A comparative study of different deep learning methods for time-series probabilistic residential load power forecasting DOI Creative Commons

Liangcai Zhou,

Yi Zhou, Linlin Liu

et al.

Frontiers in Energy Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12

Published: Oct. 18, 2024

The widespread adoption of nonlinear power electronic devices in residential settings has significantly increased the stochasticity and uncertainty systems. original load data, characterized by numerous irregular, random, probabilistic components, adversely impacts predictive performance deep learning techniques, particularly neural networks. To address this challenge, paper proposes a time-series prediction technique based on mature network point technique, i.e., decomposing data into deterministic stochastic components. component is predicted using technology, fitted with Gaussian mixture distribution model parameters are great expectation algorithm, after which obtained generation method. Using study evaluates six different methods to forecast power. By comparing errors these methods, optimal identified, leading substantial improvement accuracy.

Language: Английский

A Novel Approach for State of Health Estimation and Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Supercapacitors Using an Improved Honey Badger Algorithm Assisted Hybrid Neural Network DOI Creative Commons
Zhenxiao Yi, Shi Wang, Zhaoting Li

et al.

Protection and Control of Modern Power Systems, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 9(6), P. 1 - 18

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Supercapacitors (SCs) are widely recognized as excellent clean energy storage devices. Accurate state of health (SOH) estimation and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction essential for ensuring their safe reliable operation. This paper introduces a novel method SOH RUL prediction, based on hybrid neural network optimized by an improved honey badger algorithm (HBA). The combines the advantages convolutional (CNN) bidirectional long-short-term memory (BiLSTM) network. HBA optimizes hyperparameters CNN automatically extracts deep features from time series data reduces dimensionality, which then used input BiLSTM. Additionally, recurrent dropout is introduced in layer to reduce overfitting facilitate learning process. approach not only improves accuracy estimates forecasts but also significantly processing time. SCs under different working conditions validate proposed method. results show that model effectively features, enriches local details, enhances global perception capabilities. outperforms single models, reducing root mean square error below 1%, offers higher robustness compared other methods.

Language: Английский

Citations

11

A multi-energy loads forecasting model based on dual attention mechanism and multi-scale hierarchical residual network with gated recurrent unit DOI
Wenhao Chen, Rong Fei, Chuan Lin

et al.

Energy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 320, P. 134975 - 134975

Published: Feb. 18, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Flexible energy storage estimation for electric buses: A hybrid data-driven and physical model-driven approach DOI
Jinkai Shi, Weige Zhang, Yan Bao

et al.

Journal of Energy Storage, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 119, P. 116230 - 116230

Published: March 25, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Advancing Short-Term Load Forecasting with decomposed Fourier ARIMA: A Case Study on the Greek Energy Market DOI Creative Commons

Spyridon Karamolegkos,

D.E. Koulouriotis

Energy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 135854 - 135854

Published: March 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Online decoupling feature framework for optimal probabilistic load forecasting in concept drift environments DOI
Chaojin Cao, Yaoyao He, Xiaodong Yang

et al.

Applied Energy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 392, P. 125952 - 125952

Published: April 25, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

A probabilistic load forecasting method for multi-energy loads based on inflection point optimization and integrated feature screening DOI
Xiaoyu Zhao, Pengfei Duan, Xiaodong Cao

et al.

Energy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 136391 - 136391

Published: May 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Sequence signal prediction and reconstruction for multi-energy load forecasting in integrated energy systems: A bi-level multi-task learning method DOI

Chengchen Liao,

Mao Tan, Kang Li

et al.

Energy, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 133960 - 133960

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

3

Distributed PV carrying capacity prediction and assessment for differentiated scenarios based on CNN-GRU deep learning DOI Creative Commons
Liudong Zhang, Zhen Lei, Zhigang Ye

et al.

Frontiers in Energy Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12

Published: Sept. 23, 2024

The increasing penetration of distributed photovoltaic (PV) brings challenges to the safe and reliable operation distribution networks, PV access grid changes characteristics traditional grid. Therefore, assessment carrying capacity is great significance for network planning. To this end, a differentiated scenario-based method based on combination Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) proposed. Firstly, meteorological affecting power are quantitatively analyzed using Pearson’s correlation coefficient, influence external factors assessed by integrating measured data. Then, problem high blindness clustering parameters initial centers in K-means algorithm, optimal number clusters determined combining cluster Density Based Index (DBI) hierarchical clustering. improved reduces complexity massive scenarios obtain under scenarios. On basis, prediction CNN-GRU model proposed, which employs CNN feature extraction high-dimensional data, then temporal data optimally trained GRU model. results, solution efficiency effectively accurate realized. Finally, taking into account demand network, combined with flow calculation bearing considering node voltage evaluated. In addition, verified source-grid-load IEEE 33-bus system. simulation results show that proposed fusion deep learning can accurately efficiently assess provide theoretical guidance realizing large scale.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

The phenomenon and suppression strategy of overvoltage caused by PV power reverse flow DOI Creative Commons

Yumeng Xie,

Qiying Li,

Lei Yang

et al.

Frontiers in Energy Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12

Published: Nov. 18, 2024

In the current distribution network’s energy structure, photovoltaic (PV) occupies a high proportion. However, access of proportion PV will lead to phenomenon reverse power flow in network, and then problem line overvoltage. When increases, overvoltage also worsens, which endangers normal operation system. To solve this problem, paper starts with voltage rise theory network lines. Firstly, through strict mathematical derivation, it compares influence main parameters on rise, summarizes simple calculation equation for PV. Then, according mechanism principle inverter control, considering economy practicability suppression strategy, strategy system is proposed. Finally, model simulating small village used verify effectiveness proposed strategy.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Comparison of support strategies for grid construction after failure of renewable energy power generation system DOI Creative Commons
Ke Li,

Xia Lin,

S. Zhu

et al.

Frontiers in Energy Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12

Published: Nov. 27, 2024

As the proportion of renewable energy generation continues to rise, study voltage source converter (VSC) control has become a focal point research. The concepts emulating characteristics synchronous machines have led proposals droop and virtual (VSG). However, deeper comparison these two methods is still needed, particularly in terms their ability support system when partial power sources experience fault conditions. This paper analyzes compares principles small-signal modeling, finally, based on nine-bus with 100% generation, scenarios are designed: sudden load increase disconnection. differences between compared analyzed. results indicate that VSG exhibits greater damping capable providing inertial system, making its frequency less susceptible change.

Language: Английский

Citations

0