Research Square (Research Square),
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: May 19, 2023
Abstract
Hydrothermal
systems
can
generate
phreatic
and/or
phreatomagmatic
explosions
with
little
warning.
Understanding
the
temporal
and
spatial
evolution
of
geophysical
geochemical
signals
at
hydrothermal
is
crucial
for
detecting
precursors
to
unrest
inform
on
hazard.
Thermal
signatures
such
are
poorly
defined
because
data
records
often
too
short
or
punctual
compared
activity
timescales,
which
be
decadal.
La
Fossa
system
Vulcano
has
been
monitored
since
1980s
entered
a
period
in
2021.
We
assessed
thermal
signature
using
ground-
satellite-based
scales
ranging
from
minutes
days.
While
continuously-recording
stations
provided
continuous
but
point-based
measurements,
fumarole
field
vent
surveys
ASTER
VIIRS
images
allowed
lower
resolution
synoptic
built.
By
integrating
this
multi-resolution
set,
precursory
could
retrospectively
placed
February
June
Intensity
increased
during
summer
2021,
an
onset
over
few
days
September
September,
seismic,
CO
2
,
SO
metrics
also
indicated
unrest,
leading
Civil
Protection
raise
alert
level
yellow
October
1.
Heat
flux,
having
4
MW
May
2019,
peaked
90
120
by
March
2022.
This
ranked
as
one
highest
intensity
like
Reykjanes,
well
ahead
Yellowstone
Nysiros
thus
convolved
our
sets
all
other
monitoring
validate
Unrest
Index
(VUI)
that
potentially
applied
any
system.
The
VUI
highlighted
four
stages
none
were
clear
single
set:
baseline,
precursory,
unrest.
Onset
was
characterized
sudden
release
fluids,
likely
caused
failure
sealed
zones
had
become
pressurized
phase
began
possibly
early
ongoing
more
than
18
months,
may
continue
several
years.
Our
understanding
behavior
due
hindsight,
demonstrates
how
multiparametric
track
forecast
Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
128(10)
Published: Sept. 4, 2023
Abstract
Volcano
crater
lakes,
while
picturesque,
can
sometimes
mask
the
occurrence
of
small
eruptions
or
hydrothermal
fluid
release
events.
However,
these
seemingly
hidden
events
hold
a
wealth
valuable
information
about
underlying
volcanic
conduit
and
may
pose
risks
to
those
near
volcano’s
summit.
This
study
presents
novel
method
for
identifying
hard‐to‐detect
by
examining
seismic
data
from
Ruapehu
volcano
in
New
Zealand.
We
undertake
multi‐timescale
template‐matching
analysis
that
uses
newly
discovered
eruption
precursor,
identify
patterns
related
rapid
consolidation
seals,
pressurization
processes,
subsequent
fluids.
As
result,
we
identified
potential
instance
sudden
fluid‐release
were
previously
unnoticed
due
presence
lake.
Our
findings
support
conceptual
model
cyclic
pressure
variation
within
beneath
an
active
involves
formation
disruption
followed
depressurization
through
Fluid
discharge
recession
recorded
as
amplitude
decay,
provides
properties
reservoir,
conduit,
being
discharged.
also
applied
this
technique
Kawah‐Ijen
(Indonesia)
Copahue
(Chile‐Argentina),
multiple
at
volcanoes.
These
enhance
our
understanding
conditions
leading
explosive
eruptions,
including
could
breach
Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
13(1)
Published: June 17, 2023
The
main
objective
of
this
work
is
to
show
that
Shannon
Entropy
(SE)
calculated
on
continuous
seismic
signals
can
be
used
in
a
volcanic
eruption
monitoring
system.
We
analysed
three
years
activity
Volcán
de
Colima,
México,
recorded
between
January
2015
and
May
2017.
This
period
includes
two
large
explosions,
with
pyroclastic
lava
flows,
intense
less
energetic
explosion,
culminating
quiescence.
In
order
confirm
the
success
our
results,
we
images
Visual
Monitoring
system
Colima
Volcano
Observatory.
Another
objectives
how
decrease
SE
values
track
minor
explosive
activity,
helping
Machine
Learning
algorithms
more
efficiently
complex
problem
distinguishing
explosion
seismograms.
big
eruptions
selected
were
forecasted
successfully
(6
2
days
respectively)
using
decay
SE.
conclude
could
as
complementary
tool
volcano
monitoring,
showing
its
successful
behaviour
prior
eruptions,
giving
time
enough
alert
population
prepare
for
consequences
an
imminent
well
predicted
moment
eruption.
Earth Planets and Space,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
75(1)
Published: Oct. 11, 2023
Abstract
Hydrothermal
systems
can
generate
phreatic
and/or
phreatomagmatic
explosions
with
little
warning.
Understanding
the
temporal
and
spatial
evolution
of
geophysical
geochemical
signals
at
hydrothermal
is
crucial
for
detecting
precursory
signs
to
unrest
inform
on
hazard.
Thermal
signatures
such
are
poorly
defined
because
data
records
often
too
short
or
discrete
compared
activity
timescales,
which
be
decadal.
La
Fossa
system
Vulcano
has
been
monitored
since
1980s
entered
a
period
in
2021.
We
assessed
thermal
signature
using
ground-
satellite-based
various
scales.
While
continuously-recording
stations
provided
continuous
but
point-based
measurements,
fumarole
field
vent
surveys
infrared
images
obtained
from
satellite-flown
sensors
(ASTER
VIIRS)
allowed
lower
resolution
synoptic
built.
By
integrating
this
multi-resolution
set,
could
retrospectively
detected
February
June
Intensity
all
metrics
increased
during
summer
2021,
an
onset
over
few
days
September
September,
seismic,
CO
2
,
SO
other
also
indicated
unrest,
leading
Civil
Protection
raise
alert
level
yellow
October
1.
Heat
flux,
having
4
MW
May
2019,
increasing
90
by
peaking
120
March
2022.
convolved
our
sets
monitoring
validate
Unrest
Index
(VFUI),
framework
potentially
applied
any
system.
The
VFUI
highlighted
four
stages
none
were
clear
single
set:
background,
precursory,
unrest.
Onset
was
characterized
sudden
release
fluids,
likely
caused
failure
sealed
zones
that
had
become
pressurized
phase
began
possibly
as
early
ongoing
more
than
18
months,
may
continue
several
years.
Our
understanding
behavior
due
hindsight,
demonstrates
how
multiparametric
track
forecast
Graphical
Volcanica,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
7(1), P. 153 - 164
Published: March 12, 2024
Phreatic
eruptions
are
small,
sudden
events,
commonly
with
few
precursory
signals.
They
driven
by
interactions
between
magmatic
and
hydrothermal
processes
at
shallow
levels
beneath
the
surface.
Here
we
show
that
a
sequence
of
banded
tremor
which
occurred
several
weeks
before
9
December
2019
eruption
Whakaari
(White
Island),
New
Zealand,
can
be
used
to
hindcast
this
eruption.
The
reveals
progressively
decreasing
time
interval
bands.
Extrapolating
bands
zero
provides
an
accurate
estimate,
least
one
week
prior
eruption,
within
10.2
hours
when
would
occur,
2.8-day
range
95
%
confidence
intervals.
A
similar
set
signals
appeared
27
April
2016
these
provide
very
2.61
hours,
2.2-day
Our
analysis
indicates
potential
forecasting
approach
may
prove
useful
for
successfully
accurately
future
Whakaari.
also
applicable
other
volcanoes
experience
phreatic
phreatomagmatic
eruptions.