Characterization of Cold Land Hydrological Processes by Integrating In-Situ Snowpack Observations with a Land Surface Model in the Yellowstone River Basin, USA DOI Creative Commons

Do Hyuk Kang

Published: Nov. 30, 2023

Abstract. In the eastern region of North American Continental Divide in upper Colorado Rockies, this study demonstrates that enhancing streamflow predictability from May to July Yellowstone River Basin is enabled. This improvement achieved by employing a land surface hydrology model watershed, coupled with an updated winter precipitation weather forcing dataset. Utilizing 13 snowpack telemetry stations US Department Agriculture Basin, paper calculates ratios between baseline simulated initial application and observed snowpack. The average ratio serves as constant multiplier for existing snowfall applied second simulation. As result simulation, reaches Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) 0.91, contrast simulation's 0.73 NSE during peak periods. also explores cold hydrological processes, particularly those related snowmelt-driven streamflow. addition streamflow, two variables such soil moisture are assessed against in-situ satellite-based observations Basin. comparisons reveal mainly driven springtime snowmelt diminishes summer. findings confirmed both simulations satellite-borne observations. Another noteworthy discovery infiltration properties wetter than western America, resulting amplified side despite similar levels runoff on either Rockies United States.

Language: Английский

A Contemporary Systematic Review of Cyberinfrastructure Systems and Applications for Flood and Drought Data Analytics and Communication DOI Creative Commons
Serhan Yeşilköy, Özlem Baydaroğlu, Nikhil Kumar Singh

et al.

Environmental Research Communications, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 6(10), P. 102003 - 102003

Published: Oct. 1, 2024

Abstract Hydrometeorological disasters, including floods and droughts, have intensified in both frequency severity recent years. This trend underscores the critical role of timely monitoring, accurate forecasting, effective warning systems facilitating proactive responses. Today’s information offer a vast intricate mesh data, encompassing satellite imagery, meteorological metrics, predictive modeling. Easily accessible to general public, these cyberinfrastructures simulate potential disaster scenarios, serving as invaluable aids decision-making processes. review collates key literature on water-related systems, underscoring transformative impact emerging Internet technologies. These advancements promise enhanced flood drought timeliness greater preparedness through improved management, analysis, visualization, data sharing. Moreover, aid hydrometeorological predictions, foster development web-based educational platforms, support frameworks, digital twins, metaverse applications contexts. They further bolster scientific research development, enrich climate change vulnerability strengthen associated cyberinfrastructures. article delves into prospective developments realm natural pinpointing primary challenges gaps current highlighting intersections with future artificial intelligence solutions.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Rain-on-snow climatology and its impact on flood risk in snow-dominated regions of Türkiye DOI
Serhan Yeşilköy, Özlem Baydaroğlu

Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 156(5)

Published: April 11, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Attributing climate and weather extremes to Northern Hemisphere sea ice and terrestrial snow: progress, challenges and ways forward DOI Creative Commons
Kunhui Ye,

Judah Cohen,

Hans W. Chen

et al.

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 8(1)

Published: May 3, 2025

Abstract Sea ice and snow are crucial components of the cryosphere climate system. Both sea spring in Northern Hemisphere (NH) have been decreasing at an alarming rate a changing climate. Changes NH linked with variety weather extremes including cold spells, heatwaves, droughts wildfires. Understanding these linkages will benefit predictions extremes. However, existing work on this has largely fragmented is subject to large uncertainties physical pathways methodologies. This prevented further substantial progress attributing change, potentially risk loss critical window for effective change mitigation. In review, we synthesize current by evaluating observed linkages, their pathways, suggesting ways forward future research efforts. By adopting same framework both snow, highlight combined influence cryospheric feedback We suggest that from improving observational networks, addressing causality complexity using multiple lines evidence, large-ensemble approaches artificial intelligence, achieving synergy between different methodologies/disciplines, widening context, coordinated international collaboration.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

A Phenology-Dependent Analysis for Identifying Key Drought Indicators for Crop Yield based on Causal Inference and Information Theory DOI Creative Commons
Özlem Baydaroğlu, Serhan Yeşilköy, İbrahim Demir

et al.

EarthArXiv (California Digital Library), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Aug. 29, 2024

Drought indicators, which are quantitative measurements of drought severity and duration, used to monitor predict the risk effects drought, particularly in relation sustainability agriculture water supplies. This research uses causal inference information theory discover index, is most efficient indicator for agricultural productivity a valuable metric estimating predicting crop yield. The connection between precipitation, maximum air temperature, indices corn soybean yield ascertained by cross convergent mapping (CCM), while transfer them determined through entropy (TE). conducted on rainfed lands Iowa, considering phenological stages crops. Based nonlinearity analysis using S-map, it that causality could not be carried out CCM due absence data. results intriguing as they uncover both precipitation temperature indices. analysis, with strongest relationship production SPEI-9m SPI-6m during silking period, SPI-9m doughing period. Therefore, these may considered effective predictors prediction models. study highlights need periods when production, differs two periods.

Language: Английский

Citations

2

Harmful algal bloom prediction using empirical dynamic modeling DOI
Özlem Baydaroğlu

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 959, P. 178185 - 178185

Published: Dec. 22, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Harrmful Algal Bloom Prediction using Emprical Dynamic Modelling DOI Creative Commons
Özlem Baydaroğlu

EarthArXiv (California Digital Library), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Aug. 2, 2024

Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) can originate from a variety of reasons, including water pollution coming agriculture, effluent treatment plants, sewage system leaks, pH and light levels, the consequences climate change. In recent years, HAB events have become serious environmental problem, paralleling population growth, agricultural development, increasing air temperatures, declining precipitation. Hence, it is crucial to identify mechanisms responsible for formation harmful algal blooms (HABs), accurately assess their short- long-term impacts, quantify variations based on projections developing accurate action plans effectively managing resources. This present study utilizes empirical dynamic modeling (EDM) predict chlorophyll-a (chl-a) concentration Lake Erie. method characterized by its nonlinearity nonparametric nature. EDM has significant benefit in that surpasses constraints conventional statistical through use data-driven attractor reconstruction. Chl-a critical commonly used parameter prediction events. Erie an inland body experiences frequent phenomena as result location. With MAPE 4.31%, RMSE 6.24, coefficient determination 0.98, showed exceptional performance. These findings suggest underlying dynamics chl-a changes be well captured model.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Comprehensive Assessment of Drought Impact on Crop Yields Across Iowa Over Two Decades (2000-2022) DOI
S M Samiul Islam, Jerry Mount, İbrahim Demir

et al.

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Assessing the Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Meteorological Drought in Afghanistan DOI
Gökmen Tayfur,

Ehsanullah Hayat,

Mir Jafar Sadegh Safari

et al.

Pure and Applied Geophysics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Reply on RC1 DOI Creative Commons

Dohyuk Kang

Published: Jan. 29, 2024

Abstract. In the eastern region of North American Continental Divide in upper Colorado Rockies, this study demonstrates that enhancing streamflow predictability from May to July Yellowstone River Basin is enabled. This improvement achieved by employing a land surface hydrology model watershed, coupled with an updated winter precipitation weather forcing dataset. Utilizing 13 snowpack telemetry stations US Department Agriculture Basin, paper calculates ratios between baseline simulated initial application and observed snowpack. The average ratio serves as constant multiplier for existing snowfall applied second simulation. As result simulation, reaches Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) 0.91, contrast simulation's 0.73 NSE during peak periods. also explores cold hydrological processes, particularly those related snowmelt-driven streamflow. addition streamflow, two variables such soil moisture are assessed against in-situ satellite-based observations Basin. comparisons reveal mainly driven springtime snowmelt diminishes summer. findings confirmed both simulations satellite-borne observations. Another noteworthy discovery infiltration properties wetter than western America, resulting amplified side despite similar levels runoff on either Rockies United States.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Social Vulnerability and Climate Risk Assessment for Agricultural Communities in The United States DOI Creative Commons
Tuğkan Tanır, Enes Yıldırım, Celso M. Ferreira

et al.

EarthArXiv (California Digital Library), Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Aug. 18, 2023

Floods and droughts significantly affect agricultural activities pose a threat to food security by subsequently reducing production. The impact of flood events is distributed disproportionately among communities based on their socio-economic fabric. Understanding climate-related hazards critical for planning mitigation measures secure vulnerable communities. This research presents comprehensive risk evaluation methodology assessing the combined drought in United States. By integrating social vulnerability levels with exposure data, study identifies most individually, aiming provide significant insights into community continental U.S. addresses scientific gap through nationwide assessment, evaluating expected annual losses hazards, combining losses. analyses were conducted adapting datasets methodologies that are developed federal institutions such as FEMA, USACE, USDA. identified 30 socially counties assessed flooding, finding Mendocino, Sonoma, Humboldt, El Dorado, Fresno, Kern California had highest losses, Humboldt (CA) Montgomery (TX) having risk.

Language: Английский

Citations

0