Data-Driven Mathematical Modeling Approaches for COVID-19: a survey DOI Creative Commons
Jacques Demongeot, Pierre Magal

Physics of Life Reviews, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 50, P. 166 - 208

Published: Aug. 8, 2024

In this review, we successively present the methods for phenomenological modeling of evolution reported and unreported cases COVID-19, both in exponential phase growth then a complete epidemic wave. After case an isolated wave, several successive waves separated by endemic stationary periods. Then, treat multi-compartmental models without or with age structure. Eventually, review literature, based on 260 articles selected 11 sections, ranging from medical survey hospital to forecasting dynamics new general population. This favors approach over mechanistic choice references provides simulations number observed COVID-19 10 states (California, China, France, India, Israel, Japan, New York, Peru, Spain United Kingdom).

Language: Английский

COVID-19 pandemic over 2020 (with lockdowns) and 2021 (with vaccinations): similar effects for seasonality and environmental factors DOI
Mario Coccia

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 208, P. 112711 - 112711

Published: Jan. 13, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

126

Global analysis of timely COVID-19 vaccinations: improving governance to reinforce response policies for pandemic crises DOI
Igor Benati, Mario Coccia

International Journal of Health Governance, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 27(3), P. 240 - 253

Published: May 30, 2022

Purpose The goal of this study is to analyze the relationship between public governance and COVID-19 vaccinations during early 2021 assess preparedness countries timely policy responses cope with pandemic crises. Design/methodology/approach This global elaborates descriptive statistics, correlations, regression analyses Independent Samples T -Test on 112 countries, comparing those high/low level governance, determine whether statistical evidence supports hypothesis that good can improve administration vaccines. Findings Bivariate correlation reveals doses vaccines administered × 100 inhabitants have a high positive association General Index Governance ( r = 0.58, p -value <0.01). result confirmed by partial (controlling density population per km 2 ): 0.584, <0.001. coefficient in models also indicates an increase improves expected <0.001). Research limitations/implications Although has provided interesting results are, course, tentative, it several limitations. First, limitation lack data countries. Second, not all possible confounding factors affect vaccination against are investigated, such as country-specific health investments expenditures, these aspects should be examined future development research. A third limit related measurement through World Indicators, which based only perceptions biased different socio-economic factors. Practical implications identification determining may help design best practices for improving resilience face Social improvement foster rapid rollout threats negative effects their impact. Originality/value presents analysis role crises society.

Language: Английский

Citations

105

Sources, diffusion and prediction in COVID-19 pandemic: lessons learned to face next health emergency DOI Creative Commons
Mario Coccia

AIMS Public Health, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 10(1), P. 145 - 168

Published: Jan. 1, 2023

<abstract> <p>Scholars and experts argue that future pandemics and/or epidemics are inevitable events, the problem is not whether they will occur, but when a new health emergency emerge. In this uncertain scenario, one of most important questions an accurate prevention, preparedness prediction for next pandemic. The main goal study twofold: first, clarification sources factors may trigger pandemic threats; second, examination models on-going pandemics, showing pros cons. Results, based on in-depth systematic review, show vital role environmental in spread Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), many limitations epidemiologic because complex interactions between viral agent SARS-CoV-2, environment society have generated variants sub-variants with rapid transmission. insights here are, whenever possible, to clarify these aspects associated public order provide lessons learned policy reduce risks emergence diffusion having negative societal impact.</p> </abstract>

Language: Английский

Citations

90

Improving preparedness for next pandemics: Max level of COVID-19 vaccinations without social impositions to design effective health policy and avoid flawed democracies DOI
Mario Coccia

Environmental Research, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 213, P. 113566 - 113566

Published: June 1, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

86

Update on the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines on different variants of SARS-CoV-2 DOI Open Access
Negar Firouzabadi, Parisa Ghasemiyeh,

Fatemeh Moradishooli

et al.

International Immunopharmacology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 117, P. 109968 - 109968

Published: March 2, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

77

Effects of strict containment policies on COVID-19 pandemic crisis: lessons to cope with next pandemic impacts DOI Creative Commons
Mario Coccia

Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 30(1), P. 2020 - 2028

Published: Aug. 4, 2022

Abstract The goal of the study here is to analyze and assess whether strict containment policies cope with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic crisis are effective interventions reduce high numbers infections deaths. A homogenous sample 31 countries categorized in two sets: or low strictness public policy COVID-19 crisis. findings suggest that a intensity have average confirmed cases fatality rates related lower than (confirmed 24.69% vs. 26.06% 74.33% 76.38%, respectively, containment). What this adds levels restriction may not be useful measures control containing spread negative impact pandemics similar additionally generates substantial social economic costs. These can explained manifold socioeconomic environmental factors support transmission dynamics circulation pandemic. Hence, (and also share administering new vaccines) seem effectiveness stop driven by mutant viral agents. results design health for prevention preparedness future should underpinned good governance adoption technology, rather generalized polices having ambiguous effects society.

Language: Английский

Citations

73

Bi-objective optimization for a multi-period COVID-19 vaccination planning problem DOI

Lianhua Tang,

Yantong Li, Danyu Bai

et al.

Omega, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 110, P. 102617 - 102617

Published: Feb. 16, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

67

mRNA-Based Vaccines and Therapeutics for COVID-19 and Future Pandemics DOI Creative Commons
Vivek P. Chavda,

Shailvi Soni,

Lalitkumar K. Vora

et al.

Vaccines, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 10(12), P. 2150 - 2150

Published: Dec. 15, 2022

An unheard mobilization of resources to find SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and therapies has been sparked by the COVID-19 pandemic. Two years ago, COVID-19’s launch propelled mRNA-based technologies into public eye. Knowledge gained from mRNA technology used combat is assisting in creation treatments treat existing illnesses may avert pandemics future. Exploiting capacity create therapeutic proteins impede or a variety illnesses, including cancer, main goal quickly developing, highly multidisciplinary field biomedicine. In this review, we explore potential as vaccine using current research findings.

Language: Английский

Citations

64

COVID-19 Vaccination is not a Sufficient Public Policy to face Crisis Management of next Pandemic Threats DOI Creative Commons
Mario Coccia

Public Organization Review, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 23(4), P. 1353 - 1367

Published: Oct. 17, 2022

Abstract This study reveals that a vast vaccination campaign is necessary but not sufficient public policy to reduce the negative impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic crisis because manifold factors guide spread this new infectious disease and related mortality in society. Statistical evidence here, based on worldwide sample countries, shows positive correlation between people fully vaccinated COVID-19 ( r = + 0.65, p-value < 0.01). Multivariate regression, controlling income per capita, confirms finding. Results suggest increasing share against seems be health COVID-19. The findings here can explained with role Peltzman effect, variants, environmental socioeconomic affect diffusion extends knowledge research field design effective policies management for facing next threats.

Language: Английский

Citations

63

Probability of discoveries between research fields to explain scientific and technological change DOI
Mario Coccia

Technology in Society, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 68, P. 101874 - 101874

Published: Jan. 7, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

62