V–, U–, L– or W–shaped economic recovery after Covid-19: Insights from an Agent Based Model DOI Creative Commons
Dhruv Sharma, Jean‐Philippe Bouchaud,

Stanislao Gualdi

et al.

PLoS ONE, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 16(3), P. e0247823 - e0247823

Published: March 2, 2021

We discuss the impact of a Covid-19–like shock on simple model economy, described by previously developed Mark-0 Agent-Based Model. consider mixed supply and demand shock, show that depending parameters (amplitude duration), our economy can display V-shaped, U-shaped or W-shaped recoveries, even an L-shaped output curve with permanent loss. This is due to getting trapped in self-sustained “bad” state. then two policies attempt moderate shock: giving easy credit firms, so-called helicopter money, i.e. injecting new money into households savings. find both are effective if strong enough. highlight potential danger terminating these too early, although inflation substantially increased lax access credit. Finally, we second lockdown. While only limited number scenarios, flexible versatile enough accommodate wide variety situations, thus serving as useful exploratory tool for qualitative, scenario-based understanding post-Covid recovery. The corresponding code available on-line.

Language: Английский

Preparedness of countries to face COVID-19 pandemic crisis: Strategic positioning and factors supporting effective strategies of prevention of pandemic threats DOI Open Access
Mario Coccia

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 203, P. 111678 - 111678

Published: July 16, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

250

The impact of first and second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in society: comparative analysis to support control measures to cope with negative effects of future infectious diseases DOI Open Access
Mario Coccia

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 197, P. 111099 - 111099

Published: April 2, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

192

High health expenditures and low exposure of population to air pollution as critical factors that can reduce fatality rate in COVID-19 pandemic crisis: a global analysis DOI Open Access
Mario Coccia

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 199, P. 111339 - 111339

Published: May 21, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

185

Pandemic Prevention: Lessons from COVID-19 DOI Creative Commons
Mario Coccia

Encyclopedia, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 1(2), P. 433 - 444

Published: May 31, 2021

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is caused by the novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which appeared in late 2019, generating a pandemic crisis with high numbers of COVID-19-related infected individuals and deaths manifold countries worldwide. Lessons learned from COVID-19 can be used to prevent threats designing strategies support different policy responses, not limited health system, directed reduce risks emergence viral agents, diffusion infectious diseases negative impact society.

Language: Английский

Citations

181

Optimal levels of vaccination to reduce COVID-19 infected individuals and deaths: A global analysis DOI Open Access
Mario Coccia

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 204, P. 112314 - 112314

Published: Nov. 2, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

180

International trade as critical parameter of COVID-19 spread that outclasses demographic, economic, environmental, and pollution factors DOI Open Access
Elza Bontempi, Mario Coccia

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 201, P. 111514 - 111514

Published: June 15, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

132

Can commercial trade represent the main indicator of the COVID-19 diffusion due to human-to-human interactions? A comparative analysis between Italy, France, and Spain DOI Open Access
Elza Bontempi, Mario Coccia, Sergio Vergalli

et al.

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 201, P. 111529 - 111529

Published: June 18, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

123

Global analysis of timely COVID-19 vaccinations: improving governance to reinforce response policies for pandemic crises DOI
Igor Benati, Mario Coccia

International Journal of Health Governance, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 27(3), P. 240 - 253

Published: May 30, 2022

Purpose The goal of this study is to analyze the relationship between public governance and COVID-19 vaccinations during early 2021 assess preparedness countries timely policy responses cope with pandemic crises. Design/methodology/approach This global elaborates descriptive statistics, correlations, regression analyses Independent Samples T -Test on 112 countries, comparing those high/low level governance, determine whether statistical evidence supports hypothesis that good can improve administration vaccines. Findings Bivariate correlation reveals doses vaccines administered × 100 inhabitants have a high positive association General Index Governance ( r = 0.58, p -value <0.01). result confirmed by partial (controlling density population per km 2 ): 0.584, <0.001. coefficient in models also indicates an increase improves expected <0.001). Research limitations/implications Although has provided interesting results are, course, tentative, it several limitations. First, limitation lack data countries. Second, not all possible confounding factors affect vaccination against are investigated, such as country-specific health investments expenditures, these aspects should be examined future development research. A third limit related measurement through World Indicators, which based only perceptions biased different socio-economic factors. Practical implications identification determining may help design best practices for improving resilience face Social improvement foster rapid rollout threats negative effects their impact. Originality/value presents analysis role crises society.

Language: Английский

Citations

105

Effects of strict containment policies on COVID-19 pandemic crisis: lessons to cope with next pandemic impacts DOI Creative Commons
Mario Coccia

Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 30(1), P. 2020 - 2028

Published: Aug. 4, 2022

Abstract The goal of the study here is to analyze and assess whether strict containment policies cope with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic crisis are effective interventions reduce high numbers infections deaths. A homogenous sample 31 countries categorized in two sets: or low strictness public policy COVID-19 crisis. findings suggest that a intensity have average confirmed cases fatality rates related lower than (confirmed 24.69% vs. 26.06% 74.33% 76.38%, respectively, containment). What this adds levels restriction may not be useful measures control containing spread negative impact pandemics similar additionally generates substantial social economic costs. These can explained manifold socioeconomic environmental factors support transmission dynamics circulation pandemic. Hence, (and also share administering new vaccines) seem effectiveness stop driven by mutant viral agents. results design health for prevention preparedness future should underpinned good governance adoption technology, rather generalized polices having ambiguous effects society.

Language: Английский

Citations

74

Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the social sphere and lessons for crisis management: a literature review DOI Open Access
Hadi Alizadeh, Ayyoob Sharifi,

Safiyeh Damanbagh

et al.

Natural Hazards, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 117(3), P. 2139 - 2164

Published: April 10, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

67