Navigating the Uncertain Terrain: Venezuela’s Future Using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Framework—A Systematic Review DOI Open Access
Isaías Lescher Soto, Alicia Villamizar, Barlín Orlando Olivares

et al.

Climate, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12(7), P. 98 - 98

Published: July 6, 2024

We investigate Venezuela’s potential “futures” under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) through a systematic literature review, including mapping and thematic analysis of 50 scientific articles. categorised the SSP scenarios into two generational categories classified outcomes positive, negative, neutral futures. Under first-generation scenarios, increasing poverty could be reversed, country’s economic growth stimulated by adopting unambitious climate measures. However, second-generation paint more challenging picture. They suggest that Venezuela face heat waves, droughts, an increase in diseases, loss biodiversity, invasive species pests during remainder 21st century as direct consequence change. geographic topographic diversity exacerbate these impacts For instance, coastal areas at risk sea-level rise increased storm surges, while mountainous regions experience frequent intense rainfall, leading to landslides flash floods. The urgency conducting additional research on factors influence severity change’s impact, considering diversity, cannot overstated. also identified critical need explore alternative paths move away from current extractive development model. actions this regard instrumental aligning country with global adaptation mitigation commitments.

Language: Английский

Challenges for climate change adaptation in Latin America and the Caribbean region DOI Creative Commons
Tereza Cavazos, María Laura Bettolli, Donovan Campbell

et al.

Frontiers in Climate, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 6

Published: April 23, 2024

The limited success of international efforts to reduce global warming at levels established in the Paris Agreement, and increasing frequency strength climate impacts, highlight urgent need adaptation, particularly developing countries. Unfortunately, current adaptation initiatives are not enough counteract observed impacts projected risks from change Latin America Caribbean (LAC). In this paper, we review relevant issues that have capacity transform knowledge parties’ ambitions into action region. Current vulnerabilities climatic impact-drivers LAC diverse, complex, region-specific their effects expected be exacerbated by change. However, advancement regional domestic agendas has been hindered scientific gaps, political support, institutional capacity, financial, technical, human, economic limitations common many Transforming data multidimensional metrics with useful thresholds for different sectors understanding contribution feasible strategies delayed local conundrums such as lack inclusive governance, availability, equity, justice, transboundary issues. We discuss ways move forward develop resilient development actions a more sustainable future LAC. science community needs strengthen its local, national, connections decision/policymakers society establish three-way engagement proposing suitable negotiations vulnerability associated extremes, variability discussions insights presented work could extrapolated other countries Global South.

Language: Английский

Citations

12
Bias Correction in CMIP6 Models Simulations and Projections for Brazil’s Climate Assessment DOI

Livia Maria Brumatti,

Luiz Felipe Sant’Anna Commar,

N Neumann

et al.

Earth Systems and Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 8(1), P. 121 - 134

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

11
Extreme weather events and crop diversification: climate change adaptation in Brazil DOI Creative Commons
Elena Beatriz Piedra-Bonilla, Dênis Antônio da Cunha, Marcelo José Braga

et al.

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 30(5)

Published: April 21, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Multiple dimensions of extreme weather events and their impacts on biodiversity DOI Creative Commons
Juan David González‐Trujillo, Rosa María Román-Cuesta, Aarón Israel Muñiz-Castillo

et al.

Climatic Change, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 176(11)

Published: Nov. 1, 2023

Abstract Climate change is a multidimensional phenomenon. As such, no single metric can capture all trajectories of and associated impacts. While numerous metrics exist to measure climate change, they tend focus on central tendencies neglect the multidimensionality extreme weather events (EWEs). EWEs differ in their frequency, duration, intensity, be described for temperature, precipitation, wind speed, while considering different thresholds defining “extremeness.” We review existing EWE outline framework classifying interpreting them light foreseeable impacts biodiversity. Using an example drawn from Caribbean Central America, we show that reflect unequal spatial patterns exposure across region. Based available evidence, discuss how such relate threats biological populations, empirically demonstrating ecologically informed help processes as mangrove recovery. Unveiling complexity affecting biodiversity only possible through mobilisation plethora metrics. The proposed represents step forward over assessments using dimensions or averages highly variable time series.

Language: Английский

Citations

16
Assessment of Precipitation and Hydrological Droughts in South America through Statistically Downscaled CMIP6 Projections DOI Open Access
Glauber Willian de Souza Ferreira, Michelle Simões Reboita, João Gabriel Martins Ribeiro

et al.

Climate, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 11(8), P. 166 - 166

Published: Aug. 2, 2023

Drought events are critical environmental threats that yield several socioeconomic impacts. Such effects even more relevant for South America (SA) since different activities essential the continent, such as agriculture and energy generation, depend highly on water resources. Thus, this study aimed to evaluate future changes in precipitation hydrological drought occurrence SA through climate projections from eight global models (GCMs) of CMIP6. To end, statistical downscaling was applied obtained using quantile delta mapping technique, method proved be efficient reducing systematic biases preserving GCMs’ trends. For following decades, results show considerable statistically significant reductions over most SA, especially during austral spring, with intense signal under SSP5-8.5 forcing scenario. Furthermore, GCMs showed mixed signals about frequency intensity events. Still, they indicated agreement regarding increased duration severity continent a substantial proportion moderate severe Brazil 21st century. These can helpful better management resources by decision-makers planners.

Language: Английский

Citations

12
Exploring the influence of improved horizontal resolution on extreme precipitation in Southern Africa major river basins: insights from CMIP6 HighResMIP simulations DOI
Sydney Samuel, Gizaw Mengistu Tsidu, Alessandro Dosio

et al.

Climate Dynamics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 62(8), P. 8099 - 8120

Published: July 4, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

4
Performance of the medium and high horizontal resolution models from HighResMIP-CMIP6 in simulating synoptic-scale cyclones over South America DOI
Andressa Andrade Cardoso, Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha, Michelle Simões Reboita

et al.

Climate Dynamics, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 63(1)

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Comparative analysis of bias correction methods for projecting extreme precipitation and temeprature indices in Pakistan DOI
Zulfiqar Ali, Mohd Khairul Idlan Muhammad, Mansour Almazroui

et al.

Atmospheric Research, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 107957 - 107957

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Water Quality Assessment of Lakes in Mountain Region with Spatial Reference to Amarkantak, Madhya Pradesh, India DOI Open Access

Piyali Sabui,

Sumit K. Soni, Anoop Yadav

et al.

Published: March 24, 2025

Freshwater lakes are critical in preserving ecological balance and offering vital ecosystem services. However, mountain regions' face many issues due to natural processes anthropogenic activity. Seasonal climate change-driven events, long-range atmospheric transport, global pollution disrupt the of lakes. This study has focused on water quality Amarkantak Madhya Pradesh lakes.Amarkantak is situated Maikal Mountain range, links Vindhyachal Satpura ranges, one major tourist destinations. Water samples were collected from different region, physico-chemicalparameters wereanalyzed. The waterquality index (WQI) also calculated. results demonstrated that DO level some lower than permissible limits, BOD levels higher comparison limits occurrence eutrophication. Due increasing impact degradation, ecosystems becoming dysfunctional, which lowers theavailability clean drinking increases risks associated with habitat conditions vulnerability organisms a regional, continental, scale.To create strategies policies meet particular difficulties faced by freshwater ecosystems, policymakers, scientists, conservation practitioners can benefit greatly insights provided this study.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
SWAT and CMIP6-driven hydro-climate modeling of future flood risks and vegetation dynamics in the White Oak Bayou Watershed, United States DOI

Stephanie Marshall,

Thanh‐Nhan‐Duc Tran, Arfan Arshad

et al.

Earth Systems and Environment, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: April 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0