Abstract.
This
study
enhances
an
existing
global
hydrological
model
(GHM),
Xanthos,
by
adding
a
new
water
management
module
that
distinguishes
between
the
operational
characteristics
of
irrigation,
hydropower,
and
flood
control
reservoirs.
We
remapped
reservoirs
in
GranD
database
to
Xanthos'
0.5-degree
spatial
resolution
so
single
lumped
reservoir
exists
per
grid
cell,
which
yielded
3790
large
implemented
unique
operation
rules
for
each
type
based
on
their
primary
purposes.
In
particular,
hydropower
have
been
treated
as
previous
GHM
studies,
while
here,
we
determined
via
optimization
maximizes
long-term
production.
conducted
simulations
using
enhanced
Xanthos
validated
monthly
streamflow
91
river
basins
where
high-quality
observed
data
were
available.
A
total
1878
(296
486
1096
others)
out
are
located
part
our
reported
results.
The
Kling-Gupta
Efficient
(KGE)
value
(after
management)
is
≥
0.5
0.0
39
81
basins,
respectively.
After
module,
performance
improved
75
worsened
only
seven.
To
measure
relative
difference
explicitly
representing
(as
commonly
done
other
GHMs),
use
normalized-root-mean-square-error
(NRMSE)
coefficient
determination
(R2).
Out
296
reservoirs,
NRMSE
>
0.25
(i.e.,
considering
represent
moderate
difference)
over
44
%
when
comparing
both
simulated
releases
storage
time
series
two
simulations.
suggest
correctly
GHMs
could
important
implications
understanding
freshwater
resource
challenges
at
regional-to-global
scales.
modeling
framework
will
allow
analysis
future
development
from
coupled
human-earth
system
perspective.
Water Resources Research,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
61(2)
Published: Feb. 1, 2025
Abstract
The
notion
of
convergent
and
transdisciplinary
integration,
which
is
about
braiding
together
different
knowledge
systems,
becoming
the
mantra
numerous
initiatives
aimed
at
tackling
pressing
water
challenges.
Yet,
transition
from
rhetoric
to
actual
implementation
impeded
by
incongruence
in
semantics,
methodologies,
discourse
among
disciplinary
scientists
societal
actors.
Here,
we
embrace
“integrated
modeling”—both
quantitatively
qualitatively—as
a
vital
exploratory
instrument
advance
such
providing
means
navigate
complexity
manage
uncertainty
associated
with
understanding,
diagnosing,
predicting,
governing
human‐water
systems.
From
this
standpoint,
confront
barriers
offering
seven
focused
reviews
syntheses
existing
missing
links
across
frontiers
distinguishing
surface
groundwater
hydrology,
engineering,
social
sciences,
economics,
Indigenous
place‐based
knowledge,
studies
other
interconnected
natural
systems
as
atmosphere,
cryosphere,
ecosphere.
While
there
are,
arguably,
no
bounds
pursuit
inclusivity
representing
spectrum
human
processes
around
resources,
advocate
that
integrated
modeling
can
provide
approach
delineating
scope
through
lens
three
fundamental
questions:
(a)
What
“purpose”?
(b)
constitutes
sound
“boundary
judgment”?
(c)
are
“critical
uncertainties”
their
compounding
effects?
More
broadly,
call
for
investigating
what
warranted
“systems
complexity,”
opposed
unjustified
“computational
complexity”
when
complex
human‐natural
careful
attention
interdependencies
feedbacks,
scaling
issues,
nonlinear
dynamics
thresholds,
hysteresis,
time
lags,
legacy
effects.
Geoscientific model development,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
16(18), P. 5449 - 5472
Published: Sept. 22, 2023
Abstract.
This
study
enhances
an
existing
global
hydrological
model
(GHM),
Xanthos,
by
adding
a
new
water
management
module
that
distinguishes
between
the
operational
characteristics
of
irrigation,
hydropower,
and
flood
control
reservoirs.
We
remapped
reservoirs
in
Global
Reservoir
Dam
(GRanD)
database
to
0.5∘
spatial
resolution
Xanthos
so
single
lumped
reservoir
exists
per
grid
cell,
which
yielded
3790
large
implemented
unique
operation
rules
for
each
type,
based
on
their
primary
purposes.
In
particular,
hydropower
have
been
treated
as
previous
GHM
studies,
while
here,
we
determined
via
optimization
maximizes
long-term
production.
conducted
simulations
using
enhanced
validated
monthly
streamflow
91
river
basins,
where
high-quality
observed
data
were
available.
A
total
1878
(296
486
1096
others)
out
are
located
basins
part
our
reported
results.
The
Kling–Gupta
efficiency
(KGE)
value
(after
management)
is
≥
0.5
0.0
39
81
respectively.
After
module,
performance
improved
75
worsened
only
7.
To
measure
relative
difference
explicitly
representing
(as
commonly
done
other
GHMs),
use
normalized
root
mean
square
error
(NRMSE)
coefficient
determination
(R2).
Out
296
reservoirs,
NRMSE
>
0.25
(i.e.,
considering
represent
moderate
difference)
over
44
%
when
comparing
both
simulated
releases
storage
time
series
two
simulations.
suggest
correctly
GHMs
could
important
implications
understanding
freshwater
resource
challenges
at
regional-to-global
scales.
modeling
framework
will
allow
analysis
future
development
from
coupled
human–earth
system
perspective.
Earth s Future,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
11(4)
Published: April 1, 2023
Abstract
The
Latin
America
and
the
Caribbean
(LAC)
region
plays
key
roles
in
both
meeting
global
agricultural
demands
maintaining
carbon
sinks
due
to
its
abundant
land
water
resources.
In
this
study
we
use
Global
Change
Analysis
Model
evaluate
opportunities
challenges
posed
by
two
global‐scale
drivers:
market
integration
(i.e.,
reduction
of
trade
barriers)
land‐based
climate
mitigation
policy.
We
their
potential
individual
combined
impacts
on
production
revenues
across
LAC's
economies
through
mid‐century,
as
well
resulting
consumers
integrated
land‐water‐climate
systems
diverse
sub‐regions.
Increased
results
increased
for
many
LAC
economies,
driven
evolving
comparative
advantages.
Climate
measures
CO
2
non‐CO
greenhouse
gases
increase
prices
from
competition
emissions
abatement.
outcomes
drivers
are
complex
sometimes
non‐linear,
highlighting
importance
understanding
interactions
between
multiple
drivers.
Our
show
that
opportunities,
either
drivers,
pose
significant
trade‐offs
require
careful
multi‐sectoral
planning,
such
challenges,
loss
livestock
when
pursuing
strategies,
consumer
expenditures,
changes
land‐use
or
withdrawals,
deforestation
scarcity
pressures.
There
is
considerable
heterogeneity
economic
environmental
sub‐regions
commodities,
illustrating
value
considering
at
finer
scales.
Abstract.
This
study
enhances
an
existing
global
hydrological
model
(GHM),
Xanthos,
by
adding
a
new
water
management
module
that
distinguishes
between
the
operational
characteristics
of
irrigation,
hydropower,
and
flood
control
reservoirs.
We
remapped
reservoirs
in
GranD
database
to
Xanthos'
0.5-degree
spatial
resolution
so
single
lumped
reservoir
exists
per
grid
cell,
which
yielded
3790
large
implemented
unique
operation
rules
for
each
type
based
on
their
primary
purposes.
In
particular,
hydropower
have
been
treated
as
previous
GHM
studies,
while
here,
we
determined
via
optimization
maximizes
long-term
production.
conducted
simulations
using
enhanced
Xanthos
validated
monthly
streamflow
91
river
basins
where
high-quality
observed
data
were
available.
A
total
1878
(296
486
1096
others)
out
are
located
part
our
reported
results.
The
Kling-Gupta
Efficient
(KGE)
value
(after
management)
is
≥
0.5
0.0
39
81
basins,
respectively.
After
module,
performance
improved
75
worsened
only
seven.
To
measure
relative
difference
explicitly
representing
(as
commonly
done
other
GHMs),
use
normalized-root-mean-square-error
(NRMSE)
coefficient
determination
(R2).
Out
296
reservoirs,
NRMSE
>
0.25
(i.e.,
considering
represent
moderate
difference)
over
44
%
when
comparing
both
simulated
releases
storage
time
series
two
simulations.
suggest
correctly
GHMs
could
important
implications
understanding
freshwater
resource
challenges
at
regional-to-global
scales.
modeling
framework
will
allow
analysis
future
development
from
coupled
human-earth
system
perspective.
Energy Strategy Reviews,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
49, P. 101150 - 101150
Published: Aug. 17, 2023
We
explore
sustainable
electricity
system
development
pathways
in
South
America's
MERCOSUR
sub-region
under
a
range
of
techno-economic,
infrastructural,
and
policy
forces.
The
includes
Argentina,
Brazil,
Chile,
Uruguay,
Paraguay,
which
represent
key
generation,
consumption,
trade
dynamics
on
the
continent.
use
power
planning
model
to
co-optimize
investment
operations
storage,
transmission
facilities
out
2050.
Our
results
show
that,
business-as-usual
conditions,
wind
solar
contribute
more
than
half
new
generation
capacity
by
2050,
though
this
requires
substantial
expansion
natural
gas-based
capacity.
While
hydropower
appears
be
less
cost-competitive,
existing
high
provides
critically
important
flexibility
integrate
avoid
further
reliance
expensive
or
polluting
resources
(e.g.,
gas).
Over
90%
emission
cut
2050
could
facilitated
mostly
enhanced
integration
(predominantly
after
2040)
wind,
solar,
battery
storage
with
11%–28%
additional
cost,
whereas
reduces
cost
low-carbon
transition,
suggesting
trade-off
opportunities
between
saving
costs
environment
selecting
clean
energy
resources.
Achieving
reduction
goals
will
also
require
sub-regional
trade,
interconnection
capacities.
Environmental Research Letters,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
19(7), P. 074014 - 074014
Published: May 31, 2024
Abstract
There
is
significant
uncertainty
in
how
global
water
supply
will
evolve
the
future,
due
to
uncertain
climate,
socioeconomic,
and
land
use
change
drivers
variability
of
hydrologic
processes.
It
critical
characterize
potential
impacts
future
given
its
importance
for
food
energy
production.
In
this
work,
we
introduce
a
framework
that
integrates
stochastic
hydrology
human-environmental
systems
multisector
impacts.
We
develop
watershed
model
demonstrate
can
generate
large
ensemble
realizations
basin-scale
runoff
with
coverage
preserves
mean,
variance,
spatial
correlation
historical
benchmark.
couple
well-known
explore
on
agricultural
sectors
across
scales.
find
vary
regions.
Impacts
are
felt
most
strongly
basins
expected
have
unsustainable
such
as
Indus
River
basin.
For
basin,
irrigation
withdrawals
irrigated
cropland
increase
over
time
renewable
supply.
also
basin
show
our
be
leveraged
consequences
local
extreme
conditions.
This
work
introduces
novel
technique
propagation
human
natural