Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050 DOI Creative Commons
Ilona M. Otto, Jonathan F. Donges, Roger Cremades

et al.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Journal Year: 2020, Volume and Issue: 117(5), P. 2354 - 2365

Published: Jan. 21, 2020

Significance Achieving a rapid global decarbonization to stabilize the climate critically depends on activating contagious and fast-spreading processes of social technological change within next few years. Drawing expert elicitation, an workshop, review literature, which provides comprehensive analysis this topic, we propose concrete interventions induce positive tipping dynamics transformation carbon-neutral societies. These comprise removing fossil-fuel subsidies incentivizing decentralized energy generation, building cities, divesting from assets linked fossil fuels, revealing moral implications strengthening education engagement, disclosing greenhouse gas emissions information.

Language: Английский

Global Resilience of Tropical Forest and Savanna to Critical Transitions DOI
Marina Hirota, Milena Holmgren, Egbert H. van Nes

et al.

Science, Journal Year: 2011, Volume and Issue: 334(6053), P. 232 - 235

Published: Oct. 13, 2011

It has been suggested that tropical forest and savanna could represent alternative stable states, implying critical transitions at tipping points in response to altered climate or other drivers. So far, evidence for this idea remained elusive, integrated models assume smooth vegetation responses. We analyzed data on the distribution of tree cover Africa, Australia, South America reveal strong existence three distinct attractors: forest, savanna, a treeless state. Empirical reconstruction basins attraction indicates resilience states varies universal way with precipitation. These results allow identification regions where may most easily tip into an state, they pave new generation coupled models.

Language: Английский

Citations

1170

Sensitivity of global terrestrial ecosystems to climate variability DOI
Alistair W. R. Seddon, Marc Macias‐Fauria, Peter R. Long

et al.

Nature, Journal Year: 2016, Volume and Issue: 531(7593), P. 229 - 232

Published: Feb. 16, 2016

Language: Английский

Citations

1117

Globally networked risks and how to respond DOI
Dirk Helbing

Nature, Journal Year: 2013, Volume and Issue: 497(7447), P. 51 - 59

Published: April 30, 2013

Language: Английский

Citations

1103

Toward Principles for Enhancing the Resilience of Ecosystem Services DOI Open Access
Reinette Biggs, Maja Schlüter‬, Duan Biggs

et al.

Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Journal Year: 2012, Volume and Issue: 37(1), P. 421 - 448

Published: Aug. 10, 2012

Enhancing the resilience of ecosystem services (ES) that underpin human well-being is critical for meeting current and future societal needs, requires specific governance management policies. Using literature, we identify seven generic policy-relevant principles enhancing desired ES in face disturbance ongoing change social-ecological systems (SES). These are (P1) maintain diversity redundancy, (P2) manage connectivity, (P3) slow variables feedbacks, (P4) foster an understanding SES as complex adaptive (CAS), (P5) encourage learning experimentation, (P6) broaden participation, (P7) promote polycentric systems. We briefly define each principle, review how when it enhances ES, conclude with major research gaps. In practice, often co-occur highly interdependent. Key needs to better understand these interdependencies operationalize apply different policy contexts.

Language: Английский

Citations

1084

The interdependence of mechanisms underlying climate-driven vegetation mortality DOI
Nate G. McDowell, David J. Beerling, David D. Breshears

et al.

Trends in Ecology & Evolution, Journal Year: 2011, Volume and Issue: 26(10), P. 523 - 532

Published: Aug. 2, 2011

Language: Английский

Citations

948

Insights into the resistance and resilience of the soil microbial community DOI Open Access
Bryan S. Griffiths, Laurent Philippot

FEMS Microbiology Reviews, Journal Year: 2012, Volume and Issue: 37(2), P. 112 - 129

Published: May 8, 2012

Soil is increasingly under environmental pressures that alter its capacity to fulfil essential ecosystem services. To maintain these crucial soil functions, it important know how microorganisms respond disturbance or change. Here, we summarize the recent progress in understanding resistance and resilience (stability) of microbial communities discuss underlying mechanisms biological stability together with factors affecting it. Biological not solely owing structure diversity community but linked a range other vegetation properties including aggregation substrate quality. We suggest are governed by physico-chemical through effect on composition physiology, there no general response because particular history. results from combination biotic abiotic characteristics so could provide quantitative measure health can be translated into practice.

Language: Английский

Citations

941

Decoupling of soil nutrient cycles as a function of aridity in global drylands DOI
Manuel Delgado‐Baquerizo, Fernando T. Maestre, Antonio Gallardo

et al.

Nature, Journal Year: 2013, Volume and Issue: 502(7473), P. 672 - 676

Published: Oct. 1, 2013

Language: Английский

Citations

923

Mental disorders as networks of problems: a review of recent insights DOI Creative Commons
Eiko I. Fried, Claudia D. van Borkulo, Angélique O. J. Cramer

et al.

Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology, Journal Year: 2016, Volume and Issue: 52(1), P. 1 - 10

Published: Dec. 5, 2016

The network perspective on psychopathology understands mental disorders as complex networks of interacting symptoms. Despite its recent debut, with conceptual foundations in 2008 and empirical 2010, the framework has received considerable attention recognition last years.

Language: Английский

Citations

864

Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data DOI Creative Commons
Vasilis Dakos, Stephen R. Carpenter,

William A. Brock

et al.

PLoS ONE, Journal Year: 2012, Volume and Issue: 7(7), P. e41010 - e41010

Published: July 17, 2012

Many dynamical systems, including lakes, organisms, ocean circulation patterns, or financial markets, are now thought to have tipping points where critical transitions a contrasting state can happen. Because occur unexpectedly and difficult manage, there is need for methods that be used identify when transition approaching. Recent theory shows we the proximity of system using variety so-called 'early warning signals', successful empirical examples suggest potential practical applicability. However, while range proposed predicting rapidly expanding, opinions on their use differ widely, no comparative study tests limitations different approaching time-series data. Here, summarize currently available early apply them two simulated time series typical systems undergoing transition. In addition methodological guide, our work offers toolbox may in wide fields help detect signals

Language: Английский

Citations

856

Global desertification: Drivers and feedbacks DOI
Paolo D’Odorico, Abinash Bhattachan, Kyle Frankel Davis

et al.

Advances in Water Resources, Journal Year: 2012, Volume and Issue: 51, P. 326 - 344

Published: Feb. 13, 2012

Language: Английский

Citations

855