partially
observable
Markov
decision
process
(POMDP).
We
use
binocular
rivalry
an
example,
considering
different
explicit
and
implicit
sources
(and
punishment)
each
percept.
resulting
values
time-dependent
influenced
novelty
form
exploration.
solution
POMDP
is
optimal
policy,
show
that
can
replicate
explain
several
characteristics
rivalry,
ranging
classic
hallmarks
apparently
spontaneous
random
switches
approximately
gamma-distributed
dominance
more
subtle
aspects
rich
temporal
dynamics
switching
rates.
Overall,
our
decision-theoretic
perspective
not
only
accounts
wealth
unexplained
data,
but
also
opens
up
modern
conceptions
internal
reinforcement
learning
service
understanding
phenomena,
sensory
processing
generally.
Language: Английский