Machine learning strengthened prediction of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer deaths due to air pollution DOI
Jagadish Kumar Mogaraju

Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 30(45), P. 100539 - 100551

Published: Aug. 28, 2023

Language: Английский

Epidemiological trends of subarachnoid hemorrhage at global, regional, and national level: a trend analysis study from 1990 to 2021 DOI Creative Commons
Bin Lv,

Jin-Xin Lan,

Yan-Fang Si

et al.

Military Medical Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 11(1)

Published: July 11, 2024

Abstract Background Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a subtype of hemorrhagic stroke characterized by high mortality and low rates full recovery. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiological characteristics SAH between 1990 2021. Methods Data on incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) from 2021 were obtained Global Burden Disease Study (GBD) Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) calculated evaluate in age-standardized rate (ASR) incidence as well trends burden. The relationship disease burden sociodemographic index (SDI) was also analyzed. Results In 2021, found be 37.09% higher than that 1990; however, (ASIRs) showed decreased [EAPC: -1.52; 95% uncertainty interval (UI) -1.66 -1.37]. Furthermore, both number deaths DALYs over time. It observed females had lower compared males. Among all regions, high-income Asia Pacific region exhibited highest ASIR (14.09/100,000; UI 12.30/100,000 − 16.39/100,000) with an EPAC for < 0 indicating decreasing trend time ASIR. Oceania recorded (ASMRs) among regions at values respectively 8.61 (95% 6.03 11.95) 285.62 209.42 379.65). associated primarily affected individuals aged 50 69 years old. Metabolic risks particularly elevated systolic blood pressure identified main risk factors contributing towards increased when against environmental or occupational behavioral evaluated within GBD framework. Conclusions varies gender, age group, geographical region. Although ASRs have shown decline time, remains significant, especially middle low-middle SDI levels. High stands out key factor SAH. More specific supportive measures are necessary alleviate global

Language: Английский

Citations

44

Temporal trends of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer between 2010 and 2019, in Asian countries by geographical region and sociodemographic index, comparison with global data DOI Creative Commons
Fatemeh Rezaei, Afrooz Mazidimoradi,

Ali Rayatinejad

et al.

Thoracic Cancer, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(18), P. 1668 - 1706

Published: May 1, 2023

This study aimed to describe the trends in incidence, mortality, and burden of tracheal, bronchial lung (TBL) cancer Asia from 2010 through 2019 compare with global other continental data.We collected TBL data Global Burden Disease (GBD) 49 countries territories Asia. For all locations, annual case age-standardized rates (ASRs) were used investigate prevalence, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) 2019. The relative difference (%) between years was show comparative variations ASRs for indicators studied.In 2019, more than 55% cases deaths occurred Asian countries. A total 57% patients lived almost 60% imposed on From incidences, deaths, prevalence cases, DALYs number increased over 1.34-, 1.31-, 1.26-fold, During this period, incidence rate (ASIR), death (ASDR), (ASPR), (DALYs ASR) decreased by 1, 3, 4, 4%, respectively. While at same time, decreasing trend these globally America Europe happened faster. In age-specific death, DALY peaking 65-74, 70-74, 65-69, 65-69 years, highest ASIR, ASDR, ASR observed East ASPR high-income Pacific Central experienced a ASIR South increasing only Asia, among high sociodemographic index (SDI) countries, Brunei Darussalam had Republic Korea ASPR. Among high-middle SDIs, Turkey Georgia; middle China Armenia; low-middle Mongolia Democratic People's ASPR, cancer. low SDI Pakistan cancer.Most occurs is slower regions. Therefore, implementation necessary measures order reduce process considered urgent.

Language: Английский

Citations

14

Projection of the prevalence of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer incidence using cigarette smoking prevalence in Iran from 1990 to 2018: a comparison of latent period-based models with standard forecasting models DOI Creative Commons
Alireza Mirahmadizadeh, Jafar Hassanzadeh,

Afrooz Mazidi Moradi

et al.

BMC Public Health, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 24(1)

Published: July 15, 2024

Smoking is the major risk factor for tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancers. We investigated feasibility of projecting TBL cancer incidence using smoking rates by incorporating a range latent periods from main exposure to diagnosis.

Language: Английский

Citations

4

The global, regional, and national burden of colorectal cancer attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2021: a population-based study DOI
Shuai Wang, Tao Zhang, Dongming Li

et al.

European Journal of Cancer Prevention, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 21, 2025

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with smoking being a significant risk factor. Understanding temporal and spatial patterns CRC burden attributable to crucial for global public health strategies. Data from Global Burden Diseases, Injuries, Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 were used calculate number deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) per 100 000 population, year (ASDR). The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated 1990 analyze disease trends. Frontier analysis conducted assess efficiency, predictions made next decade. In 2021, death toll DALYs 47 613 1 235 667, respectively. From absolute increased, while ASMR (AAPC: −1.20) ASDR −1.22) showed decline. notably higher in males than females. Analysis by Social Development Index revealed that more developed regions had less areas. China ranked first DALYs, Greenland highest ASDR. decreased globally. However, remains challenge, requiring sustained targeted interventions.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Analysis of the burden of intracerebral hemorrhage in the Asian population aged 45 and older and ARIMA model prediction trends: a systematic study based on the GBD 2021 DOI Creative Commons

Minghong Xu,

Chao Tang, Yingmo Shen

et al.

Frontiers in Neurology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 16

Published: Feb. 13, 2025

Background Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), a severe subtype of hemorrhagic stroke, is associated with significant disability and high mortality rates. Due to population aging the prevalence hypertension in Asian region, intracerebral has become one major causes mortality. This study analyzes epidemiological patterns ICH across Asia from 1990 2021 projects potential trends for period 2022 2041. Methods extracted four key indicators related (ICH) The Global Burden Disease (GBD) database years 2021: prevalence, incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life (DALYs). age-period-cohort model was employed assess impact age, time periods, birth cohorts on trends. Additionally, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) utilized conduct long-term trend analysis forecast changing various Results From 2021, age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), (ASMR), life-year (ASDR) exhibited an overall declining trend, ASIR declined 82.35 per 100,000 (95% UI: 70.73–93.35) 52.35 45.98–58.46). Similarly, ASMR dropped 92.02 83.06–101.24) 53.26 47.61–58.96), while ASDR fell 2,094.51 1,916.68–2,293.61) 1,194.11 1,072.05–1,306.04). age effect demonstrated that relative risk (RR) increases peaking 90–94 group. indicated did not increase over time, cohort suggested later-born cohorts. ARIMA model’s predictions indicate next 20 years, rates Asia, except will generally show trend. Conclusion disease burden varies by gender According predictions, expected decline projected due aging. Given ICH, its remains requires focused attention. Strengthening screening management high-risk elderly populations, along community health education early intervention, recommended reduce ICH.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

The global, regional and national burden of peptic ulcer disease attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2021: A population-based study DOI Creative Commons
Shuai Wang, Tao Zhang, Dongming Li

et al.

Preventive Medicine Reports, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 51, P. 103019 - 103019

Published: Feb. 22, 2025

Peptic ulcer disease (PUD) remains a significant global health challenge, with its prevalence generally declining due to advances in healthcare and reduction key risk factors. However, smoking continues be major contributor the burden of PUD. This study analyzes temporal spatial patterns PUD attributable globally from 1990 2021, providing insights for public interventions. Utilizing data Global Burden Diseases, Injuries, Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 database, we assessed deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), DALY (ASDR). Trends were evaluated using average annual percentage change (AAPC), predictive analyses performed understand past future patterns. In 29,390 deaths 816,999 DALYs caused by worldwide. From DALYs, ASMR (AAPC: -4.05), ASDR -4.18) showed declines globally. Males experienced higher than females across all metrics. At national regional levels, low low-middle socio-demographic index (SDI) areas exhibited high-SDI regions, East Asia, South Southeast Asia contributing highest burden. Future projections indicate continued decline over next decade. Despite smoking, substantial disparities persist, particularly underdeveloped regions. Focused anti-smoking policies targeted resource allocation are necessary reduce address inequalities.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

The global burden of childhood diarrheal diseases attributable to suboptimal breastfeeding from 1990 to 2021: an exploratory analysis of estimates from the global burden of disease study DOI Creative Commons
Shuai Wang, Tao Zhang,

Kaixin Wang

et al.

International Breastfeeding Journal, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 20(1)

Published: March 26, 2025

Understanding the spatial and temporal patterns of disease burden childhood diarrhea attributable to suboptimal breastfeeding (including non-exclusive discontinued breastfeeding) is crucial for global health policy intervention strategies. This study aimed comprehensively assess global, regional, national diarrheal diseases in 204 countries territories from 1990 2021. utilized data Global Burden Diseases, Injuries, Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 estimate deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), DALY (ASDR) breastfeeding. Suboptimal was assessed as a combination And average annual percentage change (AAPC) calculated determine long-term trends. Additionally, frontier analyses were conducted evaluate efficiency different reducing relative their socio-demographic index (SDI) levels. By 2021, number deaths DALYs due 63,133 573,430, respectively. Between DALYs, well ASMR (AAPC: -5.40) ASDR -5.38), declined by approximately 80%. However, significant disparities persist across regions. Low-SDI regions, particularly Western Sub-Saharan Africa, continued bear highest burden. At or level, Nigeria, India, Chad recorded while Chad, South Sudan, Lesotho exhibited values. Similar observed breastfeeding, with greatest concentrated resource-limited settings. While has significantly over past three decades, remains disproportionately high less developed These findings underscore urgent need targeted public policies interventions promote exclusive especially high-burden further reduce preventable morbidity mortality.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Global, regional, and national burden of nutritional deficiencies spanning from 1990 to 2021, with a focus on the impacts observed during the COVID-19 pandemic DOI Creative Commons
Yueyang Zhang, Bingxue Chen, Qin Wan

et al.

Frontiers in Nutrition, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 12

Published: May 8, 2025

The United Nations has recognized nutritional deficiencies as a critical health issue that necessitates urgent eradication. This study aimed to provide comprehensive analysis of the spatial distribution and temporal trends global disease burden associated with their four subtypes from 1990 2021, particular focus on impact COVID-19 pandemic. primarily employs most recent data Global Burden Disease (GBD) 2021 conduct thorough incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) incorporating detailed subgroup analyses categorized by sex, age, region. In comparison GBD 2019, update places emphasis supplementing for period pandemic (2019-2021). Furthermore, this investigates primary risk factors contributing linked deficiencies. Between experienced substantial decline, evidenced 54.9% reduction in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), 72.2% decrease death (ASDR), 51.9% DALY rate. However, it is noteworthy iodine deficiency (ASIR: 137.72 vs. 75.49; Age-standardized rate: 35.43 19.98) dietary iron (Age-standardized 597.97 253.05) considerably greater women than men. Moreover, regions characterized low social demographic index (SDI) lower income levels, diseases remains substantial. contrast, not markedly changed epidemiological profile compared pre-2019 period, continued its gradual decline. Despite decline over time, significant disparities related gender, region, age persist. Fortunately, had relatively limited Healthcare institutions must formulate more targeted strategies at alleviating adverse effects public health.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Radiological Imaging Indicators of Survival in Trachea and Lung Cancers: A Global Perspective DOI
Shahad A. Ibraheem,

Nathier A. Ibrahim,

Qais Lateef Atea

et al.

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: May 9, 2025

Abstract Background Respiratory system cancer has long been a global health issue, with tracheal, bronchial, and lung cancers ranking second in incidence first mortality worldwide. This study aims to analyse recent data understand the burden, trends, risk factors for respiratory cancer, facilitating Improved prevention treatment strategies. Methods We conducted on using from Global Cancer Observatory Incidence Five Continents databases. collected information of cancers, factors, final estimates rates were multiplied population United Nations Development Program. The age standardized generated by GLOBOCAN world standard population. Results 2,481,000 cases 1,817,000 related deaths, trachea had highest incidence. Asia 2023, 1,566,000 new 1,142,000 deaths. According UN regions, Eastern age-standardized (per 100,000 people) 2022, at 39.4 25.1, respectively. However, there notable regional differences lowest observed Western Africa (2.1 2.0), Middle (1.3 2.2), (3.2 3.0). In crude rates, 76.9 52.7 while occurring (1.6 1.5), (1.0 1.0), 0.9). China reported 1,610,000 733,000 deaths most any country. Conclusion In summary, this supports role lesions as useful imaging biomarkers highlighting their prognostic significance disease. results emphasize that order enhance patient outcomes, clinical workflows must integrate cutting-edge methods AI-driven analysis.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Current status and temporal trend in incidence, death, and burden of esophageal cancer from 1990−2019 DOI Creative Commons
Afrooz Mazidimoradi,

Niloofar Banakar,

Yousef Khani

et al.

Thoracic Cancer, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(24), P. 2408 - 2458

Published: July 13, 2023

Esophageal cancer (EC) is one of the world's most unknown and deadly cancers. This study aimed to provide updated epidemiological indicators recent trend EC by age group, gender, geographical region in world.Annual case data age-standardized rates (ASRs) were collected from 2019 Global Burden Disease (GBD) 1990 204 countries territories based on sociodemographic index (SDI). Relative difference (%), average annual percentage change (AAPC), male/female ratio calculated. Data are reported values 95% confidence interval (CI).EC incidence (ASIR) decreased 19%, death (ASDR) 25%, disability-adjusted life-years ASR (DALYs ASR) 30% 2019. The higher number cases was men aged 50 69 years women over 70. From 2019, Middle SDI experienced a decline ASIR ASDR EC. High had an increasing trend. In World Bank High-Income countries, has remained unchanged other regions. Asia continent highest rate incidence, mortality, burden reduction. East Asia, Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, Eastern Africa respectively have Central greatest decrease EC, Europe steady North America ASDR. shows decreasing worldwide. regions increase EC.Based great variation distribution investigating reasons for this diversity requires more studies be conducted field prevention, risk factors, implementation screening methods with high cost-effectiveness, access treatment methods. provision regional solutions may effective than global strategies.

Language: Английский

Citations

9