Analysis of nature-related themes and terminology in U.S. climate assessments
Climatic Change,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
178(4)
Published: April 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Forest Resources of the United States, 2022
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Geographic variation in projected US forest aboveground carbon responses to climate change and atmospheric deposition
Environmental Research Letters,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
19(3), P. 034028 - 034028
Published: Feb. 7, 2024
Forest
composition
and
ecosystem
services
are
sensitive
to
anthropogenic
pressures
like
climate
change
atmospheric
deposition
of
nitrogen
(N)
sulfur
(S).
Here
we
extend
recent
forest
projections
for
the
current
cohort
trees
in
contiguous
US,
characterizing
potential
changes
aboveground
tree
carbon
at
county
level
response
varying
mean
annual
temperature,
precipitation,
N
S
deposition.
We
found
that
relative
a
scenario
with
reduction
no
change,
greater
led
generally
decreasing
(mean
-7.5%
under
RCP4.5,
-16%
RCP8.5).
Keeping
constant,
reduced
tended
lessen
-7%),
whereas
increase
(+3%)
by
2100.
Through
mid-century
(2050),
was
more
important
predicting
responses
except
extreme
scenarios
(RCP
Language: Английский
Spatiotemporal characteristics of tree mortality from bark beetle outbreaks vary within and among bark beetle-host tree associations in the western United States
Forest Ecology and Management,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
576, P. 122382 - 122382
Published: Nov. 15, 2024
Language: Английский
Carbon, climate, and natural disturbance: a review of mechanisms, challenges, and tools for understanding forest carbon stability in an uncertain future
Carbon Balance and Management,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
19(1)
Published: Oct. 10, 2024
In
this
review,
we
discuss
current
research
on
forest
carbon
risk
from
natural
disturbance
under
climate
change
for
the
United
States,
with
emphasis
advancements
in
analytical
mapping
and
modeling
tools
that
have
potential
to
drive
managing
future
long-term
stability
of
carbon.
As
a
mechanism
storage,
forests
are
critical
component
meeting
mitigation
strategies
designed
combat
anthropogenic
emissions.
Forests
consist
long-lived
organisms
(trees)
can
store
centuries
or
more.
However,
trees
finite
lifespans,
disturbances
such
as
wildfire,
insect
disease
outbreaks,
drought
hasten
tree
mortality
reduce
growth,
thereby
slowing
sequestration,
driving
emissions,
reducing
storage
stable
pools,
particularly
live
standing
dead
portions
counted
many
offset
programs.
Many
regimes,
but
human
activities
disrupt
frequency
severity
ways
likely
consequences
To
minimize
negative
effects
maximize
resilience
carbon,
risks
must
be
accounted
protocols,
management
practices,
techniques.
This
requires
detailed
quantities
distribution
across
States
hopefully
one
day
globally;
frequency,
severity,
timing
disturbances;
mechanisms
by
which
affect
storage;
how
may
alter
each
these
elements.
Several
(e.g.
fire
spread
models,
imputed
inventory
growth
simulators)
exist
address
more
aforementioned
items
help
inform
risk,
maintain
further
explore
challenges,
uncertainties,
opportunities
evaluating
continued
of,
threats
to,
viable
including
offsets.
A
growing
collective
body
technological
improvements
advanced
science,
highlight
key
limitations,
gaps
remain.
Language: Английский
Identifying climatically-compatible seedlots for the eastern US: building the predictive tools and knowledge to enable forest assisted migration
Frontiers in Forests and Global Change,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
7
Published: Nov. 20, 2024
Introduction
Global
climate
change
and
associated
stressors
threaten
forest
ecosystems
due
to
the
rapid
pace
of
change,
which
could
exceed
natural
migration
rate
some
tree
species.
In
response,
there
is
growing
interest
research
implement
assisted
(FAM).
Here,
we
used
a
species-independent
indicator
based
on
analogy,
according
sigma
(dis)similarity
(σ
d
)
index,
match
planting
sites
across
eastern
US
with
(future)
climatically-compatible
seedlots
(CCS).
Methods
We
developed
CCS
for
grid
composed
1
×
1°
latitude
longitude.
were
future
analogs
≤2σ
analogy
ensure
representative
change.
located
three
time
periods,
2030's,
2050's,
2090's
emissions
scenarios
(SSP2-4.5,
SSP3-7.0,
SSP5-8.5)
from
Coupled
Model
Intercomparison
Project
phase
6
database,
using
12
variables.
Results
identified
majority
grids
SSP3-7.0
scenario.
Approximately
28%
grid's
projections
included
novelty.
The
average
222,
358,
662
km
or
1,
2,
3
seed
zones
away
grids,
respectively.
also
further
south-southwest
(188–197°).
addition,
cover
was
approximately
2%,
5%,
10%
less
than
that
grids.
Discussion
Our
development
synthesis
emphasized
four
key
results:
(i)
distances
2030's
2050's
similar
seed-transfer
guidelines
species,
but
exceeded
current
recommendations;
(ii)
south-southwesterly
locations
aligned
species
habitat
distribution
dynamics;
(iii)
novelty
potentially
challenges
conceptual
basis
FAM
if
are
not
adapted
change;
(iv)
variation
in
among
presents
potential
opportunities
presence
absence
forestland
source
seed.
Ultimately,
our
goal
locate
synthesize
enable
decision
support.
Language: Английский
Winners and Losers From Climate Change: An Analysis of Climate Thresholds for Tree Growth and Survival for Roughly 150 Species Across the Contiguous United States
Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
30(12)
Published: Dec. 1, 2024
ABSTRACT
Changes
in
temperature
and
precipitation
are
already
influencing
US
forests
that
will
continue
the
future
even
as
we
mitigate
climate
change.
Using
spatiotemporally
matched
data
for
mean
annual
(MAT)
(MAP),
used
simulated
annealing
to
estimate
critical
thresholds
changes
growth
survival
of
roughly
150
tree
species
(153
spp.
growth,
159
survival)
across
conterminous
United
States
(CONUS).
We
found
nearly
one‐third
assessed
(44
spp.)
decreased
with
any
increase
MAT
(42–49
species),
whereas
fewer
responded
negatively
projected
regional
trends
MAP
(<
20
each
east
west).
Hypothetical
increases
(+1°C,
+2°C)
increased
average
Central
East
Pacific
Northwest
over
large
areas
Rockies
Southeast,
while
decadal
generally
temperature.
Average
had
unfavorable
associations
precipitation,
decreasing
wetter
conditions
(+25%)
drier
(−25%)
west.
Beyond
these
averages,
there
were
positively
everywhere
CONUS,
suggesting
forest
composition
underway.
identified
only
eight
out
~150
tolerant
temperature,
24
seven
west
regionally
specific
(increases
decreases
confidence
on
a
5‐point
scale
(1–5)
five
aspects
uncertainty.
scores
high,
though
some
metrics
low
especially
survival.
These
findings
have
significant
implications
national
carbon
sink
conservation
efforts
face
Language: Английский