Assessing the relative contributions, combined effects and multiscale uncertainty of future land use and climate change on water-related ecosystem services in Southwest China using a novel integrated modelling framework

Sustainable Cities and Society, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 106, P. 105400 - 105400

Published: April 1, 2024

Language: Английский

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Spatial and temporal evolution analysis of ecological security pattern in Hubei Province based on ecosystem service supply and demand analysis

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 162, P. 112051 - 112051

Published: April 23, 2024

Realizing the superior stability of natural resources for regional economic growth depends on construction Ecological Security Pattern (ESP)1. The ESP Hubei Province was determined based supply and demand ecosystem services (ESSD)2. main conclusions are as follows: (1) overall in exceeds demand, imbalance between Wuhan, Xiangyang Jingzhou is most serious. (2) largest ecological source area 2000 90,506 km2, followed by 86,946 km2 2020. (3) 11 long-term obstacles with a total 312.96 were identified, which mainly composed large areas cultivated land water. (5) protection restoration pattern "two axes, three belts, four districts five cores (two secondary)" has been constructed Province. results this study provide reference management response to problems

Language: Английский

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A comprehensive framework for evaluating ecosystem quality changes and human activity contributions in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang, China

Land Use Policy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 151, P. 107494 - 107494

Published: Feb. 5, 2025

Language: Английский

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An improved approach for evaluating landscape ecological risks and exploring its coupling coordination with ecosystem services

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 348, P. 119277 - 119277

Published: Oct. 14, 2023

Language: Английский

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Past dynamics and future prediction of the impacts of land use cover change and climate change on landscape ecological risk across the Mongolian plateau

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 355, P. 120365 - 120365

Published: March 1, 2024

Language: Английский

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Impact of land-use change on ecological vulnerability in the Yellow River Basin based on a complex network model

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 166, P. 112212 - 112212

Published: June 16, 2024

Language: Английский

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The individual-based forest landscape and disturbance model iLand: Overview, progress, and outlook

Ecological Modelling, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 495, P. 110785 - 110785

Published: July 17, 2024

Forest ecosystems are changing rapidly, and landscape-level processes such as disturbance dispersal key drivers of change. Consequently, forest landscape models important tools for studying trajectories under environmental conditions their impacts on ecosystem service provisioning. Here, we synthesize 12 years development application the individual-based model iLand. Specifically, describe fundamental logic give an overview components introduced over years. Additionally, outline how to initialize, evaluate parameterize new applications. iLand is a process-based that simulates dynamics at level individual trees. It accounts continuous (tree growth, mortality, regeneration) well discontinuous disturbances (wind, wildfire, biotic agents) management. Simulations span multiple spatial temporal scales, from trees landscapes 105 hectares, hourly centuries development. Environmental represented by daily climate data high-resolution soil information. The was designed flexibly addressing wide range research questions, features rich graphical user interface comprehensive scripting support. open source comes with extensive online documentation. has hitherto been applied in 50 peer-reviewed simulation studies across three continents. Applications primarily focused effects change, management dynamics, provisioning biodiversity. Future could address representation belowground processes, interactions, beyond ecosystems. We conclude landscape-scale proven valuable approach modeling.

Language: Английский

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Influence of aquatic biodiversity on the self-purification of tropical rivers

Ecological Engineering, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 212, P. 107540 - 107540

Published: Jan. 30, 2025

Language: Английский

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Assessment and multi-scenario prediction of ecosystem services in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau based on machine learning and the PLUS model

Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 13

Published: Feb. 18, 2025

Introduction Machine learning techniques, renowned for their ability to process complex datasets and uncover key ecological patterns, have become increasingly instrumental in assessing ecosystem services. Methods This study quantitatively evaluates individual services—such as water yield, carbon storage, habitat quality, soil conservation—on the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau years 2000, 2010, 2020. A comprehensive service index is employed assess overall capacity, revealing spatiotemporal variations services exploring trade-offs synergies among them. Additionally, machine models identify drivers influencing services, informing design of future scenarios. The PLUS model used project land use changes by 2035 under three scenarios—natural development, planning-oriented, priority. Based on simulation results these scenarios, InVEST applied evaluate various Results During 2000-2020, exhibited significant fluctuations, driven synergies. Land vegetation cover were primary factors affecting with priority scenario demonstrating best performance across all Discussion research integrates model, providing more efficient data interpretation precise design, offering new insights methodologies managing optimizing Plateau. These findings contribute development effective protection sustainable strategies, applicable both plateau similar regions.

Language: Английский

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Mapping the probability of forest fire hazard across the European Alps under climate change scenarios

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 377, P. 124600 - 124600

Published: Feb. 22, 2025

Forest fires are increasing in frequency and intensity worldwide due to the anthropogenic climate change, threatening people's lives causing huge economic environmental damages. Recent forest fire events suggest that also an urgent issue European Alps, but studies assessing hazard under future scenarios still rare. Thus, this study aims analyse impacts of change on probability across Alps surrounding areas. In specific, we (1) explain current based a set parameters, (2) map conditions area using geographically weighted regression. Our results mainly depends lightning strikes, annual mean temperature, precipitation seasonality. Overall, our indicate increase hazard, which is already significant SSP126 (+15.5%), while highest increases occur SSP370 (30.6%) SSP585 (35.4%). However, less pronounced fire-prone regions southwestern France, will greatly Northern Eastern regions. findings emphasize need address these climate-related challenges by decision-making management through fire-smart management. Nevertheless, further efforts needed overcome limitations related data availability uncertainties scenarios.

Language: Английский

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