Migration Theory in Climate Mobility Research

Frontiers in Climate, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 4

Опубликована: Май 10, 2022

The purpose of this article is to explore how migration theory invoked in empirical studies climate-related migration, and provide suggestions for engagement with the emerging field climate mobility. Theory critical understanding processes we observe social-ecological systems because it points a specific locus attention research, shapes research questions, guides quantitative model development, influences what researchers find, ultimately informs policies programs. Research into mobility has grown out early on environmental often developed isolation from broader theoretical developments community. As such, there risk that work may be inadequately informed by rich corpus contributed our who migrates; why they migrate; types employ; sustains streams; choose certain destinations over others. On other hand, are ways which environment enriching conceptual frameworks being employed understand particularly forced migration. This paper draws review 75 modeling efforts conducted diversity disciplines, covering various regions, using variety data sources methods assess used their research. goal suggest forward large growing domain.

Язык: Английский

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How well can we predict climate migration? A review of forecasting models

Frontiers in Climate, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 5

Опубликована: Янв. 4, 2024

Climate change will have significant impacts on all aspects of human society, including population movements. In some cases, populations be displaced by natural disasters and sudden-onset climate events, such as tropical storms. other gradually influence the economic, social, political realities a place, which in turn how where people migrate. Planning for wide spectrum future climate-related mobility is key challenge facing development planners policy makers. This article reviews state migration forecasting models, based an analysis thirty recent models. We present characteristics, strengths, weaknesses different modeling approaches, gravity, radiation, agent-based, systems dynamics statistical extrapolation consider five illustrative models depth. show why, at this stage development, are not yet able to provide reliable numerical estimates migration. Rather, best used tools range possible futures, explore dynamics, test theories or potential effects. research implications our findings, need improved data collection, enhanced interdisciplinary collaboration, scenarios-based planning.

Язык: Английский

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Defining severe risks related to mobility from climate change

Climate Risk Management, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 44, С. 100601 - 100601

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2024

While migration is often conceptualized as an adaptive response to climate hazards, can also present severe risks people on the move. In this paper, we attempt operationalize Representative Key Risks (RKR) framework of Sixth Assessment Report Working Group II Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change (IPCC) for human mobility. First, provide a understanding how mobility emerge by engaging with concept habitability. We argue that uninhabitability occurs where physical environment loses suitability and there loss agency in local populations. The severity risk from habitability then represented high potential suffering. When hazards affect agency, forms occur undermine wellbeing right self-determination: forced displacement, community relocation/resettlement, involuntary immobility. Second, show such are more or less likely along different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). This paper asserts central concern around suffering recentre scenario discourse where, how, adaptation, changes development patterns, government policies reduce Proactive governance at local, national, international levels attends people's adaptation needs avert frequent emergence related changing climate.

Язык: Английский

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Tipping the point. How a mobility lens enables climate-related migration research to tackle interdisciplinary challenges

Climatic Change, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 178(4)

Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

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Climate change and migration: A review and new framework for analysis

Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 15(4)

Опубликована: Апрель 12, 2024

Abstract This article presents a new interpretive framework for understanding the implications of climate change migration, and reviews reflects on existing evidence research gaps in light this framework. Most climate‐migration is heavily environment‐centric, even when acknowledging importance contextual or intervening factors. In contrast, proposed here considers five different pathways through which affecting, might affect, migration: short‐term shocks, long‐term climatic related changes, environmental “pull” factors, adaptation mitigation measures, perceptions narratives. reviewing relating to each these pathways, paper finds among other things that shocks may simultaneously increase reduce migration; trends provides weak basis future dynamics; more attention needs be paid three by researchers policymakers alike. Overall, associated review suggest broader migration from outlined IPCC's most recent assessment, many reviews. categorized under: Climate Development Knowledge Action

Язык: Английский

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Environmental non-migration as adaptation in hazard-prone areas: Evidence from coastal Bangladesh

Global Environmental Change, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 77, С. 102610 - 102610

Опубликована: Окт. 25, 2022

Язык: Английский

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De-migranticizing as methodology: rethinking migration studies through immobility and liminality

Comparative Migration Studies, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 12(1)

Опубликована: Апрель 22, 2024

Abstract De-migranticization is becoming a core strategy for overcoming the fetishization of migrants in migration studies. However, this shift perspectives raises questions about what categories to use instead. This paper contributes these debates by considering potential studying immobility as tool de-migranticization. It looks at through lens liminality: transitory phase, transformative stage and one which enables epistemological subversion. In doing so, it goes beyond other border spanning terms offer methodological insights into using liminality de-migranticize. The suggests that qualities reading theories has implications when, where how study migration. empirical case draws on 165 semi-structured interviews with distance education students from Zimbabwe, Namibia Nigeria University South Africa (UNISA).

Язык: Английский

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Rare and highly destructive wildfires drive human migration in the U.S.

Nature Communications, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 15(1)

Опубликована: Авг. 5, 2024

Abstract The scale of wildfire impacts to the built environment is growing and will likely continue under rising average global temperatures. We investigate whether at what destruction threshold wildfires have influenced human mobility patterns by examining migration effects most destructive in contiguous U.S. between 1999 2020. find that only extreme (258+ structures destroyed) patterns. In contrast, majority examined were less did not cause significant changes out- or in-migration. These findings suggest that, for past two decades, influence on population was rare operated primarily through environment.

Язык: Английский

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Beyond migration: a critical review of climate change induced displacement

Environmental Sociology, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 8(3), С. 267 - 278

Опубликована: Март 14, 2022

Scholarship on displacement caused by the effects of climate change generally approaches as involuntary movement people. However, in this article, we argue that there are uncertainties surrounding Climate Change Induced Displacement (CCID) partly discursive ambiguity around notion 'displacement' – a concept remains poorly defined context research and conflation between due to quick-onset disaster events cumulative pressure living an environment marked disrupted climate. Reflecting impacts Australian bushfires 2019–20, conceptualise CCID beyond migration event physical relocation across geographical space. Even fast-onset events, such bushfires, can dispossess displace immediate threat fire front; but is not necessarily aligned with migration, nor it evenly proportioned populations. Based review existing literature CCID, identify three key tensions shaping scholarship CCID: conceptualisation; distribution risk impact; framing. Together, contend, these highlight imperative striving for conceptual clarity awareness distributional inequities vulnerabilities.

Язык: Английский

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Tracking local and regional climate im/mobilities through a multidimensional lens

Regional Environmental Change, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 22(3)

Опубликована: Июль 15, 2022

Abstract Recent scholarship on climate mobilities and mobility justice calls for dynamic, relational, agent-centered approaches to comprehend the complex decision-making that compels certain people leave places they call home, encourages or forces others stay put, acknowledges those who engage with mobile populations in host countries. Yet, these efforts fall short of advancing a coherent conceptual framework make sense multifaceted, subjective, affective aspects climate-related movements deliver more inclusive research agendas context regional environmental change. This article aims address this gap by introducing multidimensional visual heuristic we im/mobility cube. makes it possible systematically examine relational intersectional struggles (dis)placement, along three interconnected axes: lived experiences moving, remaining place, receiving subjects upon arrival; role change as part web drivers; consequences immobility have people’s lives, livelihoods, well-being, from desirable benefits intolerable losses. foregrounds embodied inequalities often intimate kinopolitical im/mobile face, at juncture their aspirations capabilities, subject-making processes, ever shifting relations power. As such, our lens sharpens focus simultaneity linkages climate-driven encounters within contexts diverse courageous protagonists.

Язык: Английский

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