HIV deathrate prediction by Gaidai multivariate risks assessment method DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai

Immunity Inflammation and Disease, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12(10)

Published: Oct. 1, 2024

HIV is a contagious disease with reportedly high transmissibility, being spread worldwide, certain mortality, allegedly presenting burden to public health worldwide. The main objective of this study was determine excessive death risks at any time within region or country interest.

Language: Английский

Multi-variate structural reliability assessment for wind energy harvester by Gaidai risk assessment method DOI
Oleg Gaidai,

Shicheng He,

Jinlu Sheng

et al.

Mechanics Based Design of Structures and Machines, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 1 - 14

Published: April 10, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

3

Future worldwide coronavirus disease 2019 epidemic predictions by Gaidai multivariate risk evaluation method DOI Open Access
Oleg Gaidai, Yu Cao, Yan Zhu

et al.

Analytical Science Advances, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 5(7-8)

Published: Aug. 1, 2024

Accurate estimation of pandemic likelihood in every US state interest and at any time. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an infectious illness with a high potential for global dissemination low rates fatality morbidity, placing some strains on national public health systems. This research intends to benchmark novel technique, that enables hazard assessment, based available clinical data, dynamically observed patient numbers while taking into account pertinent territorial temporal mapping. Multicentre, population-based, biostatistical strategies have been utilized process raw/unfiltered medical survey data. The expansion extreme value statistics from the univariate bivariate situation meets numerous challenges. First, types theorem cannot be directly extended (2D) case,-not mention challenges system dimensionality higher than 2D. Assessing outbreak risks future outbreaks nation/region interest. Existing bio-statistical approaches do not always benefits effectively handling large regional cross-correlation between various observations. These methods deal observations multi-regional phenomena. Apply contemporary, statistical/reliability techniques current study outlines bio-system assessment technique particularly suited environmental, bio, systems, over representative period. With use Gaidai multivariate approach, epidemic spatiotemporal may properly assessed. Based approach applied variety applications. study's primary finding was outbreaks, along matching confidence range. Future COVID-19/severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV2) examined study; however, COVID-19/SARS-COV2 infection transmission mechanisms discussed.

Language: Английский

Citations

13

Multivariate risk assessment for offshore structures by Gaidai risk evaluation method under an accumulation of fatigue damage, utilizing novel deconvolution scheme DOI

Peijiang Qin,

Oleg Gaidai,

Jinlu Sheng

et al.

Structures, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 70, P. 107691 - 107691

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

13

Limit hypersurface state-of-the-art damage assessment approach for a galloping energy harvester, accounting for memory effects DOI
Oleg Gaidai, Zirui Liu, Yu Cao

et al.

Journal of Vibration and Control, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Sept. 13, 2024

Energy harvesters (i.e., EH) constituting nowadays an essential part of renewable energy engineering; hence, apart from numerical modeling, experimental studies are necessary, reliable input for durable design and structural safety assessments. In the current study, galloping EH’s performance was analyzed, utilizing extensive laboratory wind-tunnel tests, conducted under realistic windspeed conditions. The novel multivariate risks assessment methodology, presented in study is particularly feasible multi-dimensional nonlinear EH dynamic systems, that have been either directly Monte Carlo MC) numerically simulated or physically measured over a representative temporal lapse, providing piecewise ergodic time series. As shown this analysis, suggested methodology accurately enables accurate predictions system’s failure/hazard damage risks, based on laboratory-measured dynamics. Furthermore, inter-correlations between various systems’ critical components not always easily handled by classic risk techniques, when dealing with high-dimensional raw primary goal validation benchmarking which can extract pertinent information, contained within dynamics, lab-recorded histories. conclusion, hypersurface generic, additional capability to accurately, yet efficiently predict damage/failure variety multidimensional systems. Relatively narrow confidence bands reported forecasted failure levels, indicating both robustness setup, as well practical virtues advocated Gaidai methodology. Note being mathematically exact does rely pre-assumptions it general purpose.

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Onboard multivariate hazard assessment for UIKKU chemical tanker by Gaidai reliability method DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai, Alia Ashraf,

Jinlu Sheng

et al.

Deleted Journal, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 1(1)

Published: Oct. 7, 2024

The current study outlines a novel multimodal structural reliability methodology, suitable for naval dynamic systems, that are either numerically simulated, or directly physically measured. Cross-correlations between the system's principal/key dimensions/components, along with high dimensionality of complex not easily addressed by existing methods, mostly univariate bivariate. objective this had been to apply reliability/hazard assessment methodology UIKKU chemical tanker onboard measurements demonstrate efficiency proposed methodology. Current investigation utilized measured ice loadings, exerted on hull and propulsion devices during its Arctic voyage. Onboard data recordings then were interpreted gain knowledge about load levels. instrumented so ice-induced loads/stresses vessel shell plating monitored at various key locations, both in longitudinal as well vertical directions, vessel's hull. Longitudinal bending stresses several locations accelerations analyze global behaviour when colliding e.g., moderately heavy ridges. In addition onboard, Russian partners icebreaker Capitan Dranitsyn real-time measure strains/stresses within belt grillage, located bow. Icebreaker acted escort whole Obtained results may be harmonize IACS Polar ship rules. study, measuring system results, voyage have briefly represented.

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Pacific Ocean Windspeeds Prediction by Gaidai Multivariate Risks Evaluation Method, Utilizing Self-Deconvolution DOI
Oleg Gaidai

ASME Open Journal of Engineering, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 3

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Abstract The current study advances research on the consequences of global climate change by utilizing novel Gaidai multivariate risks evaluation methodology to conduct spatiotemporal analysis areal windspeeds. Multidimensional structural and environmental dynamic systems that have been either physically observed or numerically simulated over a representative time-lapse are particularly suitable for methodology. Current also presents non-parametric deconvolution extrapolation method. As this has shown, given in situ input, it is possible accurately predict system hazard risks, based even limited underlying dataset. Furthermore, because their complex nonlinear cross-correlations between various system-critical dimensions components large dimensionality, difficult handle using traditional methods evaluating risks. In North Pacific, close Hawaiian Islands, NOAA buoys gathered raw wind speed data, which utilized study. Areal ocean speeds constitute quite challenging analyze its nonlinear, multidimensional, cross-correlated nature. Global warming had impacts windspeeds recent decade. Developing state-of-the-art risk principal component modern offshore light adverse weather. advocated risk/hazard assessment approach may be used resilient island cities design, especially those near shore hence exposed extreme

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Multivariate Gaidai reliability methodology for marine riser dynamics in the Red Sea with memory effects included DOI

Chaoshuai Han,

Oleg Gaidai, Yan Zhu

et al.

Ocean Engineering, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 313, P. 119437 - 119437

Published: Oct. 13, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Gaidai multimodal risk evaluation methodology based on cargo vessel onboard measurements, given structural damage accumulation DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai, Alia Ashraf, Yu Cao

et al.

Deleted Journal, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 1(1)

Published: Oct. 23, 2024

Intercontinental transportation relies heavily on medium-to-large cargo vessels, constituting an essential component of the global trade. Thus, it is paramount importance for trading companies, engineers, designers to advance innovative, economically viable logistical and structural schemes, that are safe reliable. Full-scale onboard recorded data, when available, serves as valuable diagnostic tool hard overestimate. An operating medium-size ship TEU2800 had been selected current investigation. hull dynamics by excessive deck panel strains, occurring during ship's intercontinental sailings through potentially adverse weather conditions. Inherent risks damaging vessel losing containers, caused motions/loads, being one primary concerns industry. Primary novelty this investigation twofold: first, a unique measured representative dataset analyzed; second, novel multimodal reliability methodology employed analyzed raw data. Presented study advocates state-of-the-art Gaidai spatiotemporal assessment methodology, enabling conservative hazard/damage/failure risk forecasting nonstationary, nonlinear, dynamics, under accumulated fatigue damage. Note advocated evaluation generic nature may be straightforwardly applied wide range contemporary complex naval, offshore, marine systems, hence not limited vessels only.

Language: Английский

Citations

11

Bivariate validation of the Gaidai natural hazard evaluation method for climate dynamics DOI

Chaoshuai Han,

Oleg Gaidai,

Mahmoud El-Wazery

et al.

Ocean Engineering, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 313, P. 119630 - 119630

Published: Oct. 30, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

11

State-of-the-art nonstationary hypersurface damage assessment approach for energy harvesters DOI
Oleg Gaidai,

Shicheng He,

Fang Wang

et al.

Renewable Energy, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 237, P. 121824 - 121824

Published: Nov. 7, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

11