Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 638, P. 131492 - 131492
Published: June 14, 2024
Language: Английский
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 144, P. 109526 - 109526
Published: Oct. 8, 2022
Simulation of changes in ecosystem service value (ESV) caused by land use change Wuhan under multiple scenarios is great significance for ensuring urban ecological security and enhancing regional values. The city was selected as the study area, ESV over past 31 years were analyzed calculated based on five-phase remote sensing images statistical yearbooks 1990, 1998, 2006, 2014 2021. On this basis, CA-Markov model multi objective planning (MOP) used to simulate area 2040 four (natural development scenario, cultivated protection scenario scenario), total estimated each scenario. services grid tools applied visualize spatial distribution degree aggregation services. results show that: (1) most obvious feature from 1990 2021 sharp reduction arable rapid expansion build-up area. Over years, decreased 78322.4 hm2, increased 52559.28 hm2. (2) From 2021, Wuhan's at five timepoints (1990, 2014, 2021) 74.554 billion yuan, 71.512 69.632 73.433 yuan 68.548 respectively. Overall, there has been a downward trend volatility. (3) Under scenarios, projected be 72.777 70.969 74.097 or 70.620 Among them, optimal simulation choice. (4) cold hot spots an aggregated large with mainly concentrated central southeastern parts located northeastern northwestern portions Wuhan. Simulating future trends exploring responses values various are conducive construction new pattern space can provide scientific basis reference decision-making comprehensively promoting sustainable other metropolitan areas China future.
Language: Английский
Citations
56
The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 879, P. 163111 - 163111
Published: March 24, 2023
Language: Английский
Citations
28
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 154, P. 110868 - 110868
Published: Aug. 30, 2023
The effects of land use/cover change (LUCC) on the spatial distribution and ecosystem service value (ESV) are still ambiguous, cannot effectively guide formulation use (LU) management policies based concept harmonious development. Therefore, LUCC data from 1980 to 2020, this study adopted MCE-CA-Markov model simulate predict under Business As Usual (BAU) Ecological Development Priority (EDP) scenarios in 2030 2050. historical future ESVs as well ESV were calculated Gansu province, Northwest China. results showed that LU province changed greatly between with an increase Forest (568.62 km2), medium- high-coverage grassland (1517.58 Construction (2264.58 a decrease Farmland (-730.17 km2) Unused (-2858.58 resulting 8.162 billion CNY total ESV. From 2020 2050, EDP scenario will be more conducive ESV, increment (52.765 CNY) being much higher than BAU (3.885 CNY). growth mainly result expansion Forest, Water, Grassland, accounting for 55.4%, 48.6%, 19.1% increment, respectively, while attributed changes land, −16.2% −10.8% respectively. have certain reference structure optimization ecological benefit northwest
Language: Английский
Citations
27
Ecosystem Services, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 63, P. 101558 - 101558
Published: Sept. 4, 2023
Rapid technological development opens up new opportunities for assessing ecosystem services (ES), which may help to overcome current knowledge gaps and limitations in data availability. At the same time, emerging technologies, such as mobile devices, social media platforms, artificial intelligence, give rise a series of challenges limitations. This study provides comprehensive overview broad range technologies that are increasingly used collecting, analyzing, visualizing on ES, including Earth observation, science, modeling/simulation, immersive visualization, web-based tools. To identify challenges, we systematically reviewed literature ES last 10 years (2012–2022). We first describe state-of-the-art synthesizing their applicability, opportunities, Then, discuss open issues, future research needs, potential further applications research. Our findings indicate great increase thanks low costs, high availability, flexibility technologies. also find strong support decision-making, learning communication. However, related accuracy variables models, accessibility data, information well ethical concerns need be addressed by community assure an inclusive meaningful use suggest insights into achieved through better integration different future, e.g., stronger transdisciplinary collaboration advance broadening perspective developments other fields
Language: Английский
Citations
22
The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 944, P. 173828 - 173828
Published: June 10, 2024
Language: Английский
Citations
11
Land, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 13(4), P. 468 - 468
Published: April 6, 2024
The ecosystem service value (ESV) is an important basis for measuring ecological environment’s quality and the efficient management of ecosystems. It particularly necessary to explore a proven methodology assessing predicting ESV dynamics coupled with policy-oriented scenarios that can provide theoretical groundwork macro decision, in context implementing protection restoration projects. This study selected land cover (LC) Sichuan Province at five periods spatiotemporal dynamic equivalent factor method assess ESVs from 2000 2020. Additionally, Markov chain GeoSOS-FLUS model, predicted future pattern under four development scenarios. results show (a) areas forests, shrubs, waters, wastelands, wetlands, impervious showed continuous increase 2020, most frequent interchanges occurring among croplands, grasslands. (b) implementation projects led 13,083.32 × 108 yuan ESV, barycenter located northeastern part Ya’an exhibits tendency move towards northeast. (c) aggregation each city has remained unchanged, Ganzi being only high aggregation. Overall, there are more conflict cities than coordination between economic environment. (d) total 2025 will continue all scenarios, reaching maximum 50,903.37 EP scenario. insights planning decisions sustainable regional socio-economic development.
Language: Английский
Citations
10
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 163, P. 112078 - 112078
Published: April 29, 2024
Changes in land-use patterns are the main driving factors of ecosystem service values (ESVs). The quantitative evaluation ESVs is significant for sustainable development ecologically fragile areas. In this study, Chishui River Basin (CRB) China was selected as study region, and an intensity map (IM) used to analyze transformation land use/land cover (LULC). modified equivalent coefficient value method evaluate based on 2000, 2010, 2020 use datasets. spatial temporal distributions ESV its response changes LULC were analyzed using Getis-Ord Gi* statistical Spearman's rank correlation analysis. Moreover, over next 30 years four scenarios simulated Markov-PLUS model. following results obtained: 1) farmland forestland dominant categories, that pattern dramatically changed area; 2) total CRB decreased significantly from 23.21 billion yuan 2000 22.29 2020; 3) ecological conservation scenario promoted ESV, town more conducive urbanization process. Therefore, although showed a decreasing slowly increasing trend context series restoration measures, scientific protection policies must be continuously implemented achieve harmony between improvement development. Our provide important information making decisions facilitating protected basins.
Language: Английский
Citations
10
Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 14(1)
Published: March 1, 2024
Abstract The Ebinur Lake Basin is an ecologically sensitive area in arid region. Investigating its land use and cover (LULC) change assessing predicting ecosystem service value (ESV) are of great importance for the stability basin's socioeconomic development sustainable ecological environment. Based on LULC data from 1990, 2000, 2010, 2020, we assessed ESV coupled grey multi-objective optimization model with patch generation simulation to predict changes 2035 under four scenarios: business-as-usual (BAU) development, rapid economic (RED), protection (ELP), ecological–economic balance (EEB). results show that 1990 basin was dominated by grassland (51.23%) unused (27.6%), a continuous decrease increase cultivated land. In thirty years, total study increased 18.62 billion 67.28 yuan, regulation support services being dominant functions. By 2035, while decreased all scenarios compared 2020. BAU, RED, ELP, EEB 68.83 billion, 64.47 67.99 66.79 respectively. RED scenarios, 2.81 0.49 BAU scenario, provisioning 6.05% 2.93%, ELP focusing environmental protection, saw services. This paper can assist policymakers optimizing allocation provide scientific formulation strategies inland river basins regions.
Language: Английский
Citations
9
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 160, P. 111932 - 111932
Published: March 1, 2024
Urbanization is a key factor that threatens the stability of ecosystem services (ESs), which are crucial for maintaining ecological security and enhancing human quality life. Gaining insight into spatiotemporal differentiation service value (ESV) its coupling relationship with urbanization issue in promoting sustainable regional development. We employed various algorithms, including improved equivalence method, random forest model, mixed geographically temporally weighted regression coordination degree (CCD) to reveal evolution ESV driving mechanisms Lanzhou-Xining urban agglomeration (LXUA) from 1980 2020. In addition, we explored between combined index (CUI). The results showed following: (1) From 2020, interannual variation first decreased then increased, an increase 230 million yuan/annum 2020 compared 1980. Spatially, exhibits distribution pattern high south low north, west east. (2) Land use intensity (LUI) elevation contributed values exceeding 20% were most important drivers ESV. (3) average CCD CUI transitioned being severely unbalanced (0.19) slightly balanced (0.42). There was negative spatial correlation CUI, each cluster type distributed discretely space. Our study emphasizes areas characterized by robust integrity ESV, LUI constitutes main reason decline findings this can provide scientific basis coordinated development ESVs LXUA other cities.
Language: Английский
Citations
9
Land Use Policy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 150, P. 107473 - 107473
Published: Jan. 9, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
1