Abstract.
Natural
hazards
have
serious
impacts
worldwide
on
society,
economy
and
environment.
In
Vietnam,
throughout
the
years,
natural
caused
a
significant
loss
of
lives
as
well
severe
devastation
to
houses,
crops,
transportation.
This
paper
presents
new
model
for
multi-hazard
(floods
wildfires)
exposure
estimates
using
machine
learning
models,
Google
Earth
Engine,
spatial
analysis
tools
typical
Quang
Nam
province,
Vietnam
case
study.
By
establishing
context
collected
data
climate
impacts,
geospatial
database
was
built
multiple
hazard
modelling,
including
an
inventory
climate-related
wildfires),
topography,
geology,
hydrology,
features
(temperature,
wetness,
wind),
land
use,
building
assessment.
The
susceptibility
matrices
were
presented
demonstrate
profiling
approach
multi-hazards.
results
are
explicitly
illustrated
floods
wildfire
buildings.
Susceptibility
models
random
forest
provide
accuracy
AUC=0.882
0.884
wildfires,
respectively.
flood
combined
within
semi-quantitative
matrix
assessing
different
combinations
hazards.
Digital
risk
maps
wildfires
aid
identification
areas
prone
potential
can
be
used
inform
communities
regulatory
authorities
how
they
develop
implement
long-term
adaptation
solutions.
Environmental Technology & Innovation,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
35, P. 103655 - 103655
Published: May 5, 2024
Forest
fires
pose
a
significant
threat
to
ecosystems
and
socio-economic
activities,
necessitating
the
development
of
accurate
predictive
models
for
effective
management
mitigation.
In
this
study,
we
present
novel
machine
learning
approach
combined
with
Explainable
Artificial
Intelligence
(XAI)
techniques
predict
forest
fire
susceptibility
in
Nainital
district.
Our
innovative
methodology
integrates
several
robust
—
AdaBoost,
Gradient
Boosting
Machine
(GBM),
XGBoost
Random
Deep
Neural
Network
(DNN)
as
meta-model
stacking
framework.
This
not
only
utilises
individual
strengths
these
models,
but
also
improves
overall
prediction
performance
reliability.
By
using
XAI
techniques,
particular
SHAP
(SHapley
Additive
exPlanations)
LIME
(Local
Interpretable
Model-agnostic
Explanations),
improve
interpretability
provide
insights
into
decision-making
processes.
results
show
effectiveness
ensemble
model
categorising
different
zones:
very
low,
moderate,
high
high.
particular,
identified
extensive
areas
susceptibility,
precision,
recall
F1
values
underpinning
their
effectiveness.
These
achieved
ROC
AUC
above
0.90,
performing
exceptionally
well
an
0.94.
The
are
remarkably
inclusion
confidence
intervals
most
important
metrics
all
emphasises
robustness
reliability
supports
practical
use
management.
Through
summary
plots,
analyze
global
variable
importance,
revealing
annual
rainfall
Evapotranspiration
(ET)
key
factors
influencing
susceptibility.
Local
analysis
consistently
highlights
importance
rainfall,
ET,
distance
from
roads
across
models.
study
fills
research
gap
by
providing
comprehensive
interpretable
modelling
that
our
ability
effectively
manage
risk
is
consistent
environmental
protection
sustainable
goals.
IEEE Access,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
11, P. 24472 - 24483
Published: Jan. 1, 2023
Floods
are
one
of
the
most
common
natural
disasters
that
occur
frequently
causing
massive
damage
to
property,
agriculture,
economy
and
life.
Flood
prediction
offers
a
huge
challenge
for
researchers
struggling
predict
floods
since
long
time.
In
this
article,
flood
forecasting
model
using
federated
learning
technique
has
been
proposed.
Federated
Learning
is
advanced
machine
(ML)
guarantees
data
privacy,
ensures
availability,
promises
security,
handles
network
latency
trials
inherent
in
by
prohibiting
be
transferred
over
training.
urges
onsite
training
local
models,
focuses
on
transmission
these
models
instead
sending
set
towards
central
server
aggregation
global
at
server.
proposed
integrates
locally
trained
eighteen
clients,
investigates
which
station
flooding
about
happen
generates
alert
specific
client
with
five
days
lead
A
feed
forward
neural
(FFNN)
where
expected.
module
FFNN
predicts
expected
water
level
taking
multiple
regional
parameters
as
input.
The
dataset
different
rivers
barrages
collected
from
2015
2021
considering
four
aspects
including
snow
melting,
rainfall-runoff,
flow
routing
hydrodynamics.
successfully
predicted
previous
happened
selected
zone
during
2010
84
%
accuracy.
Advances in Climate Change Research,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
15(2), P. 253 - 264
Published: March 7, 2024
Retrogressive
thaw
slumps
(RTSs)
caused
by
the
thawing
of
ground
ice
on
permafrost
slopes
have
dramatically
increased
and
become
a
common
hazard
across
Northern
Hemisphere
during
previous
decades.
However,
gap
remains
in
our
comprehensive
understanding
spatial
controlling
factors,
including
climate
terrain,
that
are
conducive
to
these
RTSs
at
global
scale.
Using
machine
learning
methodologies,
we
mapped
current
future
susceptibility
distributions
incorporating
range
environmental
factors
inventories.
We
identified
thawing-degree
days
maximum
summer
rainfall
as
primary
affecting
susceptibility.
The
final
ensemble
map
suggests
regions
with
high
very
could
constitute
(11.6
±
0.78)%
Hemisphere's
region.
When
juxtaposed
(2000-2020)
map,
total
area
witness
an
increase
ranging
from
(31.7
0.65)%
(SSP585)
(51.9±
0.73)%
(SSP126)
2041-2060.
insights
gleaned
this
study
not
only
offer
valuable
implications
for
engineering
applications
Hemisphere,
but
also
provide
long-term
insight
into
potential
change
response
change.
International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
127, P. 103669 - 103669
Published: Jan. 25, 2024
Satellite
remote
sensing,
as
an
important
tool
for
Earth
observation,
has
been
widely
used
to
monitor
various
vegetation
destruction
events
(VDEs),
such
logging,
wildfires
and
insect
infestations.
However,
due
the
spectral
diversity
of
VDE
complexity
background
environments
(BE),
achieving
accurate
detection
remains
a
challenge.
To
overcome
this
limitation,
study
developed
novel
index,
called
three-band
difference
index
(TBDVI),
which
fully
considered
characteristics
both
BEs
multiple
VDEs,
in
complex
scenarios.
Three
experiments
were
chosen
prove
performance
TBDVI,
including
(1)
possible
changes;
(2)
(3)
real
events.
The
results
showed
that
TBDVI
was
suitable
change
scenarios
conditions,
with
F1
scores
0.906–0.979.
Moreover,
accurately
identified
extent
caused
by
infestation,
landslides,
wildfires,
floods,
0.922–0.965.
Compared
existing
indices
(VIs)
(i.e.,
normalized
(NDVI),
moisture
(NDMI)
burn
ratio
(NBR)),
obvious
advantages
reducing
impact
environment.
In
addition,
exhibits
cross-sensor
applicability
potential
large-scale
high-frequency
monitoring.
conclusion,
is
effective
robust
metric
conservation
management
resources.
Journal of Water and Climate Change,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
15(1), P. 284 - 304
Published: Dec. 9, 2023
Abstract
Flood
prediction
is
an
important
task,
which
helps
local
decision-makers
in
taking
effective
measures
to
reduce
damage
the
people
and
economy.
Currently,
most
studies
use
machine
learning
predict
flooding
a
given
region;
however,
extrapolation
problem
considered
major
challenge
when
using
these
techniques
rarely
studied.
Therefore,
this
study
will
focus
on
approach
resolve
flood
depth
by
integrating
(XGBoost,
Extra-Trees
(EXT),
CatBoost
(CB),
light
gradient
boost
machines
(LightGBM))
hydraulic
modeling
under
MIKE
FLOOD.
The
results
show
that
model
worked
well
providing
data
needed
build
model.
Among
four
proposed
models,
XGBoost
was
found
be
best
at
solving
estimation
of
depth,
followed
EXT,
CB,
LightGBM.
Quang
Binh
province
hit
floods
with
depths
ranging
from
0
3.2
m.
Areas
high
are
concentrated
along
downstream
two
rivers
(Gianh
Nhat
Le
–
Kien
Giang).