Predicting the habitat suitability and niche dynamics of two Ziziphus species in response to climate change DOI Open Access

Saeed Behzadi,

Gholamabbas Ghanbarian, Rasoul Khosravi

et al.

Authorea (Authorea), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: March 18, 2024

Climate change, a global threat of utmost significance, has the potential to trigger shifts in biodiversity distribution and emergence novel ecological communities. For species with limited dispersal abilities or geographical barriers within their range, niche conservatism can further constrain ability colonize thrive future suitable habitats, rendering them more vulnerable effects climate change. In this study, an ensemble modeling framework climatic dynamics analysis were employed forecast impact change on dimensions transferability two indicator species, namely, Ziziphus spina-christi nummularia, Iran. Our revealed that, under optimistic pessimistic scenarios, habitat suitability for Z. will expand during 2041-2070 2071-2100, predominantly towards higher latitudes. contrast, nummularia is anticipated experience general decline same periods resulting loss portions its southern range. examination unveiled relatively low observed overlap between species. Randomization tests underscored adherence these historical niches, suggesting challenges adapting changing conditions. The integration predictive models indicates that may encounter difficulties migrating tracked niches distant habitats due preserved niches. Given high sensitivity arid ecosystems environmental disturbances slow recovery rates, repercussions land are indeed profound irrevocable. Conservation management measures, including identifying priority areas creating artificial crucial protect species’ habitats.The study’s conclusions valuable conservation authorities, local stakeholders, individuals dedicated preserving study area.

Language: Английский

Climate change favors expansion of three Eucalyptus species in China DOI Creative Commons
Xinjie Mao,

Huisen Zheng,

Guihua Luo

et al.

Frontiers in Plant Science, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15

Published: Oct. 11, 2024

Eucalyptus has become one of the most widely planted species in tropical and subtropical regions China, with important economic, ecological, social values. However, it is currently unclear how climate change will affect different species. Therefore, urgent to investigate potential distribution dynamics under current future scenarios. In this study, we analyzed patterns three main ( grandis , urophylla tereticornis ) climatic conditions (2041-2060 2061-2080) using optimized MaxEnt model, which integrates a variety environmental data including climate, topography, soil, human influence. We also identified factors affecting distributions The model indicated that E. exhibited heightened sensitivity mean temperature coldest quarter (7.0-20.0 °C) annual (11.9-24.2 °C), whereas displayed precipitation warmest (272-1694 mm) (812-2624 mm). Conversely, demonstrated (12.7-24.5 seasonality (63.8-598.9). Under had widest suitable area (124.91 × 10 4 km²), followed by (124.89 km²) (119.81 km²). scenarios, ranges continue expand. This study highlights importance provides quantified maps for China. research offers valuable scientific insights pertinent management rational site selection plantations.

Language: Английский

Citations

3
Changes in distribution of the Iberian vegetation since the Last Glacial Maximum: A model-based approach DOI
Manuel Casas‐Gallego, José María Postigo Mijarra, Rut Sánchez de Dios

et al.

Quaternary Science Reviews, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 351, P. 109162 - 109162

Published: Jan. 6, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Assessing the temporal stability of snail-climate relationships since the Last Glacial Maximum: Insights from boosted regression trees and LOESS models DOI

Fukang Wei,

Yajie Dong,

Naiqin Wu

et al.

Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 112771 - 112771

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Distribution of Trachelospermum jasminoides Under the Influence of Different Environmental Factors DOI Creative Commons
Huan Yu, Zhihang Zhuo, Zhipeng He

et al.

Agriculture, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(3), P. 285 - 285

Published: Jan. 28, 2025

Trachelospermum jasminoides (Lindl.) Lem. is a well-known herb with important medicinal and economic values. It widely used in the treatment of inflammations China. As global climate change intensifies, ecological niche plants has correspondingly shifted. Therefore, understanding distribution suitable habitats for T. under different conditions great significance its cultivation, introduction, conservation. This research utilizes MaxEnt model combination Geographic Information System (ArcGIS) to analyze present future potential habitat distributions jasminoides. Based on 227 documented occurrence points 15 variables, results emphasize that key environmental limitations influencing optimal are precipitation during coldest quarter, mean temperature driest warmest seasonality (standard deviation × 100), human impact index. At present, combined area highly amounts 15.76 104 km2, predominantly situated East Central scenario forecasts, within SSP1-2.6 scenario, total projected increase relative current situation. Nevertheless, SSP2-4.5 SSP5-8.5 scenarios, anticipated initially rise then decline. The center mainly concentrated provinces Hunan Jiangxi, centroid shifting southeastward compared findings this offer valuable insights effective preservation, sustainable use resources.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Global Climate Convergence from 1980 to 2022 Led to Significant Increase in Vegetation Productivity DOI Creative Commons
Hong‐Hu Zhu, Chuanhua Li

Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(3), P. 570 - 570

Published: March 8, 2025

Changes in global temperature and precipitation over the past few decades have caused significant alterations climate patterns. However, impact of these changes on vegetation productivity remains unclear. This article evaluates effect converging patterns productivity, focusing land outside Antarctica as study area, theoretically substantiates validity findings. The reveals status historical period 1980–2022 SSP126 scenario, where convergence leads to a increase NPP, while has much smaller NPP than precipitation. Under high-emission scenarios SSP245 SSP585, laws are reversed: lead decrease an insignificant NPP. Climate change under three indicates detrimental effects high emissions productivity. fills gap literature

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Balancing Risk and Resilience: Which Plant Traits Should Inform Managed Relocation Species Selection? DOI

Thomas W. M. Nuhfer,

Bethany A. Bradley

Global Change Biology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 31(3)

Published: March 1, 2025

Managed relocation is a critical tool for promoting ecological resilience in the face of climate change, and approach has been proposed restoration plant communities. Given that species poses some risk to recipient ecosystem, traits associated with invasiveness have as means assessing selecting candidate managed relocation. However, could also be relevant successful (and, turn, relocation)-particularly those linked establishment viable populations. Here, we review studies invasion ecology paired functional, ecological, biogeographic stages or ask which should used inform selection. We find substantial overlap between during population establishment, but divergence spread impacts, suggesting selection only focus on promote long-distance impact. Instead, few existing protocols utilize establishment. unintended harm from orders magnitude smaller than non-native introduction, focusing assessments likely exclude most able establish populations, causing failure rates recommend candidates invasive impacts are not necessary restoration. threats posed by balanced assessment does severely limit will best support adaptation strategy.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
neotoma2: An R package to access data from the Neotoma Paleoecology Database DOI Creative Commons
Socorro Dominguez Vidaña, Simon Goring

The Journal of Open Source Software, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 8(91), P. 5561 - 5561

Published: Nov. 28, 2023

The neotoma2 R package is a tool to access and manipulate data from the Neotoma Paleoecology Database (https://www.neotomadb.org)within environment.Neotoma community curated paleoecological resource (Williams et al., 2018), containing nearly 9 million unique observations of proxies with global coverage 37 constituent databases.The uses API v2.0 (Simon J. Goring, 2023) as import records database, allowing researchers examine taxonomic, spatial temporal patterns across space time over last 5.4 years.The allows download, create new using get set functions (e.g., get_sites(), set_sites()) respectively.This provides opportunity develop dynamic workflows that include generated locally, not yet submitted database.The are intended precursor utilities upload directly Neotoma, although this functionality available.The has been under development for year, but used teaching training Goring & Dominguez Vidaña, 2023).This release clean package, all core features provided extensive test implemented.

Language: Английский

Citations

7
Seasonal acclimation of photosynthetic thermal tolerances in six woody tropical species along a thermal gradient DOI Creative Commons
Alyssa T. Kullberg, Kenneth J. Feeley

Functional Ecology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Sept. 18, 2024

Abstract Extreme heat events are becoming increasingly common, and the short‐term acclimation of photosynthesis will have a large impact on plant performance. Trees in lowland tropical forests, which hypothesized to limited abilities tolerate rising temperatures, may need rely their more plastic traits, like photosynthetic thermal tolerance, persist face variable climates. Here, we investigated seasonal tolerances species moist Amazon. Specifically, measured six common woody Amazonian at beginning end dry season determine species' acclimate intra‐annual changes climate. In addition, used natural gradient present our research site test individual plants maximum air temperatures not currently observed elsewhere Amazon (up ~43°C). Between seasons, there were significant overall increases three (i.e. higher hotter season), suggesting that leaf megathermy is prominent these species. Also, acclimated microsite‐level differences temperature maxima, closer fidelity between homeothermy) for Our results show some from can over short time‐scales, although likely insufficient overcome stress during extreme events. Some therefore be sensitive heatwaves than others, could survival composition forests into future. Read free Plain Language Summary this article Journal blog.

Language: Английский

Citations

2
Predicting plant species climate niches on the basis of mechanistic traits DOI Creative Commons
Camila D. Medeiros, Christian Henry, Santiago Trueba

et al.

Functional Ecology, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 37(11), P. 2786 - 2808

Published: Sept. 25, 2023

Abstract Improved estimation of climate niches is critical, given change. Plant adaptation to depends on their physiological traits and distributions, yet are rarely used inform the species niches, power a trait‐based approach has been controversial, many ecological factors methodological issues that may result in decoupling species' from native climate. For 107 across six ecosystems California, we tested hypothesis mechanistic leaf wood can robustly predict mean diverse when combining improvements previous studies, including standard trait measurements sampling plants growing together at few sites. Further, introduce an quantify trait‐climate mismatch. We demonstrate strong traits. As hypothesized, prediction stronger (and mismatch lower) sampled for individuals closer climates. resolution based importantly conservation vulnerable under threat climatic shifts upcoming decades. Read free Plain Language Summary this article Journal blog.

Language: Английский

Citations

5
Tropical Trees Will Need to Acclimate to Rising Temperatures. But Can They? DOI Open Access
Kenneth J. Feeley, Manuel Bernal‐Escobar, Riley P. Fortier

et al.

Published: June 27, 2023

For tropical forests to survive anthropogenic climate change, the trees that comprise them will need tolerate newly emerging conditions through adaptation or acclimation, they can avoid change range shifts and “species migrations”. In this review, we show rapid pace extreme severity of modern makes it extremely unlikely tree species adapt (with some possible exceptions). We also while many are shifting their distributions higher, cooler elevations, rate these migrations mostly insufficient offset ongoing changes in temperatures, especially lowland rainforests where thermal gradients shallow nonexistent. argue best hope for becoming “committed extinction” is acclimation. While several new methods being developed test unfortunately still do not know if acclimate what factors may prevent facilitate Until questions answered, our ability predict fate – services provide humanity remains critically impaired.

Language: Английский

Citations

4