Cross-sectoral impacts of the 2018–2019 Central European drought and climate resilience in the German part of the Elbe River basin

Regional Environmental Change, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 23(1)

Published: Feb. 1, 2023

The 2018-2019 Central European drought was probably the most extreme in Germany since early sixteenth century. We assess multiple consequences of for natural systems, economy and human health German part Elbe River basin, an area 97,175 km2 including cities Berlin Hamburg contributing about 18% to GDP. employ meteorological, hydrological socio-economic data build a comprehensive picture severity, its effects cross-sectoral basin. Time series different indices illustrate severity how it progressed from meteorological water deficits via soil depletion towards low groundwater levels river runoff, losses vegetation productivity. event resulted severe production agriculture (minus 20-40% staple crops) forestry (especially through forced logging damaged wood: 25.1 million tons 2018-2020 compared only 3.4 2015-2017), while other economic sectors remained largely unaffected. However, there is no guarantee that this stability will be sustained future events; discussed light 2022, another dry year holding potential compound crisis. Given increased probability more intense long-lasting droughts parts Europe, example actual impacts relevant awareness preparation planning regions.The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02032-3.

Language: Английский

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Warming and greening exacerbate the propagation risk from meteorological to soil moisture drought

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 622, P. 129716 - 129716

Published: May 25, 2023

Language: Английский

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Drought propagation and its driving forces in central Asia under climate change

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 636, P. 131260 - 131260

Published: April 28, 2024

Language: Английский

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Three-dimensional perspective on the characterization of the spatiotemporal propagation from meteorological to agricultural drought

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 353, P. 110048 - 110048

Published: May 15, 2024

Language: Английский

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Understanding drought propagation through coupling spatiotemporal features using vine copulas: A compound drought perspective

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 921, P. 171080 - 171080

Published: Feb. 20, 2024

Language: Английский

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Characteristics of propagation from meteorological drought to ecological drought in China: Lag and cumulative effects

Atmospheric Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 304, P. 107405 - 107405

Published: April 7, 2024

Language: Английский

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Spatiotemporal analysis of drought patterns and trends across Africa: a multi-scale SPEI approach (1960–2018)

International Journal of Digital Earth, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 18(1)

Published: Jan. 6, 2025

This study provides unprecedented insights into water scarcity dynamics across Africa's diverse climatic zones, utilizing the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) multiple timescales from 1960 to 2018. Employing Modified Mann-Kendall test, Sen's Slope estimator, and copula functions, we analyzed drought characteristics eight African subregions using CRU TS4.05 dataset. Key findings reveal significant spatial heterogeneity in trends, with increasing dryness particularly evident Mediterranean Sahara regions. A pronounced shift towards drier conditions emerged post-1990, mean duration expanding 1.5 months (SPEI-3) over 6 (SPEI-24). Drought intensity increased by 0.2 unit annually, while frequency decreased 20%. The region demonstrated highest trend timescales. Return period analyses showed most sub-regions experiencing short-term droughts low severity, extreme events remained less frequent. These underscore complex nature of patterns, emphasizing critical need for region-specific, adaptive climate strategies address unique ecological challenges.

Language: Английский

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A synergetic approach for multidimensional drought assessment in the Indian agro-climatic zone using coherency, propagation and AHP techniques

Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 29, 2025

Language: Английский

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The propagation from atmospheric flash drought to soil flash drought and its changes in a warmer climate

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 132877 - 132877

Published: Feb. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

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Propagation From Meteorological to Hydrological Drought: Characteristics and Influencing Factors

Water Resources Research, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 61(4)

Published: March 28, 2025

Abstract Meteorological droughts can reverberate through the water cycle, impacting resources, ecosystems, agriculture, and socio‐economic sectors. Despite this, there remains a scarcity of studies delving into transition from meteorological to hydrological influencing factors operating at event level. Using long‐term observations spanning nominally 1979 2017, we identified matched based on standardized drought indices across 1089 catchments globally, examined characteristics propagation their determinants both catchment scales. Our analysis reveals that, scale, severity weakens in approximately 65% catchments, while intensity experiences decline 96% during propagation. Moreover, find that ratio (or intensity) is significantly negatively correlated with droughts. This implies major events tend undergo more substantial attenuation compared minor finding also obtained scale. event‐scale (for tends be higher (indicating less attenuation) characterized by larger seasonal precipitation variation, snowfall fraction, steeper slopes, or soil holding capacity. Conversely, it lower dampening) dense vegetation cover. These findings offer crucial insights dynamics thereby informing development effective monitoring management strategies.

Language: Английский

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