medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: June 4, 2024
Abstract
Understanding
virus
mutations
is
critical
for
shaping
public
health
interventions.
These
lead
to
complex
multi-strain
dynamics
often
underrepresented
in
models.
Aiming
understand
the
factors
influencing
variants’
fitness
and
evolution,
we
explore
several
scenarios
of
spreading
gain
qualitative
insight
into
dictating
which
variants
ultimately
predominate
at
population
level.
To
this
end,
propose
a
two-strain
stochastic
model
that
accounts
asymptomatic
transmission,
mutations,
possibility
disease
import.
We
find
with
milder
symptoms
are
likely
spread
faster
than
those
severe
symptoms.
This
because
can
prompt
affected
individuals
seek
medical
help
earlier,
potentially
leading
quicker
identification
isolation
cases.
However,
or
cases
may
more
widely,
making
it
harder
control
spread.
Therefore,
increased
transmissibility
still
result
higher
hospitalizations
fatalities
due
widespread
infection.
The
proposed
highlights
interplay
between
viral
evolution
transmission
dynamics.
Offering
nuanced
view
variant
spread,
provides
foundation
further
investigation
mitigating
strategies
Viruses,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
15(4), P. 855 - 855
Published: March 27, 2023
The
clinical
course
of
coronavirus
disease
2019
(COVID-19),
caused
by
severe
acute
respiratory
syndrome
coronavirus-2
(SARS-CoV-2),
is
largely
determined
host
factors,
with
a
wide
range
outcomes.
Despite
an
extensive
vaccination
campaign
and
high
rates
infection
worldwide,
the
pandemic
persists,
adapting
to
overcome
antiviral
immunity
acquired
through
prior
exposure.
source
many
such
major
adaptations
variants
concern
(VOCs),
novel
SARS-CoV-2
produced
extraordinary
evolutionary
leaps
whose
origins
remain
mostly
unknown.
In
this
study,
we
tested
influence
factors
on
SARS-CoV-2.
Electronic
health
records
individuals
infected
were
paired
viral
whole-genome
sequences
assess
effects
parameters
intra-host
evolution
We
found
slight,
albeit
significant,
differences
in
diversity,
which
depended
as
status
smoking.
Only
one
genome
had
significant
alterations
result
parameters;
it
was
immunocompromised,
chronically
woman
her
70s.
highlight
unusual
obtained
from
woman,
accelerated
mutational
rate
excess
rare
mutations,
including
near-complete
truncating
accessory
protein
ORF3a.
Our
findings
suggest
that
capacity
during
limited
unaffected
characteristics.
Significant
seemingly
exclusive
small
subset
COVID-19
cases,
typically
prolong
infections
immunocompromised
patients.
these
genomes
accumulate
impactful
potentially
adaptive
mutations;
however,
transmissibility
viruses
remains
unclear.
Journal of Medical Virology,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
95(6)
Published: June 1, 2023
Abstract
During
COVID‐19
pandemic,
consensus
genomic
sequences
were
used
for
rapidly
monitor
the
spread
of
virus
worldwide.
However,
less
attention
was
paid
to
intrahost
genetic
diversity.
In
fact,
in
infected
host,
SARS‐CoV‐2
consists
an
ensemble
replicating
and
closely
related
viral
variants
so‐called
quasispecies.
Here
we
show
that
single
nucleotide
(iSNVs)
represent
a
target
contact
tracing
analysis.
Our
data
indicate
acute
phase
infection,
highly
likely
transmission
links,
number
particles
transmitted
from
one
host
another
(bottleneck
size)
is
large
enough
propagate
iSNVs
among
individuals.
Furthermore,
demonstrate
that,
during
outbreaks
when
are
identical,
it
possible
reconstruct
chains
by
investigations
iSNVs.
Specifically,
found
identify
limiting
analysis
only
three
well‐conserved
genes,
namely
nsp2,
ORF3,
ORF7.
medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: April 6, 2023
Abstract
Quantifying
transmission
intensity
and
heterogeneity
is
crucial
to
ascertain
the
threat
posed
by
infectious
diseases
inform
design
of
interventions.
Methods
that
jointly
estimate
reproduction
number
R
dispersion
parameter
k
have
however
mainly
remained
limited
analysis
epidemiological
clusters
or
contact
tracing
data,
whose
collection
often
proves
difficult.
Here,
we
show
identical
sequences
are
imprinted
pathogen
offspring
distribution,
derive
an
analytical
formula
for
distribution
size
these
clusters.
We
develop
evaluate
a
novel
inference
framework
from
sequences.
then
illustrate
its
application
across
range
situations.
Finally,
hypothesis
testing
relying
on
determine
whether
given
genetic
subpopulation
associated
with
increased
reduced
transmissibility.
Our
work
provides
new
tools
without
building
phylogenetic
tree,
thus
making
it
easily
scalable
large
genome
datasets.
Significance
statement
For
many
diseases,
small
fraction
individuals
has
been
documented
disproportionately
contribute
onward
spread.
Characterizing
extent
superspreading
step
towards
implementation
efficient
Despite
relevance,
remains
difficult
quantify
heterogeneity.
present
harnessing
parameter.
also
can
be
used
advantage
variant.
This
better
characterize
spread
pathogens
their
control.
Microbiology Spectrum,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
11(4)
Published: June 1, 2023
Co-infection
with
at
least
2
strains
of
virus
is
the
prerequisite
for
recombination,
one
means
genetic
diversification.
Little
known
about
prevalence
these
events
in
SARS-CoV-2,
partly
because
it
difficult
to
detect
them.
We
used
long-read
PacBio
single-molecule
real-time
(SMRT)
sequencing
technology
sequence
whole
genomes
and
targeted
regions
haplotyping.
identified
17
co-infections
SARS-CoV-2
belonging
different
clades
6829
samples
sequenced
between
January
October,
2022
(prevalence
0.25%).
There
were
3
Delta/Omicron
14
Omicron/Omicron
(4
cases
21K/21L,
1
case
21L/22A,
21L/22B,
4
22A/22B,
22B/22C
22B/22E).
Four
patients
(24%)
also
harbored
recombinant
minor
haplotypes,
including
a
that
was
selected
viral
quasispecies
over
course
his
chronic
infection.
While
remain
rare
among
SARS-CoV-2-infected
individuals,
SMRT
useful
tool
detecting
them
as
well
events,
providing
basis
assessing
their
clinical
impact,
precise
indicator
epidemic
evolution.
IMPORTANCE
variants
have
been
responsible
successive
waves
infection
years
pandemic.
co-infection
followed
by
recombination
driver
evolution,
there
few
reports
co-infections,
mainly
Delta
Omicron
or
first
21K_BA.1
21L_BA.2.
The
we
detected
during
included
recent
22A,
22B,
22C,
22E;
24%
variants.
This
study
shows
suited
genomic
surveillance.
medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: June 4, 2024
Abstract
Understanding
virus
mutations
is
critical
for
shaping
public
health
interventions.
These
lead
to
complex
multi-strain
dynamics
often
underrepresented
in
models.
Aiming
understand
the
factors
influencing
variants’
fitness
and
evolution,
we
explore
several
scenarios
of
spreading
gain
qualitative
insight
into
dictating
which
variants
ultimately
predominate
at
population
level.
To
this
end,
propose
a
two-strain
stochastic
model
that
accounts
asymptomatic
transmission,
mutations,
possibility
disease
import.
We
find
with
milder
symptoms
are
likely
spread
faster
than
those
severe
symptoms.
This
because
can
prompt
affected
individuals
seek
medical
help
earlier,
potentially
leading
quicker
identification
isolation
cases.
However,
or
cases
may
more
widely,
making
it
harder
control
spread.
Therefore,
increased
transmissibility
still
result
higher
hospitalizations
fatalities
due
widespread
infection.
The
proposed
highlights
interplay
between
viral
evolution
transmission
dynamics.
Offering
nuanced
view
variant
spread,
provides
foundation
further
investigation
mitigating
strategies