Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
29(24), P. 7029 - 7050
Published: Sept. 14, 2023
Climate
warming,
land
use
change,
and
altered
fire
regimes
are
driving
ecological
transformations
that
can
have
critical
effects
on
Earth's
biota.
Fire
refugia-locations
burned
less
frequently
or
severely
than
their
surroundings-may
act
as
sites
of
relative
stability
during
this
period
rapid
change
by
being
resistant
to
supporting
post-fire
recovery
in
adjacent
areas.
Because
value
forest
ecosystem
persistence,
there
is
an
urgent
need
anticipate
where
refugia
most
likely
be
found
they
align
with
environmental
conditions
support
tree
recruitment.
Using
biophysical
predictors
patterns
burn
severity
from
1180
recent
events,
we
mapped
the
locations
potential
across
upland
conifer
forests
southwestern
United
States
(US)
(99,428
km2
area),
a
region
highly
vulnerable
fire-driven
transformation.
We
low
pre-fire
cover,
flat
slopes
topographic
concavities,
moderate
weather
conditions,
spring-season
burning,
areas
affected
low-
moderate-severity
within
previous
15
years
were
commonly
associated
refugia.
Based
current
(i.e.,
2021)
predicted
67.6%
18.1%
our
study
area
would
contain
under
extreme
weather,
respectively.
However,
36.4%
(moderate
weather)
31.2%
(extreme
more
common
experienced
fires,
increased
prescribed
resource
objective
fires
promote
fire-resistant
landscapes.
When
overlaid
models
recruitment,
23.2%
6.4%
classified
high
recruitment
surrounding
landscape.
These
may
disproportionately
valuable
for
sustainability,
providing
habitat
fire-sensitive
species
maintaining
persistence
increasingly
fire-prone
world.
Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
30(5)
Published: May 1, 2024
Abstract
Climate
change
effects
on
tree
reproduction
are
poorly
understood,
even
though
the
resilience
of
populations
relies
sufficient
regeneration
to
balance
increasing
rates
mortality.
Forest‐forming
species
often
mast,
i.e.
reproduce
through
synchronised
year‐to‐year
variation
in
seed
production,
which
improves
pollination
and
reduces
predation.
Recent
observations
European
beech
show,
however,
that
current
climate
can
dampen
interannual
synchrony
production
this
masting
breakdown
drastically
viability
crops.
Importantly,
it
is
unclear
under
conditions
occurs
how
widespread
pan‐European
species.
Here,
we
analysed
50
long‐term
datasets
population‐level
sampled
across
distribution
beech,
identified
summer
temperatures
as
general
driver
breakdown.
Specifically,
increases
site‐specific
mean
maximum
during
June
July
were
observed
most
range,
while
variability
(CVp)
decreased.
The
declines
CVp
greatest,
where
increased
rapidly.
Additionally,
occurrence
crop
failures
low
years
has
decreased
last
four
decades,
signalling
altered
starvation
predators.
Notably,
did
not
vary
among
sites
according
site
temperature.
Instead,
response
warming
local
(i.e.
relative
temperatures),
such
risk
restricted
growing
warm
average
conditions.
As
lowered
reduce
viable
despite
overall
increase
count,
our
results
warn
a
covert
mechanism
underway
may
hinder
potential
change,
with
great
alter
forest
functioning
community
dynamics.
Science,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
387(6738)
Published: March 6, 2025
Understanding
the
capacity
of
forests
to
adapt
climate
change
is
pivotal
importance
for
conservation
science,
yet
this
still
widely
unknown.
This
knowledge
gap
particularly
acute
in
high-biodiversity
tropical
forests.
Here,
we
examined
how
Americas
have
shifted
community
trait
composition
recent
decades
as
a
response
changes
climate.
Based
on
historical
trait-climate
relationships,
found
that,
overall,
studied
functional
traits
show
shifts
less
than
8%
what
would
be
expected
given
observed
However,
recruit
assemblage
shows
21%
relative
expectation.
The
most
diverse
Earth
are
changing
but
at
rate
that
fundamentally
insufficient
track
change.
Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
29(13), P. 3652 - 3666
Published: April 7, 2023
The
resilience
of
forests
to
drought
events
has
become
a
major
natural
resource
sustainability
concern,
especially
in
response
climate
change.
Yet,
little
is
known
about
the
legacy
effects
repeated
droughts,
and
tree
species
ability
respond
across
environmental
gradients.
In
this
study,
we
used
tree-ring
database
(121
sites)
evaluate
overall
last
century.
We
investigated
how
geography
affected
at
level.
evaluated
temporal
trends
using
predictive
mixed
linear
modeling
approach.
found
that
pointer
years
(e.g.,
growth
reduction)
occurred
during
11.3%
20th
century,
with
an
average
decrease
66%
compared
previous
period.
occurrence
was
associated
negative
values
Standardized
Precipitation
Index
(SPI,
81.6%)
Palmer
Drought
Severity
(PDSI,
77.3%).
Tree
differed
their
capacity,
however,
inhabiting
xeric
conditions
were
less
resistant
but
higher
recovery
rates
Abies
concolor,
Pinus
lambertiana,
jeffreyi).
On
average,
needed
2.7
recover
from
events,
extreme
cases
requiring
more
than
decade
reach
pre-drought
rates.
main
abiotic
factor
related
precipitation,
confirming
some
are
better
adapted
resist
droughts.
variation
for
all
indices
(scaled
100),
decreasing
resistance
(-0.56
by
decade)
(-0.22
decade),
(+1.72
relative
rate
(+0.33
decade).
Our
results
emphasize
importance
time
series
forest
resilience,
particularly
distinguishing
species-level
context
which
likely
frequent
intense
under
changing
climate.
Forest Ecology and Management,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
559, P. 121821 - 121821
Published: March 8, 2024
Human
disturbances
lead
to
forest
degradation
and
a
drastic
reduction
in
area.
In
Africa,
the
most
affected
continent
by
this
phenomenon,
selective
cutting
of
trees
remains
main
management
strategy.
However,
effects
on
biodiversity
are
insufficiently
known,
particularly
Africa.
We
investigated
how
affects
tree
species
diversity,
composition,
size
structure
carbon
biomass
mature
juvenile
sudanian
domain
Senegal
comparing
unmanaged
forests
three
types
managed
forests,
while
considering
disturbance
level
each
stand.
collected
floristic
data
five
fifteen
stands,
respectively.
calculated
richness,
Shannon-Wiener
diversity
Index
(alpha,
beta
gamma),
as
well
stocks
for
Then
we
fitted
linear
models
estimate
differences
between
index.
also
analyzed
composition
highly
valuable
species.
total,
26,009
183
were
recorded.
Our
findings
showed
that
status
affect
different
ways
explains
greater
proportion
variation
than
status.
Considering
alpha,
gamma
found
no
significant
association
any
these
metrics
status,
either
or
trees.
Disturbance
was
only
significantly
associated
with
Species
both
level,
unlike
where
associations
not
significant.
The
distribution
diameter
forms
an
inverted
J-shape
category
level.
neither
median
nor
absolute
deviation
presented
function
For
stocks,
none
observed
statistically
indicated
zone
more
respond
differently
Disturbances
underlying
process
changes
forests.
These
suggest
better
protection
development
specific
conservation
action
plans
species,
especially
threatened
at
national
global
levels
order
minimize
their
risk
local
extinction.
BioScience,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
74(8), P. 524 - 538
Published: June 18, 2024
Under
climate
change,
ecosystems
are
experiencing
novel
drought
regimes,
often
in
combination
with
stressors
that
reduce
resilience
and
amplify
drought's
impacts.
Consequently,
appears
increasingly
likely
to
push
systems
beyond
important
physiological
ecological
thresholds,
resulting
substantial
changes
ecosystem
characteristics
persisting
long
after
ends
(i.e.,
transformation).
In
the
present
article,
we
clarify
how
can
lead
transformation
across
a
wide
variety
of
including
forests,
woodlands,
grasslands.
Specifically,
describe
change
alters
regimes
this
translates
impacts
on
plant
population
growth,
either
directly
or
through
interactions
factors
such
as
land
management,
biotic
interactions,
other
disturbances.
We
emphasize
among
mechanisms
inhibit
postdrought
recovery
shift
trajectories
toward
alternate
states.
Providing
holistic
picture
initiates
long-term
supports
development
risk
assessments,
predictive
models,
management
strategies,
enhancing
preparedness
for
complex
growing
challenge.
Restoration Ecology,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
31(5)
Published: March 24, 2023
Restoring
resilient
ecosystems
is
critical
to
preparing
for
the
uncertain
effects
of
climatic
change
on
ecosystem
functioning
and
socially
relevant
services.
The
UN
Decade
Ecosystem
Restoration
attempts
inspire
global
ecological
restoration
movement,
reverse
degradation,
mitigate
climate
impacts.
We
present
ways
in
which
resilience
might
be
further
integrated
into
science
ecology
practice
address
uncertainty
associated
with
current
impacts
adverse
change.
describe
how
incorporating
meaningful
community
engagement,
expanding
monitoring
indicators,
upscaling
across
spatial–temporal
scales
will
improve
state
restoration.
case
studies
approaches
Southeast
Asia
that
utilize
confer
(resistance,
recovery,
reorganization)
their
projects
broader
social‐ecological
systems.
panarchy
framework
encapsulates
importance
strengthening
relationships
between
all
stakeholders
build
larger
scales.
Computers & Mathematics with Applications,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
158, P. 179 - 198
Published: Feb. 9, 2024
Understanding
the
dynamics
of
wildfire
is
crucial
for
developing
management
and
intervention
strategies.
Mathematical
computational
models
can
be
used
to
improve
our
understanding
processes
dynamics.
This
paper
presents
a
systematic
study
widely
advection–diffusion–reaction
model
with
non-linear
coupling.
The
importance
single
mechanisms
discovered
by
analysing
hierarchical
sub-models.
Numerical
simulations
provide
further
insight
into
As
result,
influence
wind
parameters
such
as
bulk
density
or
heating
value
on
propagation
speed
remaining
biomass
after
burn
are
assessed.
Linearisation
techniques
reduced
surprisingly
good
estimates
in
full
model.
New Phytologist,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
243(1), P. 407 - 422
Published: May 15, 2024
Summary
Strong
disturbances
may
induce
ecosystem
transitions
into
new
alternative
states
that
sustain
through
plant–soil
interactions,
such
as
the
transition
of
dwarf
shrub‐dominated
graminoid‐dominated
vegetation
by
herbivory
in
tundra.
Little
evidence
exists
on
soil
microbial
communities
states,
and
along
slow
process
return
predisturbance
state.
We
analysed
vegetation,
activities
well
physico‐chemical
properties
historical
reindeer
enclosures
northernmost
Finland
following
plot
types:
control
heaths
surrounding
tundra;
graminoid‐dominated;
‘shifting’;
recovered
inside
enclosures.
Soil
fungal
followed
changes
whereas
bacterial
were
more
affected
properties.
Graminoid
plots
characterized
moulds,
pathotrophs
dark
septate
endophytes.
Ericoid
mycorrhizal
saprotrophic
fungi
typical
for
plots.
showed
contingency,
their
spatial
variation
was
high
despite
being
homogeneous.
Self‐maintaining
feedback
loops
between
plant
functional
types,
communities,
carbon
nutrient
mineralization
act
effectively
to
stabilize
but
once
reestablishes
itself,
back
towards