Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
12(1)
Published: March 18, 2022
It
is
generally
accepted
that
climate
change
having
a
negative
impact
on
food
security.
However,
most
of
the
literature
variously
focuses
complex
and
many
mechanisms
linking
stressors;
links
with
production
or
productivity
rather
than
security;
future
current
effects.
In
contrast,
we
investigate
extent
to
which
changes
in
insecurity
can
be
plausibly
attributed
change.
We
combine
data
for
83
countries
from
FAO
experience
scale
(FIES)
reanalysed
ERA5-Land,
use
panel
regression
time-varying
coefficients.
This
framework
allows
us
estimate
whether
relationship
between
temperature
anomaly
changing
over
time.
also
control
Human
Development
Index,
drought
measured
by
six-month
Standardized
Precipitation
Index.
Our
empirical
findings
suggest
every
1
[Formula:
see
text]
anomaly,
severe
global
has
increased
1.4%
(95%
CI
1.3-1.47)
2014
but
1.64%
1.6-1.65)
2019.
higher
case
moderate
insecurity,
increase
resulting
1.58%
1.48-1.68)
2.14%
2.08-2.20)
Thus,
results
show
not
only
probability
magnitude
this
counterfactual
analysis
suggests
been
responsible
reversing
some
improvements
security
would
otherwise
have
realised,
highest
Africa.
both
provides
more
evidence
costs
change,
as
such
benefits
mitigation,
highlights
importance
targeted
efficient
policies
reduce
insecurity.
These
are
likely
need
take
into
account
local
contexts,
might
include
efforts
crop
yields,
safety
nets,
behavioural
programs
promote
household
resilience.
New England Journal of Medicine,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
387(15), P. 1404 - 1413
Published: Sept. 28, 2022
A
71-year-old
man
with
a
history
of
coronary
artery
disease,
congestive
heart
failure,
and
schizoaffective
disorder
presents
to
the
emergency
department
confusion.On
day
presentation,
he
was
seen
walking
near
his
apartment
complex
in
busy
urban
area
later
found
collapsed
outside
building.The
local
heat
index
(accounting
for
temperature
relative
humidity)
is
105°F
(40.6°C).On
arrival
department,
conscious
but
confused.His
rate
130
beats
per
minute,
blood
pressure
100/70
mm
Hg,
respiratory
28
breaths
rectal
40.5°C,
oxygen
saturation
90%
while
receiving
at
3
liters
minute
through
nasal
cannula.He
opens
eyes
voice
can
state
name.He
able
move
arms
legs
has
no
focal
neurologic
deficits.His
skin
hot
dry
touch.His
medications
include
furosemide,
risperidone,
carvedilol.The
patient
lives
alone
top-floor
without
air
conditioning.How
should
this
heat-related
illness
be
treated,
how
could
it
have
been
prevented?The
Clinic
l
Problem
C
limate
change
causing
global
increase
average
temperatures
increasing
frequency,
duration,
intensity
extreme
events,
1
resulting
unprecedented
levels
exposure.The
past
7
years
hottest
on
record,
climate
either
caused
or
dramatically
worsened
2
recent
events
Europe
(2022),
India
4
Pacific
Northwest
United
States
(2021).
5In
20
years,
there
54%
mortality
among
persons
older
than
65
age,
6
more
one
third
all
warm-season
deaths
are
attributable
change.
7On
our
current
greenhouse
gas
emissions
trajectory,
warming
2°C
over
preindustrial
expected
by
midcentury,
most
world
encounter
frequent
coming
decades
8
;
formerly
once-in-10-years
waves
projected
occur
5
times
as
frequently
once-in-50-years
almost
14
frequently.
Elevated
already
health
burden
substantial
economic
loss.
Humans
thermoregulate
behavioral
autonomic
mechanisms
(e.g.,
vasodilation
sweating)
maintain
core
internal
approximately
37°C.Metabolic
activity
generates
an
load,
exogenous
from
Fossil-Fuel
Pollution
Climate
Change
Environmental Research,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
216, P. 114537 - 114537
Published: Oct. 21, 2022
Human
health
is
linked
to
climatic
factors
in
complex
ways,
and
climate
change
can
have
profound
direct
indirect
impacts
on
the
status
of
any
given
region.
Susceptibility
modulated
by
biological,
ecological
socio-political
such
as
age,
gender,
geographic
location,
socio-economic
status,
occupation,
housing
conditions,
among
other.
In
Eastern
Mediterranean
Middle
East
(EMME),
known
affect
human
include
extreme
heat,
water
shortages
air
pollution.
Furthermore,
epidemiology
vector-borne
diseases
(VBDs)
consequences
population
displacement
are
also
influenced
this
To
inform
future
policies
for
adaptation
mitigation
measures,
based
an
extensive
review
available
knowledge,
we
recommend
several
research
priorities
These
generation
more
empirical
evidence
exposure-response
functions
involving
specific
outcomes,
development
appropriate
methodologies
evaluate
physical
psychological
effects
vulnerable
populations,
determining
how
alters
determinants
health,
improving
our
understanding
long-term
exposure
heat
stress
pollution,
evaluating
interactions
between
strategies.
Because
national
boundaries
do
not
limit
most
climate-related
expected
impact
propose
that
adaptation/mitigation
must
a
regional
scope,
therefore
require
collaborative
efforts
EMME
nations.
Policy
suggestions
decisive
region-wide
decarbonisation,
integration
environmentally
driven
morbidity
mortality
data
throughout
region,
advancing
widespread
use
affordable
technologies
production
management
drinking
non-traditional
means,
comprehensive
strategies
improve
displaced
fostering
networks
monitoring
controlling
spread
infectious
disease
vectors.
Nature Communications,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
14(1)
Published: Aug. 24, 2023
Heat-related
mortality
has
been
identified
as
one
of
the
key
climate
extremes
posing
a
risk
to
human
health.
Current
research
focuses
largely
on
how
heat
increases
with
mean
global
temperature
rise,
but
it
is
unclear
much
change
will
increase
frequency
and
severity
extreme
summer
seasons
high
impact
In
this
probabilistic
analysis,
we
combined
empirical
heat-mortality
relationships
for
748
locations
from
47
countries
model
large
ensemble
data
identify
probable
past
future
highly
impactful
seasons.
Across
most
locations,
counts
1-in-100
year
season
in
2000
would
be
expected
once
every
ten
twenty
years
2020.
These
return
periods
are
projected
further
shorten
under
warming
levels
1.5
°C
2
°C,
where
eventually
become
commonplace
if
no
adaptation
occurs.
Our
findings
highlight
urgent
need
strong
mitigation
reduce
impacts
lives.
Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
12(1)
Published: March 25, 2022
Abstract
Epidemiological
analyses
of
health
risks
associated
with
non-optimal
temperature
are
traditionally
based
on
ground
observations
from
weather
stations
that
offer
limited
spatial
and
temporal
coverage.
Climate
reanalysis
represents
an
alternative
option
provide
complete
spatio-temporal
exposure
coverage,
yet
to
be
systematically
explored
for
their
suitability
in
assessing
temperature-related
at
a
global
scale.
Here
we
the
first
comprehensive
analysis
over
multiple
regions
assess
most
recent
generation
datasets
impact
assessments
evaluate
comparative
performance
against
traditional
station-based
data.
Our
findings
show
last
ERA5
products
generally
compare
well
station
observations,
similar
risk
estimates.
However,
offers
some
indication
lower
tropical
regions,
likely
underestimation
heat-related
excess
mortality.
Reanalysis
data
represent
valid
source
variables
epidemiological
risk.
Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
12(1)
Published: March 18, 2022
It
is
generally
accepted
that
climate
change
having
a
negative
impact
on
food
security.
However,
most
of
the
literature
variously
focuses
complex
and
many
mechanisms
linking
stressors;
links
with
production
or
productivity
rather
than
security;
future
current
effects.
In
contrast,
we
investigate
extent
to
which
changes
in
insecurity
can
be
plausibly
attributed
change.
We
combine
data
for
83
countries
from
FAO
experience
scale
(FIES)
reanalysed
ERA5-Land,
use
panel
regression
time-varying
coefficients.
This
framework
allows
us
estimate
whether
relationship
between
temperature
anomaly
changing
over
time.
also
control
Human
Development
Index,
drought
measured
by
six-month
Standardized
Precipitation
Index.
Our
empirical
findings
suggest
every
1
[Formula:
see
text]
anomaly,
severe
global
has
increased
1.4%
(95%
CI
1.3-1.47)
2014
but
1.64%
1.6-1.65)
2019.
higher
case
moderate
insecurity,
increase
resulting
1.58%
1.48-1.68)
2.14%
2.08-2.20)
Thus,
results
show
not
only
probability
magnitude
this
counterfactual
analysis
suggests
been
responsible
reversing
some
improvements
security
would
otherwise
have
realised,
highest
Africa.
both
provides
more
evidence
costs
change,
as
such
benefits
mitigation,
highlights
importance
targeted
efficient
policies
reduce
insecurity.
These
are
likely
need
take
into
account
local
contexts,
might
include
efforts
crop
yields,
safety
nets,
behavioural
programs
promote
household
resilience.