Predicting the Potential Global Distribution of the Plum Fruit Moth Grapholita funebrana Treitscheke Using Ensemble Models

Insects, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(9), P. 663 - 663

Published: Aug. 30, 2024

The plum fruit moth, Grapholita funebrana Treitschke, is one of the most significant borer pests, often causing huge economic losses in production. However, potential distribution range this economically important pest still poorly understood. For study, we simulated an ensemble species model to predict spatiotemporal pattern G. at a global scale. results show that suitable habitats for under current environmental conditions, are mainly distributed Europe; East Asia, including China and Japan; Central Asia; some parts America. In future projections, predicted generally expand northward, while area will remain unchanged overall. highly habitat decrease only 17.49% found conditions. None nine factors used were revealed be predominant predictors terms contributing model, suggesting integrated effects these variables shape funebrana’s distribution. has been predicted, especially regions with habitat, poses high risk outbreaks, highlighting urgency management. Moreover, United States America (USA) Japan (for which distributions not previously recorded), areas monitoring quarantine measures should strengthened prevent colonization further dispersal pest, as seen its close relative molesta, become cosmopolitan species, migrating from native region (East Asia) other continents, Americas.

Language: Английский

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Habitat analysis and conservation priorities for the endangered spotted linsang in China

Global Ecology and Conservation, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. e03320 - e03320

Published: Nov. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

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Potential global distributions of an important aphid pest, Rhopalosiphum padi: insights from ensemble models with multiple variables

Journal of Economic Entomology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Oct. 8, 2024

Species distribution modeling is extensively used for predicting potential distributions of invasive species. However, an ensemble approach has been less frequently particularly pest The bird cherry-oat aphid Rhopalosiphum padi L. important wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) worldwide and causes 30% yield losses. Here, we developed a series models with multiple variables to predict the habitat suitability this at global scale. current suitable R. mainly distributed in East Asia, South Europe, southern North America, eastern Australia, New Zealand. highly regions are primarily east China, Japan, most southeastern edge Australia. In future scenarios, habitats will undergo significant contraction overall northward, no moderately nor predicted other areas. Our findings indicate that high risk outbreaks currently exists mentioned above, especially cultivation, but capacity cause such weaken future. Climate-associated factors significantly more than land use, elevation host-plant factors, BIO11 (mean temperature coldest quarter), particular, predominated shaping projections padi's distribution. pattern key ecological affecting identified herein could provide guidance developing management policies targeting economically pest.

Language: Английский

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Potential distribution pattern of the Quercus brantii Lindl. and Quercus frainetto Ten. under the future climate conditions

European Journal of Forest Research, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 143(2), P. 465 - 478

Published: Dec. 10, 2023

Language: Английский

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