bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Dec. 14, 2023
ABSTRACT
Climate
change
significantly
contributes
to
shifts
in
the
geographical
range
of
pests
and
diseases.
Leafhoppers
(Hemiptera:
Cicadellidae),
known
vectors
phytoplasmas
pathogens,
are
linked
transmission
more
than
600
diseases
affecting
a
thousand
plant
species
worldwide.
Despite
this,
potential
effects
climate
on
leafhopper
remain
critical
knowledge
gap.
To
address
this
gap,
our
study
investigated
impact
14
Nearctic
leafhoppers
previously
associated
with
phytoplasma-related
Using
MaxEnt
distribution
algorithm
other
ecological
niche
modeling
techniques,
we
assessed
(i)
expected
richness
under
current
conditions
four
future
scenarios
(ii)
environmental
similarity
among
these
across
scenarios.
Our
projections
suggest
that
eastern
region
North
America
holds
for
highest
richness,
trend
persist
all
scenarios,
gradually
expanding
eastward.
Notably,
findings
indicate
increasing
suitability
northern
Canada
species.
Network
analysis
further
revealed
remarkable
niches
most
Moreover,
there
is
tendency
an
increase
similarity.
Altogether,
underscores
persistent
presence
their
habitats
while
pointing
shift
toward
These
have
significant
implications
sustainable
pest
management
practices,
prompting
necessary
discussion
strategies
mitigate
migration’s
agricultural
systems.
Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
30(7)
Published: July 1, 2024
Abstract
The
ever‐increasing
and
expanding
globalisation
of
trade
transport
underpins
the
escalating
global
problem
biological
invasions.
Developing
biosecurity
infrastructures
is
crucial
to
anticipate
prevent
introduction
invasive
alien
species.
Still,
robust
defensible
forecasts
potential
invaders
are
rare,
especially
for
species
without
known
invasion
history.
Here,
we
aim
support
decision‐making
by
developing
a
quantitative
risk
assessment
tool
based
on
syndromes
(i.e.,
generalising
typical
attributes
species).
We
implemented
workflow
‘Multiple
Imputation
with
Chain
Equation’
estimate
from
imputed
datasets
species'
life‐history
ecological
traits
macroecological
patterns.
Importantly,
our
models
disentangle
factors
explaining
(i)
(ii)
establishment.
showcase
modelling
466
amphibians
reptile
Then,
project
these
reptiles
worldwide
(16,236
[c.76%
coverage])
identify
being
unintentionally
transported
introduced,
establishing
populations.
Our
syndrome
showed
high
predictive
accuracy
good
balance
between
specificity
generality.
Unintentionally
introduced
tend
be
common
thrive
well
in
human‐disturbed
habitats.
In
contrast,
those
established
populations
large‐sized,
habitat
generalists,
habitats,
have
large
native
geographic
ranges.
forecast
that
160
history
could
future.
Among
them,
57
reliable,
reproducible,
transferable,
statistically
scientifically
significant
new
addition
suite
decision‐support
tools
needed
future‐proof
preventative
globally.
Diversity and Distributions,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
31(1)
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
ABSTRACT
Aim
Investigating
the
role
of
trade
in
elucidating
introductions
insect
plant
pests
via
specific
pathways
over
past
two
decades
to
inform
future
pest
introduction
risks.
Location
Global.
Methods
We
analysed
global
data
on
first
findings
and
network,
assessing
which
network
metrics
explained
cumulative
per
country.
compared
in‐degree
(i.e.,
number
countries
a
focal
country
imports
from)
out‐degree
exports
to)
across
different
investigated
intraregional
saturation
for
each
within
continents.
explored
relationship
between
risk
spreading
based
structure
temporal
sequence
realised
introductions.
Results
In‐degree
was
major
driver
alien
all
pathways.
For
several
regions
such
as
Europe
Asia,
with
extensive
regional
connections
serve
hubs
connecting
numerous
belonging
same
geographical
region.
The
intra‐regional
routes
reflected
less
restrictive
agreements
played
pivotal
spread
exotic
found
untapped
potential
opening
new
Africa
Oceania.
Conclusions
study
emphasises
increase
multiple
driven
by
few
key
countries,
warranting
intensified
surveillance
efforts.
Opening
commercial
poses
higher
risks
than
increasing
total
volume
from
partners
it
might
open
dense
international
pool
pests.
Incorporating
high‐resolution
tracking
entry
final
destination)
is
crucial
can
enhance
mapping
precision
reduce
Human-mediated
transport
has
led
to
the
establishment
of
more
than
6,700
non-native
insect
species
with
wide-ranging
effects
on
ecosystems,
economies
and
human
health.
Understanding
how
different
aspects
globalization
affect
spread
insects
is
crucial
reducing
their
effects.
In
this
Review,
we
explore
current
historical
patterns,
drivers
dynamics
global
invasions
facilitated
by
humans
since
prehistory.
Multiple
history
have
influenced
invasion
dynamics,
including
agricultural
practices
in
Neolithic
period,
advent
early
empires
trade
routes,
colonization,
geopolitical
events,
wars
economic
crises.
Technological
innovations
such
as
steam
ships,
containerization
internet
further
accelerated
invasions.
Spatial
patterns
are
characterized
frequent
secondary
via
bridgehead
populations,
asymmetric
intercontinental
flows
originating
disproportionally
from
Europe,
biotic
homogenization
communities.
Insect
predicted
increase
dramatically
will
shift,
especially
opening
routes
introduction
pathways.
Inspection
at
ports
entry
detection
systems
inform
mitigation
efforts.
Future
interdisciplinary
collaborations
integrate
knowledge
diverse
emerging
data
sources
technologies,
advancing
our
understanding
biology.
Global
increasing,
driven
advances
technology.
This
Review
discusses
increasing
worldwide,
strategies
for
future
npj Sustainable Agriculture,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
2(1)
Published: July 1, 2024
Abstract
Climate
change
significantly
contributes
to
shifts
in
the
geographical
range
of
pests
and
diseases.
Leafhoppers
(Hemiptera:
Cicadellidae),
known
vectors
phytoplasmas
pathogens,
are
linked
transmission
more
than
600
diseases
affecting
a
thousand
plant
species
worldwide.
Despite
this,
potential
effects
climate
on
leafhopper
remain
critical
knowledge
gap.
To
address
this
gap,
our
study
investigated
impact
14
Nearctic
leafhoppers
previously
associated
with
phytoplasma-related
Using
MaxEnt
distribution
algorithm
other
ecological
niche
modeling
techniques,
we
assessed
(i)
expected
richness
under
current
conditions
four
future
scenarios
(ii)
environmental
similarity
among
these
across
scenarios.
Our
projections
suggest
that
eastern
region
North
America
holds
for
highest
richness,
trend
persist
all
scenarios,
gradually
expanding
eastward.
Notably,
findings
indicate
increasing
suitability
northern
Canada
species.
Network
analysis
further
revealed
remarkable
niches
most
Moreover,
there
is
tendency
an
increase
similarity.
Altogether,
underscores
persistent
presence
their
habitats
while
pointing
shift
toward
These
have
significant
implications
sustainable
pest
management
practices,
prompting
necessary
discussion
strategies
mitigate
migration’s
agricultural
systems.
Biological Invasions,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
26(6), P. 1861 - 1881
Published: March 25, 2024
Abstract
Integrating
host
plants
in
distribution
modeling
of
phytophagous
species
and
disentangling
the
effect
habitat
bioclimatic
variables
are
key
aspects
to
produce
reliable
predictions
when
aim
is
identify
suitable
areas
outside
species’
native
range.
To
this
aim,
we
implemented
a
framework
Species
Distribution
Model
aimed
at
predicting
potential
establishment
for
beetle
Psacothea
hilaris
across
world.
Since
(including
plants)
affect
according
processes
acting
different
geographical
scales,
modeled
these
separately.
For
range,
fitted
(HSM)
(BSM)
suitability
model
calibrated
on
local
large
scale,
respectively;
overall
map
was
obtained
as
spatial
product
HSM
BSM
projection
maps.
ROC,
TSS
Cohen’s
Kappa
validation
confirmed
good
predictive
performance
framework.
Within
HSM,
played
substantial
presence
probability,
while
among
variables,
precipitation
warmer
quarter
isothermality
were
most
important.
Native
models
used
realize
an
world
scale.
At
global
many
resulted
habitat,
some
bioclimate,
few
both
conditions;
indeed,
if
would
not
be
able
modify
its
niche,
it
might
considered
major
invasive
species.
However,
high
rate
range
expansion
documented
P.
Northern
Italy,
poorly
area,
suggests
plasticity
that
requires
increasing
level
attention
potential.
EFSA Journal,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
22(4)
Published: April 1, 2024
Abstract
Following
a
request
from
the
European
Commission,
EFSA
Panel
on
Plant
Health
performed
quantitative
risk
assessment
for
EU
of
African
Leucinodes
species
(Lepidoptera:
Crambidae),
which
are
fruit
and
shoot
borers,
especially
eggplant
type
fruit.
The
focused
(i)
potential
pathways
entry,
(ii)
distribution
infested
imports
within
EU,
(iii)
climatic
conditions
favouring
establishment,
(iv)
spread
(v)
impact.
Options
reduction
discussed,
but
their
effectiveness
was
not
quantified.
spp.
widely
distributed
across
sub-Saharan
Africa
little
studied
they
could
be
much
more
widespread
in
than
reported.
Much
literature
erroneously
reports
them
as
orbonalis
is
restricted
to
Asia.
import
consists
special
types
caters
mostly
niche
markets
EU.
main
pathway
entry
Solanum
aethiopicum
exotic
varieties
(S.
melongena).
CLIMEX
modelling
used
with
two
possible
thresholds
ecoclimatic
index
(EI)
assess
establishment
potential.
Climates
occur
southern
Europe,
where,
based
human
population,
14%
imported
produce
NUTS2
regions
where
EI
≥
30;
or
23%
15.
Over
next
5
years,
an
annual
median
estimate
~
8600
fruits,
originating
Africa,
expected
enter
15
(90%
CR
570–52,700);
this
drops
5200
350–32,100)
30.
Escape
adult
moths
occurs
consumer
waste;
considering
uncertainties
transfer,
such
emergence,
mate
finding
survival
progeny,
probability
mated
female
establishing
founder
population
NUTS
estimated
0.0078
0.00023–0.12125).
This
equates
one
every
128
years
approximately
8–4280
years).
Using
30,
number
populations
annually
0.0048
0.0001–0.0739),
equating
210
14–7020
Under
climate
change
period
2040–2059,
percent
going
suitable
areas
would
increased
33%
21%
Accordingly,
waiting
time
until
reduced
estimates
89
6–2980
years)
139
30
9–4655
If
were
establish,
it
at
rate
0.65–7.0
km
per
year
after
lag
phase
5–92
years.
reduce
yield
by
value
4.5%
0.67%–13%)
if
growers
take
no
specific
action,
0.54%
between
0.13%
1.9%)
do
targeted
matching
previous
made
during
L.
Global Ecology and Conservation,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
54, P. e03059 - e03059
Published: June 25, 2024
The
global
introduction
of
human-mediated
trade
and
local
dispersal
through
transport
or
natural
pathways
are
major
processes
contributors
to
biological
invasion.
To
effectively
prevent
manage
invasion,
invasions
need
be
considered
as
a
continuum
(CGLD).
However,
there
has
been
no
unified
CGLD
framework
developed
that
simultaneously
considers
pathway
dynamics
multiple
with
guide
the
development
effective
management
priority
strategies
for
pine
wilt
disease.
In
this
study,
we
constructed
evaluate
risks
This
is
an
invasive
forest
pathogen
caused
by
wood
nematode
(PWN)
Bursaphelenchus
xylophilus,
which
causes
severe
harm
forestry
ecosystems
worldwide.
network
indicated
pressure
PWN
continually
increased
during
2003–2016.
highest-risk
source
country
entry
port
were
United
States
Jiangsu
ports,
respectively.
modes
mainly
presented
random
structure
lots
"in-filling"
events
2010–2021.
populations
in
China
have
gradually
dispersed
non-analogous
climatic
regions
compared
those
native
other
ranges.
risk
areas
primarily
cover
southwestern,
eastern,
central,
northeastern
China.
Such
integration
can
facilitate
more
accurate
prediction
invasion
provide
vital
guidance
designing
