Seasonality of endemic COVID-19 DOI Creative Commons
Jeffrey P. Townsend, Hayley B. Hassler, April Lamb

et al.

mBio, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(6)

Published: Nov. 8, 2023

The seasonality of COVID-19 is important for effective healthcare and public health decision-making. Previous waves SARS-CoV-2 infections have indicated that the virus will likely persist as an endemic pathogen with distinct surges. However, timing patterns potentially seasonal surges remain uncertain, rendering policies uninformed in danger poorly anticipating opportunities intervention, such well-timed booster vaccination drives. Applying evolutionary approach to long-term data on closely related circulating coronaviruses, our research provides projections should be expected at major temperate population centers. These enable local efforts are tailored specific locales or regions. This knowledge crucial enhancing medical preparedness facilitating implementation targeted interventions.

Language: Английский

Excess all-cause mortality and COVID-19-related mortality: a temporal analysis in 22 countries, from January until August 2020 DOI Creative Commons
Souzana Achilleos, Annalisa Quattrocchi,

John Gabel

et al.

International Journal of Epidemiology, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 51(1), P. 35 - 53

Published: May 25, 2021

Abstract Background This study aimed to investigate overall and sex-specific excess all-cause mortality since the inception of COVID-19 pandemic until August 2020 among 22 countries. Methods Countries reported weekly or monthly from January 2015 end June 2020. Weekly deaths were for Excess was calculated by comparing (observed deaths) against a baseline obtained 2015–2019 data same week month using two methods: (i) difference in observed rates between average (ii) expected deaths. Results Brazil, France, Italy, Spain, Sweden, UK (England, Wales, Northern Ireland Scotland) USA demonstrated mortality, whereas Australia, Denmark Georgia experienced decrease mortality. Israel, Ukraine changes Conclusions All-cause up higher than previous years some, but not all, participating Geographical location seasonality each country, as well prompt application high-stringency control measures, may explain variability changes.

Language: Английский

Citations

62
Human mobility and COVID-19 transmission: a systematic review and future directions DOI Creative Commons
Mengxi Zhang, Siqin Wang, Tao Hu

et al.

Annals of GIS, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 28(4), P. 501 - 514

Published: March 3, 2022

Without a widely distributed vaccine, controlling human mobility has been identified and promoted as the primary strategy to mitigate transmission of COVID-19. Many studies have reported relationship between COVID-19 by utilizing spatial-temporal information data from various sources. To better understand role in pandemic, we conducted systematic review articles that measure terms their sources, mathematical models, key findings. Following guidelines Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement, selected 47 Web Science Core Collection up September 2020. Restricting reduced COVID-19, although effectiveness stringency policy implementation vary temporally spatially across different stages pandemic. We call prompt sustainable measures control also recommend researchers 1) enhance multi-disciplinary collaboration; 2) adjust mobility-control policies corresponding rapid change pandemic; 3) improve models used analysing, simulating, predicting disease; 4) enrich source ensure accuracy suability.

Language: Английский

Citations

61
Less COVID-19 deaths in southern and insular Italy explained by forest bathing, Mediterranean environment, and antiviral plant volatile organic compounds DOI Creative Commons
Valentina Roviello, Giovanni N. Roviello

Environmental Chemistry Letters, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 20(1), P. 7 - 17

Published: Sept. 1, 2021

Language: Английский

Citations

57
Vaccination Prioritization Strategies for COVID-19 in Korea: A Mathematical Modeling Approach DOI Open Access
Yongin Choi,

James Slghee Kim,

Jung Eun Kim

et al.

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 18(8), P. 4240 - 4240

Published: April 16, 2021

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination has recently started worldwide. As the vaccine supply will be limited for a considerable period of time in many countries, it is important to devise effective strategies that reduce number deaths and incidence infection. One characteristics COVID-19 symptom, severity, mortality differ by age. Thus, when limited, age-dependent priority strategy should implemented minimize incidences mortalities. In this study, we developed an age-structured model describing transmission dynamics COVID-19, including vaccination. Using actual epidemiological data Korea, estimated infection probability each age group under different levels social distancing Korea investigated confirmed cases fatalities COVID-19. We found that, lower level distancing, groups with highest rates mostly, but, higher prioritizing elderly reduces more effectively. To mortalities, best all scenarios distancing. Furthermore, effect efficacy on reduction mortality.

Language: Английский

Citations

56
Seasonality of endemic COVID-19 DOI Creative Commons
Jeffrey P. Townsend, Hayley B. Hassler, April Lamb

et al.

mBio, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(6)

Published: Nov. 8, 2023

The seasonality of COVID-19 is important for effective healthcare and public health decision-making. Previous waves SARS-CoV-2 infections have indicated that the virus will likely persist as an endemic pathogen with distinct surges. However, timing patterns potentially seasonal surges remain uncertain, rendering policies uninformed in danger poorly anticipating opportunities intervention, such well-timed booster vaccination drives. Applying evolutionary approach to long-term data on closely related circulating coronaviruses, our research provides projections should be expected at major temperate population centers. These enable local efforts are tailored specific locales or regions. This knowledge crucial enhancing medical preparedness facilitating implementation targeted interventions.

Language: Английский

Citations

30