Frontiers in Built Environment,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
8
Опубликована: Окт. 31, 2022
Over
the
past
decades,
world
has
experienced
increasing
heatwave
intensity,
frequency,
and
duration.
This
trend
is
projected
to
increase
into
future
with
climate
change.
At
same
time,
global
population
also
increase,
largely
in
world’s
cities.
urban
growth
associated
increased
heat
core,
compared
surrounding
areas,
exposing
residents
both
higher
temperatures
more
intense
heatwaves
than
their
rural
counterparts.
Regional
studies
suggest
that
Asia
Africa
will
be
significantly
affected.
How
many
people
may
exposed
levels
of
extreme
events
remains
unclear.
Identifying
range
number
potentially
populations
where
vulnerable
are
located
can
help
planners
prioritize
adaption
efforts.
We
project
ranges
at
varying
2,100
for
three
periods
time
(2010–2039,
2040–2069,
2070–2099)
using
Shared
Socio-Economic
Pathways
(SSPs)
Representative
Concentration
(RCPs).
hypothesize
largest
very
warm
Africa.
Our
projections
represent
warmest
15
days
during
these
periods.
By
2070–2099
period,
exposure
(>42°)
exceed
3.5
billion,
under
sustainability
scenario
(RCP2.6-SSP1).
The
those
cities
climbs
greater
shares
Southern
tropical
countries
Western
Central
While
this
research
demonstrates
importance
type
change
event,
decision-makers
only
recently
developing
policies
address
heat.
There
an
urgent
need
further
area.
One Earth,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
7(4), С. 589 - 607
Опубликована: Март 8, 2024
The
escalating
impacts
of
climate
change
on
the
movement
and
immobility
people,
coupled
with
false
but
influential
narratives
mobility,
highlight
an
urgent
need
for
nuanced
synthetic
research
around
mobility.
Synthesis
evidence
gaps
across
Intergovernmental
Panel
Climate
Change
(IPCC)
Sixth
Assessment
Report
a
to
clarify
understanding
what
conditions
make
human
mobility
effective
adaptation
option
its
outcomes,
including
simultaneous
losses,
damages,
benefits.
Priorities
include
integration
development
planning;
involuntary
vulnerability;
gender;
data
cities;
risk
from
responses
maladaptation;
public
risk;
transboundary,
compound,
cascading
risks;
nature-based
approaches;
planned
retreat,
relocation,
heritage.
Cutting
these
priorities,
modalities
better
position
as
type
process,
praxis.
Policies
practices
reflect
diverse
needs,
experiences
emphasizing
capability,
choice,
freedom
movement.
Nature Communications,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
16(1)
Опубликована: Март 16, 2025
Abstract
Globally,
populations
are
increasingly
located
in
areas
at
high
risk
of
climate
change
impacts.
Some
lack
the
agency
to
move
out
harm’s
way,
leading
involuntary
immobility.
The
risks
these
face
insufficiently
addressed
policy
and
disaster
planning.
While
planning
should
be
data-informed,
appropriate
data
not
limit
governments
institutions
from
taking
action
reduce
Incorporating
immobility
within
broader
sustainable
development
goals
safe,
orderly,
regular
migration
may
substantially
Climate and Development,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
16(5), С. 349 - 362
Опубликована: Июль 1, 2023
The
prevailing
narrative
on
the
Syrian
Civil
War
attributes
it
to
climate-induced
migration
resulting
from
a
severe
drought,
which
serves
as
central
link
connecting
climate
change
with
2011
protests.
However,
limited
research
has
involved
interviews
Syrians,
most
studies
focusing
drought's
meteorological
aspects
and
estimated
migrant
numbers.
Our
interdisciplinary
study
we
conduct
surveys
82
former
farmers
in
Turkey,
carry
out
16
in-depth
interviews,
analyse
satellite
images
explore
land
use
activities.
objective
is
answer
three
questions:
(1)
How
can
distinguish
between
'forced
displacement'
'migration
an
adaptive
response'
during
2007–2009
drought
Syria
subsequent
civil
war?
(2)
do
abandonment,
interact
since
2006?
(3)
enhance
understanding
of
'trapped'
individuals,
considering
mobility
restrictions
host
countries
rather
than
solely
immobility
country
origin?
findings
are
threefold:
firstly,
employed
measures
against
before
war;
secondly,
abandonment
was
less
extensive
portrayed
literature
linking
climate,
migration,
conflict;
finally,
emphasize
that
refugees
may
feel
trapped
even
after
leaving
their
homes.
Population and Environment,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
46(1)
Опубликована: Фев. 27, 2024
Abstract
Disruptive
events
and
calamities
can
have
major
consequences
for
households
in
the
predominantly
agrarian
communities
of
Eastern
Africa.
Here,
we
analyze
impacts
environmental
non-environmental
shocks
on
migration
Tanzania
using
panel
models
longitudinal
data
from
National
Panel
Survey
between
2008
2013.
Shocks
are
defined
as
that
lead
to
losses
income,
assets,
or
both.
We
find
resulting
changes
conditions
be
positively
related
over
time
with
more
recent
exerting
strongest
impact.
According
our
estimates,
probability
having
a
household
member
absent
increases
by
0.81%
each
additional
shock
encountered
past
12
months.
Different
types
differential
effects
being
observed
an
immediate
impact
livelihoods,
including
through
livestock
crop
damage.
Households
sample
differently
affected
rural,
agriculturally
dependent,
poor
without
alternative
income
sources
showing
their
behavior
response
shocks.
Our
study
adds
important
insights
into
relationship
disruptive
Africa
considering
broad
window
compounding
influence
different
types.
findings
range
policy
implications
highlighting
need
comprehensive
perspective
responses
times
distress
considers
interplay
well
role
context
shaping
mobility
patterns.
Population and Environment,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
46(1)
Опубликована: Март 1, 2024
Abstract
Researchers
have
long
hypothesized
linkages
between
climate
change,
food
security,
and
migration
in
low-
middle-income
countries
(LMICs).
One
such
hypothesis
is
the
“agricultural
pathway,”
which
postulates
that
negative
change
impacts
on
production
harm
livelihoods,
triggers
rural
out-migration,
internally
or
abroad.
Migration
thus
an
adaptation
to
cope
with
of
bolster
livelihoods.
Recent
evidence
suggests
agriculture
pathway
a
plausible
mechanism
explain
climate-related
migration.
But
direct
causal
connections
from
livelihood
loss
out-migration
yet
be
fully
established.
To
guide
future
research
climate-food-migration
nexus,
we
present
conceptual
framework
outlines
components
underpinning
agricultural
LMICs.
We
build
established
environmental-migration
frameworks
informed
empirical
deepened
our
understanding
complex
human-environmental
systems.
First,
provide
overview
its
connection
mobility
literature.
then
outline
primary
as
they
pertain
LMIC
contexts,
highlighting
current
gaps
challenges
relating
pathway.
Last,
discuss
possible
directions
for
nexus.
By
complex,
multiscale,
interconnected
underpin
pathway,
unpacks
multiple
currently
lie
hidden
hypothesis.
Research Square (Research Square),
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Янв. 17, 2025
Abstract
Globally,
populations
are
increasingly
located
in
areas
at
high
risk
of
frequent,
extreme
weather
events.
Some
exposed
have
the
ability
to
move
safer
places;
others
unable
get
out
harm’s
way.
The
climate
risks
facing
these
involuntary
immobile
not
often
addressed
by
local
and
national
authorities,
despite
increasing
recognition
international
development
agencies
humanitarian
actors.
Here
we
discuss
when
how
events
lead
immobility
considering
influence
political,
socioeconomic,
environmental
factors.
Addressing
barriers
policy
disaster
planning,
early
warning
systems
anticipatory
action
could
be
tailored
support
involuntarily
communities.
While
planning
should
data-informed,
lack
appropriate
data
quality
limit
governments
institutions
from
taking
action.
Immobility
needs
aligned
with
broader
sustainable
objectives
which
entail
justice
orderly
migration.
Population and Development Review,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Янв. 27, 2025
Abstract
Climate
change
is
projected
to
increase
human
mobility.
Research
links
climate
stressors,
such
as
warming
temperatures,
severe
weather
events,
and
rising
sea
levels,
migration
within
between
countries
in
many
regions
of
the
world.
This
paper
reviews
this
new
frontier
for
research
charts
directions
future
work.
Understanding
mobility,
we
argue,
requires
considering
local
context
identify
mechanisms
(what
impacts)
selectivity
(who
responds).
needs
draw
more
on
existing
theory
deduce
patterns
under
alternative
drivers
mobility
extend
by
how
those
shift
shocks.
also
generalize
from
diverse
findings
documenting
which
are
most
common
contexts.
