Individual Transilience in the Face of the COVID-19 Pandemic DOI Creative Commons
Valentina Lozano Nasi, Lise Jans, Linda Steg

et al.

Journal of Environmental Psychology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 93, P. 102188 - 102188

Published: Nov. 19, 2023

Transilience, the perceived capacity to persist, adapt flexibly, and positively transform in face of an adversity, is a promising construct for understanding human adaptation climate change risks. However, question remains whether transilience also relevant other adversities. In this paper, we investigate role context COVID-19 pandemic, which posed more urgent acute threat individuals compared change. We conducted two studies Italy Netherlands examine people perceive across different time points countries, severity pandemic government measures varied. Furthermore, studied relationship between adaptive responses, including individual collective behaviors, cognitive coping, well-being, positive personal The results suggest that COVID-19, higher promotes responses mental health Netherlands, but not Italy. Moreover, longitudinal analyses indicate may be causally related future behaviors well-being. These findings robust predictor well-being adversities, although depend on specific context. Future research directions theoretical implications are discussed.

Language: Английский

Masks and respirators for prevention of respiratory infections: a state of the science review DOI
Trisha Greenhalgh, C. Raina MacIntyre, Michael G. Baker

et al.

Clinical Microbiology Reviews, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 37(2)

Published: May 22, 2024

SUMMARYThis narrative review and meta-analysis summarizes a broad evidence base on the benefits-and also practicalities, disbenefits, harms personal, sociocultural environmental impacts-of masks masking. Our synthesis of from over 100 published reviews selected primary studies, including re-analyzing contested meta-analyses key clinical trials, produced seven findings. First, there is strong consistent for airborne transmission severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) other pathogens. Second, are, if correctly consistently worn, effective in reducing diseases show dose-response effect. Third, respirators are significantly more than medical or cloth masks. Fourth, mask mandates overall, community Fifth, important symbols; non-adherence to masking sometimes linked political ideological beliefs widely circulated mis- disinformation. Sixth, while much that not generally harmful general population, may be relatively contraindicated individuals with certain conditions, who require exemption. Furthermore, groups (notably D/deaf people) disadvantaged when others masked. Finally, risks environment single-use respirators. We propose an agenda future research, improved characterization situations which should recommended mandated; attention comfort acceptability; generalized disability-focused communication support settings where worn; development testing novel materials designs filtration, breathability, impact.

Language: Английский

Citations

30

Effectiveness assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions: lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic DOI Creative Commons
Adrian Lison, Nicolas Banholzer, Mrinank Sharma

et al.

The Lancet Public Health, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 8(4), P. e311 - e317

Published: March 23, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

36

Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling DOI Creative Commons
Ben Swallow, Paul Birrell, Joshua Blake

et al.

Epidemics, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 38, P. 100547 - 100547

Published: Feb. 10, 2022

The estimation of parameters and model structure for informing infectious disease response has become a focal point the recent pandemic. However, it also highlighted plethora challenges remaining in fast robust extraction information using data models to help inform policy. In this paper, we identify discuss four broad paradigm relating modelling, namely Uncertainty Quantification framework, estimation, model-based inference prediction, expert judgement. We postulate priorities methodology facilitate preparation future pandemics.

Language: Английский

Citations

33

The challenges of data in future pandemics DOI Creative Commons
Nigel Shadbolt, Alys Brett, Min Chen

et al.

Epidemics, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 40, P. 100612 - 100612

Published: July 20, 2022

The use of data has been essential throughout the unfolding COVID-19 pandemic. We have needed it to populate our models, inform understanding, and shape responses disease. However, not always easy find access, varied in quality coverage, difficult reuse or repurpose. This paper reviews these other challenges recommends steps develop a ecosystem better able deal with future pandemics by supporting preparedness, prevention, detection response.

Language: Английский

Citations

23

Data-Driven Mathematical Modeling Approaches for COVID-19: a survey DOI Creative Commons
Jacques Demongeot, Pierre Magal

Physics of Life Reviews, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 50, P. 166 - 208

Published: Aug. 8, 2024

In this review, we successively present the methods for phenomenological modeling of evolution reported and unreported cases COVID-19, both in exponential phase growth then a complete epidemic wave. After case an isolated wave, several successive waves separated by endemic stationary periods. Then, treat multi-compartmental models without or with age structure. Eventually, review literature, based on 260 articles selected 11 sections, ranging from medical survey hospital to forecasting dynamics new general population. This favors approach over mechanistic choice references provides simulations number observed COVID-19 10 states (California, China, France, India, Israel, Japan, New York, Peru, Spain United Kingdom).

Language: Английский

Citations

5

A Framework for Assessing the Impact of Outbreak Response Immunization Programs DOI Creative Commons

Dominic Delport,

Benjamin M. Sanderson, Rachel Sacks‐Davis

et al.

Diseases, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12(4), P. 73 - 73

Published: April 4, 2024

The impact of outbreak response immunization (ORI) can be estimated by comparing observed outcomes to modelled counterfactual scenarios without ORI, but the most appropriate metrics depend on stakeholder needs and data availability. This study developed a framework for using mathematical models assess ORI vaccine-preventable diseases. Framework development involved (1) assessment based interviews literature reviews determining availability capacity capture as model outcomes; (2) mapping investment in elements parameters define scenarios; (3) developing system engaging stakeholders formulating questions, performing analyses, interpreting results; (4) example applications different settings pathogens. identified useful were health impacts, economic risk severe outbreaks. Scenario categories included scale, speed, vaccine targeting. defines four phases: problem framing sourcing (identification needs, metrics, scenarios); choice; implementation; interpretation communication. use is demonstrated application two outbreaks, measles Papua New Guinea Ebola Democratic Republic Congo. systematic way engage with ensure that an analysis fit purpose, makes best available data, uses suitable modelling methodology.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Behaviour and infection feedback loops inform early-stage behaviour emergence and the efficacy of interventions DOI Creative Commons
Matthew Ryan, Emily Brindal, Roslyn I. Hickson

et al.

Mathematics in Medical and Life Sciences, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 2(1)

Published: Jan. 30, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Optimal social distancing in pandemic preparedness and lessons from COVID-19: Intervention intensity and infective travelers DOI
Alberto Landi,

Giulio Pisaneschi,

Marco Laurino

et al.

Journal of Theoretical Biology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 112072 - 112072

Published: Feb. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Mathematical modelling for vaccine efficacy trials during the future epidemics of emerging respiratory infections DOI Creative Commons
Soyoung Kim, Sun Hee Park, Sunhwa Choi

et al.

Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 21(1)

Published: Feb. 19, 2025

Assessing vaccine efficacy (VE) during emerging epidemics is challenging due to unpredictable disease transmission dynamics. We aimed investigate the impact of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) timing on estimates VE and sample sizes future respiratory diseases. developed an age-structured susceptible-exposed-infected-asymptomatically infected-removed (SEIAR) compartment models using 2022 Korean population, COVID-19 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic influenza parameters. Various RCT scenarios were tested calculate estimates, size power by varying timings (using epidemic peak as base, ±10%, ±20%, ±30% relative time peak) with follow-up durations (4 weeks 8 12 weeks), recruitment 2, 8, non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) levels in reducing R0 10% 20%. Additionally, assumptions regarding baseline cumulative incidences evaluated for calculations. The results showed that remained relatively stable across trial timings; however, required varied significantly timing. Sample requirements initially decreased after a then increased steeply progressed. Initiating RCTs 30% earlier than peak, along extended duration, could reduce without compromising VE. NPIs effectively feasible timeframe RCTs. based simulated case numbers placebo group slightly underestimated, consistently above 85%. In contrast, calculations incidence over 4 pretrial or entire study duration lead overpowered underpowered studies.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Modeling and simulation of interventions’ effect on the spread of toxicity in social media DOI
Emmanuel Addai, Nitin Agarwal, Niloofar Yousefi

et al.

Online Social Networks and Media, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 46, P. 100309 - 100309

Published: March 10, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0